Chorley vs Buxton
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round of 128 • Victory Park • ⛅ 7°C, 16 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 40.1% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 78.5% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 78.2% · No 21.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 79.6% · Under 20.4% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 7% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Chorley 40.1% · Draw 21.5% · Buxton 38.4%. Selected outcome: Chorley win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Chorley 2.16, Buxton 2.11, expected total 4.27.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Chorley: L-W-L-L-D in their last five matches.
Buxton: W-W-W-D-L in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Chorley 2–3 Buxton, 24 Oct 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Chorley
Buxton
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Chorley at home · Buxton away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Chorley (home)
Buxton (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Buxton 1 win · 0 draws · Chorley 0 wins · avg 5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Chorley | 2–3 | Buxton | National League - North |
📈 Recent Form
Chorley
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Spennymoor Town | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Radcliffe | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Buxton | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 20/10 | Worcester City | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Worcester City | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | AFC Telford United | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Barton Town Old Boys | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Spalding United | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Rylands | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | King's Lynn Town | Away | 0–2 | L |
Buxton
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Marine | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 27/10 | Harborough Town | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Chorley | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 17/10 | Worksop Town | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 10/10 | King's Lynn Town | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 03/10 | South Shields | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 26/09 | South Shields | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Ashton United | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Chester | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 08/09 | Brackley Town | Home | 5–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: FA Trophy
Chorley
Buxton
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Chorley
Buxton
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: FA Trophy predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws