Konyaspor vs Galatasaray
Next match: Fri, 30 Oct 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
| Market | Tip | Confidence | Probability | Odds | Bookmaker | Market implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | 77% | 37.9% | — | — | — | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | 69% | 68.6% | — | — | — | — |
| BTTS | Yes | 81% | 49% | — | — | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81% | 49% | — | — | — | — |
| Correct Score | 0-1 | 63% | 7.3% | — | — | — | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.7 exp.) | Over 9.5 | 61% | 52.4% | — | — | — | — |
⚽ Model expected goals: Konyaspor 1.18 – 1.43 Galatasaray · expected total 2.61
🧠 Match Preview
Konyaspor sit 16th on 5 points from 7 games and host a Galatasaray side top of the Süper Lig on 16 points from 7. The gap in the table is stark, and the model leans away despite the venue.
Form tells a cautious story: Konyaspor have drawn three of their last five (DDDWL), while Galatasaray arrive with WDLWL. The expected goals split is tight — 1.18 for the hosts against 1.43 for the visitors — and recent xG reads 1.29 home versus 1.66 away, so this is no blowout on the numbers. Both squads are depleted: Konyaspor miss A. Ndao, B. Gungordu, E. Bardhi, E. Destan and M. Ibrahimoglu, while Galatasaray are without G. Guvenc, R. Leao, M. Lemina, V. Osimhen, W. Singo, L. Ugochukwu and L. Torreira.
The headline tip is an away win at 37.9 percent with a confidence of 77. Double chance 12 carries 68.6 percent, the safer route. Both teams to score lands at 49 percent and Over 2.5 also at 49 percent — the model sees goals as a coin flip, not a certainty. The correct-score board favours 0-1 at 9.28, then 1-2 at 8.88 and 0-2 at 7.52. Corners point Over 9.5 at 52.4 percent against an expected 9.7.
Value likely hides in the double chance and the undersold away win, given Galatasaray's table position. The honest caveat: Konyaspor beat them 2-0 here in February 2026, and with seven Galatasaray absences, the 37.9 percent away probability is far from comfortable.
Form tells a cautious story: Konyaspor have drawn three of their last five (DDDWL), while Galatasaray arrive with WDLWL. The expected goals split is tight — 1.18 for the hosts against 1.43 for the visitors — and recent xG reads 1.29 home versus 1.66 away, so this is no blowout on the numbers. Both squads are depleted: Konyaspor miss A. Ndao, B. Gungordu, E. Bardhi, E. Destan and M. Ibrahimoglu, while Galatasaray are without G. Guvenc, R. Leao, M. Lemina, V. Osimhen, W. Singo, L. Ugochukwu and L. Torreira.
The headline tip is an away win at 37.9 percent with a confidence of 77. Double chance 12 carries 68.6 percent, the safer route. Both teams to score lands at 49 percent and Over 2.5 also at 49 percent — the model sees goals as a coin flip, not a certainty. The correct-score board favours 0-1 at 9.28, then 1-2 at 8.88 and 0-2 at 7.52. Corners point Over 9.5 at 52.4 percent against an expected 9.7.
Value likely hides in the double chance and the undersold away win, given Galatasaray's table position. The honest caveat: Konyaspor beat them 2-0 here in February 2026, and with seven Galatasaray absences, the 37.9 percent away probability is far from comfortable.
Updated 15 Oct 2026, 10:10 UTC+3 — refreshed when the underlying data changes.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Konyaspor
Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)1.29
xG against (recent avg)1.01
Elo strength rating1493
Players out5
Galatasaray
Form (last 5)
WKasımpaşa (H) 3–1 · 09/10/2026DPendikspor (A) 3–3 · 02/10/2026LTrabzonspor (A) 0–4 · 19/09/2026WKocaelispor (H) 1–0 · 13/09/2026LSporting CP (A) 1–3 · 09/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Win streak (best this season)4
xG for (recent avg)1.41
xG against (recent avg)1.26
Elo strength rating1708
Players out7
KonyasporGalatasaray
DBaşakşehir (H) 0–0 · 11/10/2026DPalestine (H) 2–2 · 30/09/2026DKasımpaşa (A) 0–0 · 18/09/2026WTrabzonspor (H) 1–0 · 12/09/2026LErzurumspor FK (A) 0–1 · 05/09/2026
WKasımpaşa (H) 3–1 · 09/10/2026DPendikspor (A) 3–3 · 02/10/2026LTrabzonspor (A) 0–4 · 19/09/2026WKocaelispor (H) 1–0 · 13/09/2026LSporting CP (A) 1–3 · 09/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
0.60
2.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.10
1.60
Win streak (best this season)
1
4
xG for (recent avg)
1.29
1.41
xG against (recent avg)
1.01
1.26
Elo strength rating
1493
1708
Players out
5
7
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Konyaspor
Unbeaten 4
Winless 3
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
3/6
Galatasaray
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks — Süper Lig
Konyaspor
2nd best clean sheets (3)
Galatasaray
3rd best attack (2.30 goals/game)
3rd best BTTS rate (67%)
2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%)
Rank among 18 Süper Lig teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Konyaspor at home · Galatasaray away — the split that matters for this fixture.
Konyaspor (home)
Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Galatasaray (away)
Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–1L
W 2
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Konyaspor (home)Galatasaray (away)
W 1
D 1
L 2
W 2
L 1
Played
4
3
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
2.30
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
2.00
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
2
1
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scorelines
The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Galatasaray 7 wins · 1 draw · Konyaspor 2 wins · avg 2.9 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Konyaspor | 2–0 | Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| 22 Sep 2025 | Galatasaray | 3–1 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 22 Apr 2025 | Konyaspor | 1–5 | Galatasaray | Türkiye Kupası |
| 27 Feb 2025 | Galatasaray | 0–0 | Konyaspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Galatasaray | 1–0 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 16 Aug 2024 | Konyaspor | 1–2 | Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| 26 May 2024 | Konyaspor | 1–3 | Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| 07 Jan 2024 | Galatasaray | 3–0 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 17 Mar 2023 | Konyaspor | 2–1 | Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| 16 Sep 2022 | Galatasaray | 2–1 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
📈 Recent Form
Konyaspor
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Başakşehir | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 30/09 | Palestine | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 18/09 | Kasımpaşa | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | Trabzonspor | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 05/09 | Erzurumspor FK | Away | 0–1 | L |
Galatasaray
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Kasımpaşa | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 02/10 | Pendikspor | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 19/09 | Trabzonspor | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 13/09 | Kocaelispor | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 09/09 | Sporting CP | Away | 1–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison — Süper Lig
Konyaspor #16 · 5 pts — Galatasaray #1 · 16 pts
Konyaspor
Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–4L
W 1
D 2
L 4
Played7
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4
Yellow cards16
Red cards1
xG for (avg)1.29
xG against (avg)1.01
Corners for (avg)3.00
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Galatasaray
Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–1L
W 5
D 1
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Yellow cards12
Red cards2
xG for (avg)1.41
xG against (avg)1.26
Corners for (avg)7.50
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
KonyasporGalatasaray
W 1
D 2
L 4
W 5
D 1
L 1
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
0.60
2.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.60
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
4
1
Yellow cards
16
12
Red cards
1
2
xG for (avg)
1.29
1.41
xG against (avg)
1.01
1.26
Corners for (avg)
3.00
7.50
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Konyaspor
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded
Galatasaray
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Konyaspor
- ❌ A. Ndao — Suspended
- ❌ B. Gungordu — Injury
- ❌ E. Bardhi — Red Card
- ❌ E. Destan — Knee Injury
- ❌ M. Ibrahimoglu — Muscle Injury
Galatasaray
- ❌ G. Guvenc — Muscle Injury
- ❌ R. Leao — Muscle Injury
- ❌ M. Lemina — Muscle Injury
- ❌ V. Osimhen — Groin Injury
- ❌ W. Singo — Thigh Injury
- ❌ L. Ugochukwu — Red Card
- ❌ L. Torreira — Red Card
More: Süper Lig predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws