Brackley Town vs Chester
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • National League North - 16 • St James Park • ☁️ 7.3°C, 5 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 42.3% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 71.9% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 49.8% · Yes 50.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 56.1% · Over 43.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 10.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Brackley Town · Home
Brackley Town have won two of their last five, including a 1-0 win at Worksop Town, but lost 0-1 at home to Radcliffe. Their model expected goals of 1.36 for this fixture is the higher of the two sides.
Chester · Away
Chester have lost three of their last five, failing to score in a 0-1 home defeat to Hednesford Town and conceding four at Spennymoor Town. Their model expected goals of 1.07 sits below Brackley's figure.
Brackley's H2H edge
Brackley Town have won the latest three head-to-head meetings, including 2-1 at home in December 2024 and 0-1 away earlier that season. The most recent home meeting also finished 3-1 in Brackley's favour. Chester's away form adds weight: they lost 1-3 at South Shields and 1-4 at Spennymoor Town in their last five. Brackley's 1-0 win at Worksop Town shows they can edge a tight game, which fits a low-scoring home success. The evidence supports Brackley Town win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Brackley Town 1.36 – 1.07 Chester · expected total 2.43
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Brackley Town
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Brackley Town
Chester
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: National League North
Brackley Town
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Chester
Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Brackley Town at home · Chester away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Brackley Town (home)
Chester (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Brackley Town 4 wins · 3 draws · Chester 2 wins · avg 1.8 goals · BTTS in 4 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2024 | Brackley Town | 2–1 | Chester | National League - North |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Chester | 0–1 | Brackley Town | National League - North |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Brackley Town | 3–1 | Chester | National League - North |
| 05 Dec 2023 | Chester | 1–0 | Brackley Town | National League - North |
| 07 May 2023 | Chester | 0–1 | Brackley Town | National League - North - Play-offs |
| 07 Jan 2023 | Brackley Town | 1–1 | Chester | National League - North |
| 13 Aug 2022 | Chester | 2–0 | Brackley Town | National League - North |
| 07 May 2022 | Brackley Town | 0–0 | Chester | National League - North |
| 01 Feb 2022 | Chester | 1–1 | Brackley Town | National League - North |
📈 Recent Form
Brackley Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Worksop Town | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 27/10 | Spalding United | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 24/10 | Radcliffe | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Hednesford Town | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Spennymoor Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Chelmsford City | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 29/09 | South Shields | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 26/09 | Scarborough Athletic | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | AFC Portchester | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Morecambe | Away | 0–3 | L |
Chester
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Hednesford Town | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 27/10 | Marine | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 24/10 | South Shields | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Bedford Town | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Spennymoor Town | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 26/09 | Worksop Town | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Lower Breck | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Buxton | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 08/09 | Merthyr Town | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | Hebburn Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: National League North
Brackley Town #16 · 19 pts · Chester #9 · 23 pts
Brackley Town
Chester
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Brackley Town
Chester
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League North predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws