Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • National League North - 16 • ☀️ 30.6°C, 13 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 27.8% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 65.6% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 57.6% · No 42.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 47.4% · Over 52.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 13.2% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Scarborough Athletic · Home
Scarborough Athletic have lost four of their last five, including home defeats to Bedford Town 1-2 and Macclesfield 1-2, with five goals scored and ten conceded across that run. Their model expected goals of 1.43 suggests a modest scoring output here.
Buxton · Away
Buxton arrive with three wins in five, scoring twelve goals, though the 2-2 draw with Worksop Town and the 0-1 loss at King's Lynn Town show they are not unbeatable. Their model expected goals of 1.35 is close to Scarborough's.
Close H2H Points To Draw
The latest head-to-head, Buxton 4-2 Scarborough Athletic on 28 Apr 2026, followed an earlier Buxton 2-0 win, yet Scarborough won the September 2025 meeting 2-1. Both sides have failed to score once in five, and the model expected goals of 1.43 and 1.35 are nearly level. With the correct-score pick at 1-1, the draw is a realistic outcome rather than a clear home or away edge. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 01 Nov 2026 16:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Scarborough Athletic 1.43 – 1.35 Buxton · expected total 2.78
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Scarborough Athletic
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Scarborough Athletic
Buxton
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: National League North
Scarborough Athletic
Buxton
Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Scarborough Athletic at home · Buxton away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Scarborough Athletic (home)
Buxton (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Buxton 5 wins · 1 draw · Scarborough Athletic 4 wins · avg 2.2 goals · BTTS in 3 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | Buxton | 4–2 | Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Buxton | 2–0 | Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| 02 Sep 2025 | Scarborough Athletic | 2–1 | Buxton | National League - North |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Scarborough Athletic | 0–3 | Buxton | National League - North |
| 05 Nov 2024 | Buxton | 2–0 | Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| 02 Mar 2024 | Buxton | 0–0 | Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Scarborough Athletic | 1–0 | Buxton | National League - North |
| 15 Apr 2023 | Scarborough Athletic | 0–1 | Buxton | National League - North |
| 15 Nov 2022 | Buxton | 0–1 | Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| 11 Jan 2022 | Scarborough Athletic | 2–1 | Buxton | Non League Premier - Northern |
📈 Recent Form
Scarborough Athletic
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Morecambe | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Bedford Town | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Hebburn Town | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Radcliffe | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 06/10 | Macclesfield | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Macclesfield | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 26/09 | Brackley Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Dunston UTS | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Merthyr Town | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 08/09 | Macclesfield | Away | 0–0 | D |
Buxton
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Marine | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 27/10 | Harborough Town | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Chorley | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 17/10 | Worksop Town | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 10/10 | King's Lynn Town | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 03/10 | South Shields | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 26/09 | South Shields | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Ashton United | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Chester | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 08/09 | Brackley Town | Home | 5–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: National League North
Scarborough Athletic #21 · 15 pts · Buxton #5 · 26 pts
Scarborough Athletic
Buxton
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Scarborough Athletic
Buxton
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League North predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws