Predictions β†’ England National League South

Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 β€’ 14:00 UTC+3 β€’ National League South - 13

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw 63% 27.4% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 66% 65.2% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS Yes 81% 48.6% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 82% 50.2% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-1 70% 11.2% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Chelmsford City 1.39 – 1.25 Tonbridge Angels Β· expected total 2.64

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Chelmsford City

Form (last 5)
WChesham United (A) 5–0 Β· 10/10/2026WBrackley Town (A) 2–0 Β· 03/10/2026DHorsham (H) 0–0 Β· 26/09/2026WCanvey Island (A) 1–0 Β· 19/09/2026DHampton & Richmond (A) 1–1 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1604

Tonbridge Angels

Form (last 5)
WMaidenhead (A) 1–0 Β· 10/10/2026LTorquay (H) 0–1 Β· 03/10/2026LEbbsfleet United (H) 1–2 Β· 26/09/2026WRamsgate (H) 2–1 Β· 19/09/2026DHemel Hempstead Town (A) 1–1 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1526
Chelmsford CityTonbridge Angels
WChesham United (A) 5–0 Β· 10/10/2026WBrackley Town (A) 2–0 Β· 03/10/2026DHorsham (H) 0–0 Β· 26/09/2026WCanvey Island (A) 1–0 Β· 19/09/2026DHampton & Richmond (A) 1–1 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.80
1.00
Win streak (best this season)
1
2
Elo strength rating
1604
1526

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Chelmsford City

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 10
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
4/6

Tonbridge Angels

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Chelmsford City at home Β· Tonbridge Angels away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Chelmsford City (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–0L
W 1
D 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.30
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2

Tonbridge Angels (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–0L
W 4
D 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets4
Failed to score0
Chelmsford City (home)Tonbridge Angels (away)
W 1
D 3
W 4
D 2
Played
4
6
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
2.20
Goals conceded (avg)
0.30
0.50
Clean sheets
3
4
Failed to score
2
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–1
11.2%
0–0
6.9%
2–2
4.4%
3–3
0.9%
4–4
0.1%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Chelmsford City 4 wins Β· 4 draws Β· Tonbridge Angels 2 wins Β· avg 2.3 goals Β· BTTS in 6 of 10

4
4
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
26 Jan 2026 Chelmsford City 1–0 Tonbridge Angels National League - South
04 Nov 2025 Tonbridge Angels 2–4 Chelmsford City National League - South
22 Mar 2025 Tonbridge Angels 2–1 Chelmsford City National League - South
19 Aug 2024 Chelmsford City 1–1 Tonbridge Angels National League - South
13 Apr 2024 Chelmsford City 3–0 Tonbridge Angels National League - South
04 Nov 2023 Tonbridge Angels 1–1 Chelmsford City National League - South
20 Feb 2023 Chelmsford City 1–0 Tonbridge Angels National League - South
25 Oct 2022 Tonbridge Angels 1–0 Chelmsford City National League - South
09 Apr 2022 Chelmsford City 1–1 Tonbridge Angels National League - South
20 Nov 2021 Tonbridge Angels 1–1 Chelmsford City National League - South

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Chelmsford City

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Chesham United Away 5–0 W
03/10 Brackley Town Away 2–0 W
26/09 Horsham Home 0–0 D
19/09 Canvey Island Away 1–0 W
12/09 Hampton & Richmond Away 1–1 D

Tonbridge Angels

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Maidenhead Away 1–0 W
03/10 Torquay Home 0–1 L
26/09 Ebbsfleet United Home 1–2 L
19/09 Ramsgate Home 2–1 W
12/09 Hemel Hempstead Town Away 1–1 D

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” National League South

Chelmsford City #14 Β· 14 pts β€”  Tonbridge Angels #6 Β· 20 pts

Chelmsford City

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–8D–0L
W 2
D 8
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Tonbridge Angels

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–2D–4L
W 6
D 2
L 4
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards1
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
Chelmsford CityTonbridge Angels
W 2
D 8
W 6
D 2
L 4
Played
10
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.00
Clean sheets
4
4
Failed to score
2
2
Yellow cards
0
1
Red cards
1
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Chelmsford City

3
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
31-45
5
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
1
76-90
scored conceded

Tonbridge Angels

2
0-15
1
2
16-30
5
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
3
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League South predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws