Spennymoor Town vs Chester
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 17 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • National League North - 12
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 27.8% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 64.9% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 57.5% · No 42.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 47.5% · Over 52.5% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 13.2% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Spennymoor Town · Home
Spennymoor Town have won just one of their last five, though that win was a 2-0 home success over Chorley (2-0). Their other four matches in that run all ended in defeat, including a 0-1 home loss to South Shields (0-1).
Chester · Away
Chester have alternated results across their last five, with home wins over Marine (2-1) and Bedford Town (1-0) but away defeats at South Shields (1-3) and Spennymoor Town (1-4). Their most recent outing was a 0-1 home loss to Hednesford Town (0-1).
H2H points to tight draw
The latest head-to-head, on 28 Feb 2026, finished 2-1 to Chester (2-1), while the previous meeting at Spennymoor ended 1-2 (1-2). Both sides have scored 4 and 5 goals respectively across five matches, and Spennymoor failed to score in two of those games. The model gives Spennymoor 1.37 expected goals and Chester 1.41, a near-even split that fits a 1-1 correct-score line. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Spennymoor Town 1.37 – 1.41 Chester · expected total 2.78
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Spennymoor Town
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Spennymoor Town
Chester
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: National League North
Spennymoor Town
Chester
Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Spennymoor Town at home · Chester away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Spennymoor Town (home)
Chester (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Chester 4 wins · 2 draws · Spennymoor Town 4 wins · avg 2.8 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Chester | 2–1 | Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Spennymoor Town | 1–2 | Chester | National League - North |
| 21 Jan 2025 | Chester | 1–0 | Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| 10 Aug 2024 | Spennymoor Town | 3–0 | Chester | National League - North |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Chester | 1–1 | Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| 02 Sep 2023 | Spennymoor Town | 1–1 | Chester | National League - North |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Chester | 1–2 | Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| 01 Nov 2022 | Spennymoor Town | 0–3 | Chester | National League - North |
| 22 Feb 2022 | Chester | 0–2 | Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| 11 Dec 2021 | Spennymoor Town | 4–2 | Chester | National League - North |
📈 Recent Form
Spennymoor Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Chorley | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 27/10 | South Shields | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 24/10 | Darlington 1883 | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Harborough Town | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Brackley Town | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Chester | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Southport | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | AFC Emley | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Macclesfield | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 08/09 | Spalding United | Home | 1–3 | L |
Chester
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Hednesford Town | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 27/10 | Marine | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 24/10 | South Shields | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Bedford Town | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Spennymoor Town | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 26/09 | Worksop Town | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Lower Breck | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Buxton | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 08/09 | Merthyr Town | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | Hebburn Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: National League North
Spennymoor Town #24 · 10 pts · Chester #9 · 23 pts
Spennymoor Town
Chester
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Spennymoor Town
Chester
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League North predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws