Predictions β†’ England National League North

Darlington 1883 vs Spennymoor Town

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 β€’ 14:00 UTC+3 β€’ National League North - 13 β€’ Blackwell Meadows

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 78% 40.7% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 70% 70.8% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS No 79% 45.3% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 48.7% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-0 67% 9.5% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Darlington 1883 1.34 – 0.99 Spennymoor Town Β· expected total 2.33

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Darlington 1883

Form (last 5)
LAFC Telford United (A) 1–2 Β· 17/10/2026DMerthyr Town (H) 1–1 Β· 10/10/2026LMorecambe (A) 0–3 Β· 03/10/2026DHebburn Town (H) 1–1 Β· 26/09/2026WRedcar Town (A) 4–2 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1484

Spennymoor Town

Form (last 5)
LBrackley Town (A) 1–2 Β· 10/10/2026WChester (H) 4–1 Β· 03/10/2026DSouthport (A) 2–2 Β· 26/09/2026WAFC Emley (A) 4–0 Β· 19/09/2026DMacclesfield (H) 1–1 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)2.10
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1456
Darlington 1883Spennymoor Town
Goals scored (season avg)
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.00
2.10
Win streak (best this season)
1
1
Elo strength rating
1484
1456

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Darlington 1883

Winless 4
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Spennymoor Town

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” National League North

Darlington 1883

2nd worst defence (2.00 conceded/game) Best BTTS rate (83%)

Spennymoor Town

Worst defence (2.10 conceded/game) Best BTTS rate (83%) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%) 2nd worst clean sheets (0)

Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Darlington 1883 at home Β· Spennymoor Town away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Darlington 1883 (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–4L
D 2
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2

Spennymoor Town (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–4L
D 2
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.20
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Darlington 1883 (home)Spennymoor Town (away)
D 2
L 4
D 2
L 4
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
2.20
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
2
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
9.5%
2–0
7.1%
2–1
7%
3–0
3.2%
3–1
3.1%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Darlington 1883 5 wins Β· 2 draws Β· Spennymoor Town 3 wins Β· avg 2.8 goals Β· BTTS in 7 of 10

5
2
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
21 Feb 2026 Spennymoor Town 0–4 Darlington 1883 National League - North
22 Nov 2025 Darlington 1883 1–0 Spennymoor Town National League - North
04 Mar 2025 Spennymoor Town 2–1 Darlington 1883 National League - North
31 Aug 2024 Darlington 1883 1–0 Spennymoor Town National League - North
09 Mar 2024 Spennymoor Town 2–1 Darlington 1883 National League - North
28 Oct 2023 Darlington 1883 1–2 Spennymoor Town National League - North
28 Jan 2023 Darlington 1883 3–2 Spennymoor Town National League - North
20 Dec 2022 Spennymoor Town 1–3 Darlington 1883 FA Trophy
27 Aug 2022 Spennymoor Town 1–1 Darlington 1883 National League - North
01 Jan 2022 Darlington 1883 1–1 Spennymoor Town National League - North

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Darlington 1883

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 AFC Telford United Away 1–2 L
10/10 Merthyr Town Home 1–1 D
03/10 Morecambe Away 0–3 L
26/09 Hebburn Town Home 1–1 D
19/09 Redcar Town Away 4–2 W

Spennymoor Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Brackley Town Away 1–2 L
03/10 Chester Home 4–1 W
26/09 Southport Away 2–2 D
19/09 AFC Emley Away 4–0 W
12/09 Macclesfield Home 1–1 D

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” National League North

Darlington 1883 #23 Β· 8 pts β€”  Spennymoor Town #24 Β· 7 pts

Darlington 1883

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–8L
W 2
D 2
L 8
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Spennymoor Town

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–4D–6L
W 1
D 4
L 6
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
Darlington 1883Spennymoor Town
W 2
D 2
L 8
W 1
D 4
L 6
Played
12
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
2.10
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
2
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Darlington 1883

3
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
5
7
46-60
2
5
61-75
1
4
76-90
3
scored conceded

Spennymoor Town

0-15
1
7
16-30
1
4
31-45
3
6
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
2
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League North predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws