Predictions → England National League South

Dover vs Chelmsford City

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 • 19:45 UTC+3 • National League South - 14

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 80% 46.3% — — — —
Double Chance 12 70% 70.9% — — — —
BTTS Yes 82% 50.7% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80% 47.8% — — — —
Correct Score 2-1 63% 7.5% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Dover 1.70 – 1.22 Chelmsford City · expected total 2.91

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Dover

Form (last 5)
DDorking Wanderers (H) 1–1 · 10/10/2026WHanwell Town (A) 2–1 · 03/10/2026WAFC Totton (H) 2–0 · 26/09/2026WFolkestone Invicta (H) 4–2 · 19/09/2026WFarnborough (A) 1–0 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)3
Elo strength rating1391

Chelmsford City

Form (last 5)
WChesham United (A) 5–0 · 10/10/2026WBrackley Town (A) 2–0 · 03/10/2026DHorsham (H) 0–0 · 26/09/2026WCanvey Island (A) 1–0 · 19/09/2026DHampton & Richmond (A) 1–1 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1604
DoverChelmsford City
DDorking Wanderers (H) 1–1 · 10/10/2026WHanwell Town (A) 2–1 · 03/10/2026WAFC Totton (H) 2–0 · 26/09/2026WFolkestone Invicta (H) 4–2 · 19/09/2026WFarnborough (A) 1–0 · 12/09/2026
WChesham United (A) 5–0 · 10/10/2026WBrackley Town (A) 2–0 · 03/10/2026DHorsham (H) 0–0 · 26/09/2026WCanvey Island (A) 1–0 · 19/09/2026DHampton & Richmond (A) 1–1 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
0.80
Win streak (best this season)
3
1
Elo strength rating
1391
1604

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Dover

Unbeaten 6
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Chelmsford City

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 10
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
4/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Dover at home · Chelmsford City away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Dover (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–2L
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2

Chelmsford City (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–5D–0L
W 1
D 5
Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Dover (home)Chelmsford City (away)
W 2
D 2
L 2
W 1
D 5
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
1.20
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
2
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.5%
1–0
6.4%
2–0
6.2%
3–1
4.2%
3–0
3.5%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Chelmsford City 1 win · 4 draws · Dover 2 wins · avg 1.9 goals · BTTS in 3 of 7

1
4
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
21 Mar 2026 Chelmsford City 1–2 Dover National League - South
28 Oct 2025 Dover 0–1 Chelmsford City National League - South
01 Apr 2024 Dover 1–0 Chelmsford City National League - South
23 Oct 2023 Chelmsford City 3–3 Dover National League - South
18 Feb 2023 Dover 0–0 Chelmsford City National League - South
07 Nov 2022 Chelmsford City 0–0 Dover National League - South
10 Nov 2012 Chelmsford City 1–1 Dover FA Trophy

📈 Recent Form

Dover

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Dorking Wanderers Home 1–1 D
03/10 Hanwell Town Away 2–1 W
26/09 AFC Totton Home 2–0 W
19/09 Folkestone Invicta Home 4–2 W
12/09 Farnborough Away 1–0 W

Chelmsford City

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Chesham United Away 5–0 W
03/10 Brackley Town Away 2–0 W
26/09 Horsham Home 0–0 D
19/09 Canvey Island Away 1–0 W
12/09 Hampton & Richmond Away 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison — National League South

Dover #9 · 18 pts —  Chelmsford City #14 · 14 pts

Dover

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–3L
W 5
D 3
L 3
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1

Chelmsford City

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–8D–0L
W 2
D 8
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
DoverChelmsford City
W 5
D 3
L 3
W 2
D 8
Played
11
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
0.80
Clean sheets
3
4
Failed to score
3
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/1
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Dover

0-15
2
16-30
5
2
31-45
4
6
46-60
4
3
61-75
4
76-90
5
scored conceded

Chelmsford City

3
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
31-45
5
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
1
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws