AFC Telford United vs Chelmsford City
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round of 128 • New Bucks Head • ☁️ 6.8°C, 13 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 44.2% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 78% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 76% · No 24% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 77.1% · Under 22.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 7.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: AFC Telford United 44.2% · Draw 22.0% · Chelmsford City 33.8%. Selected outcome: AFC Telford United win.
Goals
Model expected goals: AFC Telford United 2.18, Chelmsford City 1.90, expected total 4.08.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
AFC Telford United: W-W-D-W-L in their last five matches.
Chelmsford City: W-W-D-L-W in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Chelmsford City 4–0 AFC Telford United, 12 Nov 2011.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
AFC Telford United
Chelmsford City
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
AFC Telford United at home · Chelmsford City away, the split that matters for this fixture.
AFC Telford United (home)
Chelmsford City (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
AFC Telford United 0 wins · 0 draws · Chelmsford City 1 win · avg 4 goals · BTTS in 0 of 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2011 | Chelmsford City | 4–0 | AFC Telford United | FA Cup |
📈 Recent Form
AFC Telford United
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Southport | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Hereford | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Hebburn Town | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Darlington 1883 | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Chorley | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 26/09 | King's Lynn Town | Home | 0–5 | L |
| 22/09 | Worksop Town | Away | 2–5 | L |
| 19/09 | Worksop Town | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Harborough Town | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 08/09 | Oxford City | Home | 1–0 | W |
Chelmsford City
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | AFC Totton | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Dover | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Tonbridge Angels | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 17/10 | Wimborne Town | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 10/10 | Chesham United | Away | 5–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Brackley Town | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Horsham | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 19/09 | Canvey Island | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Hampton & Richmond | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 08/09 | Dorking Wanderers | Away | 3–3 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: FA Trophy
AFC Telford United
Chelmsford City
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
AFC Telford United
Chelmsford City
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: FA Trophy predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws