Predictions β†’ England National League North

Chester vs Marine

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 β€’ 19:45 UTC+3 β€’ National League North - 14 β€’ Deva Stadium

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 83% 53.1% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 12 72% 73.2% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS Yes 83% 53.8% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83% 53.6% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 2-1 63% 7.6% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Chester 1.98 – 1.30 Marine Β· expected total 3.28

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Chester

Form (last 5)
WBedford Town (H) 1–0 Β· 10/10/2026LSpennymoor Town (A) 1–4 Β· 03/10/2026WWorksop Town (H) 4–1 Β· 26/09/2026WLower Breck (A) 2–1 Β· 19/09/2026LBuxton (A) 1–3 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Win streak (best this season)4
Elo strength rating1583

Marine

Form (last 5)
WSpalding United (H) 1–0 Β· 10/10/2026WWarrington Town (H) 2–0 Β· 03/10/2026WMerthyr Town (A) 2–1 Β· 26/09/2026WRadcliffe (H) 3–2 Β· 19/09/2026WDarlington 1883 (H) 2–1 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1526
ChesterMarine
WBedford Town (H) 1–0 Β· 10/10/2026LSpennymoor Town (A) 1–4 Β· 03/10/2026WWorksop Town (H) 4–1 Β· 26/09/2026WLower Breck (A) 2–1 Β· 19/09/2026LBuxton (A) 1–3 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.80
1.10
Win streak (best this season)
4
2
Elo strength rating
1583
1526

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Chester

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Marine

Won 5 in a row Unbeaten 5
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” National League North

Chester

3rd best defence (0.80 conceded/game)

Marine

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Chester at home Β· Marine away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Chester (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–0D–2L
W 4
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2

Marine (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–3L
W 2
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Chester (home)Marine (away)
W 4
L 2
W 2
L 3
Played
6
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
0.50
1.40
Clean sheets
3
0
Failed to score
2
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.6%
2–0
5.8%
1–0
5.1%
3–1
5%
3–0
3.9%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Chester 3 wins Β· 1 draw Β· Marine 2 wins Β· avg 3 goals Β· BTTS in 4 of 6

3
1
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
27 Jan 2026 Marine 2–1 Chester National League - North
04 Nov 2025 Chester 1–1 Marine National League - North
21 Apr 2025 Chester 2–1 Marine National League - North
26 Dec 2024 Marine 2–3 Chester National League - North
24 Oct 2020 Chester 0–1 Marine FA Cup
05 Sep 2020 Marine 0–4 Chester Friendlies Clubs

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Chester

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Bedford Town Home 1–0 W
03/10 Spennymoor Town Away 1–4 L
26/09 Worksop Town Home 4–1 W
19/09 Lower Breck Away 2–1 W
12/09 Buxton Away 1–3 L

Marine

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Spalding United Home 1–0 W
03/10 Warrington Town Home 2–0 W
26/09 Merthyr Town Away 2–1 W
19/09 Radcliffe Home 3–2 W
12/09 Darlington 1883 Home 2–1 W

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” National League North

Chester #5 Β· 20 pts β€”  Marine #16 Β· 15 pts

Chester

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–2D–3L
W 6
D 2
L 3
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Marine

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–0D–6L
W 5
L 6
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
ChesterMarine
W 6
D 2
L 3
W 5
L 6
Played
11
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.10
Clean sheets
4
2
Failed to score
2
4
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Chester

0-15
2
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
4
46-60
3
61-75
1
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Marine

2
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
2
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League North predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws