Predictions → England National League North

Scarborough Athletic vs Marine

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • National League North - 12 • 🌤 28.4°C, 16 km/h mostly clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available45.2% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available74.1% —
BTTS No Current price not available49.4% · Yes 50.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available54.8% · Over 45.2% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available10.8% —

🧠 Match Preview

Scarborough Athletic · Home

Scarborough Athletic have lost four of their last five, including home defeats to Bedford Town and Macclesfield by 1-2. Their model expected goals of 1.45 is the higher of the two sides.

Marine · Away

Marine have scored in each of their last five, though their two wins came against Hartlepool and Spalding United. Their model expected goals of 1.04 sits below the hosts'.

Scarborough's Home H2H Edge

The latest head-to-head, on 7 Feb 2026, finished 1-1 at Marine, while Scarborough won the earlier home meeting 4-1. Scarborough's home form is poor, with two 1-2 defeats in their last five, yet the model still gives them 45.2% and a 1-0 correct score at 10.8%. Marine have scored in all five recent matches, so a clean sheet is not assumed. The evidence supports Scarborough Athletic win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 10:47 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Scarborough Athletic 1.45 – 1.04 Marine · expected total 2.49

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Scarborough Athletic

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1534

Marine

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1499
Scarborough AthleticMarine
Goals scored (season avg)
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
1.40
Best league winning streak this season
4
3
Elo strength rating
1534
1499

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Scarborough Athletic

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Marine

Lost 2 in a row Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: National League North

Scarborough Athletic

2nd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) 3rd best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6)

Marine

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Scarborough Athletic at home · Marine away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Scarborough Athletic (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–3L
W 2
D 1
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3

Marine (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–5L
W 2
L 5
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Scarborough Athletic (home)Marine (away)
W 2
D 1
L 3
W 2
L 5
Played
6
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.90
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
3
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
10.81%
2–1
9.06%
2–0
8.73%
3–1
4.37%
3–0
4.21%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Marine 2 wins · 1 draw · Scarborough Athletic 2 wins · avg 2.4 goals · BTTS in 3 of 5

2
1
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
07 Feb 2026 Marine 1–1 Scarborough Athletic National League - North
25 Oct 2025 Scarborough Athletic 1–2 Marine National League - North
05 Apr 2025 Scarborough Athletic 4–1 Marine National League - North
26 Oct 2024 Marine 0–1 Scarborough Athletic National League - North
19 Nov 2022 Marine 1–0 Scarborough Athletic FA Trophy

📈 Recent Form

Scarborough Athletic

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Morecambe Away 0–2 L
24/10 Bedford Town Home 1–2 L
17/10 Hebburn Town Away 2–0 W
10/10 Radcliffe Away 1–4 L
06/10 Macclesfield Home 1–2 L
03/10 Macclesfield Away 2–2 D
26/09 Brackley Town Away 1–1 D
19/09 Dunston UTS Away 2–0 W
12/09 Merthyr Town Home 0–0 D
08/09 Macclesfield Away 0–0 D

Marine

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Buxton Away 2–4 L
27/10 Chester Away 1–2 L
24/10 Oxford City Home 1–1 D
17/10 Hartlepool Away 2–0 W
10/10 Spalding United Home 1–0 W
03/10 Warrington Town Home 2–0 W
26/09 Merthyr Town Away 2–1 W
19/09 Radcliffe Home 3–2 W
12/09 Darlington 1883 Home 2–1 W
08/09 South Shields Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: National League North

Scarborough Athletic #21 · 15 pts ·  Marine #18 · 16 pts

Scarborough Athletic

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–7L
W 4
D 3
L 7
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets4
Failed to score5
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1

Marine

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–8L
W 5
D 1
L 8
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards1
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Scarborough AthleticMarine
W 4
D 3
L 7
W 5
D 1
L 8
Played
14
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.40
Clean sheets
4
2
Failed to score
5
4
Yellow cards
0
1
Red cards
1
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/1
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Scarborough Athletic

3
0-15
1
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
1
6
76-90
5
scored conceded

Marine

3
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
1
2
46-60
4
5
61-75
4
4
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League North predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws