AS Roma vs Sassuolo
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Stadio Olimpico • ⛅ 3°C, 11 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 1.53 → 1.36 ▼11% | 1xBet1.36 | 73.5% | -0% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.11 | 89.7% | -0.4% |
| BTTS | No | Betfair2.20 | 47.3% · Yes 52.7% | +4.1% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Betano2.90 | 34.9% · Over 65.1% | +1.2% |
| Correct Score | 2-0 | Betano8.75 | 11.3% | -1.1% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.5 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 50.3% · Under 49.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
AS Roma · Home
AS Roma enter on a five-match unbeaten run of four wins and one draw, scoring 18 goals and failing to score in none of those games. Their latest meeting with Sassuolo produced a 2-0 win, the same scoreline as the correct-score pick.
Sassuolo · Away
Sassuolo have lost four of their last five, conceding 15 goals across that stretch, including a 2-6 home defeat to Lazio. They failed to score in only one of those five matches, but their model expected goals of 0.86 is well below Roma's 2.32.
Roma's H2H and scoring edge
The three latest head-to-heads all went Roma's way: 2-0, 0-1 and 1-0, with Sassuolo failing to score in each. Roma's recent record of 18 goals for and 7 against over five matches contrasts with Sassuolo's 6 for and 15 against. Roma's model expected goals of 2.32 against Sassuolo's 0.86 supports a home-controlled match rather than a high-scoring one, consistent with the Under 2.5 lean. The evidence supports AS Roma win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: AS Roma 2.32 – 0.86 Sassuolo · expected total 3.18
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
AS Roma
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
AS Roma
Sassuolo
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A
AS Roma
Sassuolo
Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
AS Roma at home · Sassuolo away, the split that matters for this fixture.
AS Roma (home)
Sassuolo (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
AS Roma 5 wins · 4 draws · Sassuolo 1 win · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | AS Roma | 2–0 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Sassuolo | 0–1 | AS Roma | Serie A |
| 17 Mar 2024 | AS Roma | 1–0 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| 03 Dec 2023 | Sassuolo | 1–2 | AS Roma | Serie A |
| 12 Mar 2023 | AS Roma | 3–4 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| 09 Nov 2022 | Sassuolo | 1–1 | AS Roma | Serie A |
| 13 Feb 2022 | Sassuolo | 2–2 | AS Roma | Serie A |
| 12 Sep 2021 | AS Roma | 2–1 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| 03 Apr 2021 | Sassuolo | 2–2 | AS Roma | Serie A |
| 06 Dec 2020 | AS Roma | 0–0 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
📈 Recent Form
AS Roma
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Udinese | Away | 5–2 | W |
| 27/10 | Cagliari | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 24/10 | Napoli | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 20/10 | Slovan Bratislava | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Genoa | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 14/10 | Real Madrid | Home | 3–4 | L |
| 11/10 | Como | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 19/09 | Inter | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 14/09 | Torino | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 10/09 | Fenerbahçe | Away | 1–1 | D |
Sassuolo
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Lazio | Home | 2–6 | L |
| 24/10 | Como | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 16/10 | Frosinone | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 11/10 | AC Milan | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/09 | Monza | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 13/09 | Juventus | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 06/09 | Bologna | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 29/08 | Torino | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 23/08 | Atalanta | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 17/08 | Cesena | Home | 3–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie A
AS Roma #3 · 24 pts · Sassuolo #15 · 8 pts
AS Roma
Sassuolo
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
AS Roma
Sassuolo
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
AS Roma
- ❌ L. Pellegrini: Thigh Injury
- ❌ D. Rensch: Muscle Injury
- ❌ M. Bah: Jumpers Knee
- ❌ E. Ndicka: Illness
- ❌ B. Cristante: Knee Injury
- ❌ K. Koulierakis: Knock
- ❌ M. Svilar: Toe Injury
- ❌ P. Dybala: Calf Injury
- ❌ M. Kone: Muscle Injury
- ❌ D. Malen: Suspended (Red Card)
Sassuolo
- ❌ D. Berardi: Ankle Injury
- ❌ A. Pinamonti: Injury
- ❌ I. Koné: Broken Leg
- ❌ C. Volpato: Thigh Problems
- ❌ E. Pieragnolo: Jumpers Knee
- ❌ S. Walukiewicz: Muscle Bruise
- ❌ Fali Candé: Jumpers Knee
- ❌ D. Boloca: Muscle Bruise
- ❌ Y. Paz: Jumpers Knee
- ❌ J. Idzes: Muscle Injury
- ❌ F. Leysen: Knee Injury
- ❌ K. Thorstvedt: Suspended (Red Card)
More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws