Turkey Süper Lig Predictions and Betting Tips

Upcoming Matches • Next 20 Days • 1 Matches • Round 7 • Updated 19 minutes ago • UTC+3

Value bets in Süper Lig: 1 bets · 100% win · profit +$54.18 (¼-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio →

Regular Season, Round 7

Friday, October 09

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
09/10 20:00 LWLWW DWDDW 85% 58.4% Home ✅ N/A 3 – 1 FT

Saturday, October 10

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
10/10 13:30 LLLDW WWDWL 77% 37.8% Away ❌ N/A 2 – 2 FT
10/10 16:00 WDWLW WLWDL 83% 54.1% Home ❌ @2.00 0 – 0 FT
10/10 16:00 LLLLW WLWLL 80% 46.2% Away ✅ @1.99 0 – 3 FT
10/10 19:00 DWLWL WDDLW 76% 34.7% Away ✅ N/A 0 – 3 FT

Sunday, October 11

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
11/10 13:30 DDWLL WLLDL 77% 37.7% Home ❌ N/A 0 – 0 FT
11/10 16:00 LDWLW LWWLL 75% 32.7% Home ❌ @2.61 0 – 3 FT
11/10 19:00 LWWWW WLWWW 87% 63.8% Home ✅ N/A 2 – 1 FT

Today - Monday, October 12

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
20:00 LLLWL DDLLL 80% 46.8% Away 1.95 —

Predictlix Süper Lig Insights

Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026

🎯

Match Outcome Confidence Map

Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor carries the window's highest model probability at 81%, with a 92 confidence rating and a +5.2pp edge at odds of 1.29. The PredictLix model also flags Amed vs Konyaspor at 70.3% and Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor at 62.3%, both driven by strong home attacking numbers. Back Beşiktaş to win at 1.29, the standout high-confidence pick.

📈

Model Track Record in This League

Across 72 settled matches in this league, the PredictLix model has landed 36.1% of match winner calls, a 26/72 return. That sample sits well under 50, so treat these figures as early signals rather than proof. Double chance stands at 84.7% (61/72), while BTTS and Over/Under 2.5 both hit 54.2% (39/72). Correct score trails at 2.8% (2/72), and draw picks manage just 16.7% (5/30).

⚽

Goals Landscape — Over/Under Breakdown

Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor leans Over 2.5 at 56.8%, the strongest goals signal in this window, with home and away lambdas of 2.3531 and 1.3464. Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş also favours Over at 52.3%, reflecting lambdas of 1.7415 and 1.264. By contrast, Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa tilts Under 2.5 at 57.8%, since Eyüpspor's 0.6699 lambda signals a blunt attack. Best angle: Over 2.5 in Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor at 56.8% confidence.

🔥

Streak & Momentum Signals

Galatasaray's form line reads LWWWW, yet the trend engine flags Kasımpaşa as unbeaten in their last 10 matches, a curious collision of streaks. Alanyaspor sit unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent outings. Amed's WWDWL underpins a 89% confidence rating on their win. Samsunspor's LLLLW and Göztepe's DDLLL expose relegation-zone slumps. Three fixtures carry partial data, so treat those samples with caution.

🧱

Defensive Lines — Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences

Eyüpspor's defensive numbers stand out for the wrong reasons, conceding 2.7 goals per game with no clean sheets across six outings. Samsunspor and Göztepe also leak heavily at 2.2 and 2 goals conceded respectively. By contrast, Kocaelispor and Kasımpaşa look far tighter, shipping just 0.7 and 0.8 per game with three and two clean sheets. Amed and Fenerbahçe share that same 0.8 figure, underlining their resilience.

🏟️

Standings Context & Match Motivation

Amed sit top on 13 points with a Champions League spot, yet Konyaspor arrive fighting a relegation battle needing points. Down at the bottom, Samsunspor and Göztepe both occupy the RELEGATION ZONE and must win, so their Regular Season - 8 ties carry real desperation. Beşiktaş, third and chasing a Champions League spot, travel to Trabzonspor in mid-table, while Alanyaspor and Kocaelispor meet in a European spot clash.

💰

Accumulator Builder & Value Picks

Beşiktaş and Galatasaray both carry 92 confidence, and the PredictLix model pairs them with Fenerbahçe's trip to Rizespor in a three-leg accumulator. Home wins for Galatasaray at 1.3 and Beşiktaş at 1.29 sit alongside an away success for Fenerbahçe at 1.75. Combined odds for all three legs come to 2.93 exactly. Back this treble at 2.93, though note the model's 52.4% hit rate on high-confidence picks suggests modest stakes.

⚖️

Model vs Market — Value Edges

Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor stands out, where the PredictLix model rates the home win at 81% against an implied 75.8%, a +5.2pp edge at odds of 1.29. Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK shows 52.3% versus 47.3%, a +5pp edge at 2.05. Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa adds +3.7pp, with 79.9% against 76.2% at 1.3. A positive edge signals long-term value, not a guaranteed winner in this specific match. Back Galatasaray at 1.3 with 92 confidence.

📡

AI Prediction Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

62 matches analysed Updated Oct 11, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
43.5% 27/62
⚽ Both Teams to Score
53.2% 33/62
📈 Over / Under 2.5
58.1% 36/62
🔢 Correct Score
3.2% 2/62
🛡️ Double Chance
87.1% 54/62
📐 Corners Over/Under
42.5% 17/40
🤝 Draw Predictions
20.0% 4/20

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 43.5% 10/23
⚽ Both Teams to Score 47.8% 11/23
📈 Over / Under 2.5 56.5% 13/23
🛡️ Double Chance 82.6% 19/23

Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 44.6% 41.7% 48
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 63.0% 100.0% 3
Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% 77.1% 100.0% 1
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 64.2% 83.3% 6
Both Teams to Score · <60% 53.5% 52.2% 46
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 74.6% 100.0% 2
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 52.7% 54.8% 42
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 64.6% 75.0% 8
Correct Score · <60% 11.0% 3.8% 52
Double Chance · 60-69% 67.9% 83.3% 6
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.8% 85.7% 42
Double Chance · 80+% 82.9% 100.0% 4
Draw Predictions · <60% 27.9% 15.4% 13
Corners Over/Under · <60% 54.9% 40.0% 20
Corners Over/Under · 80+% 88.9% 25.0% 4
Corners Over/Under · 60-69% 64.6% 45.5% 11
Corners Over/Under · 70-79% 76.7% 60.0% 5

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 6

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
18/09 20:00 DWDDW DWLLL 79% 46.3% Home ❌ @2.45 0 – 0 FT
19/09 17:00 WWLLD DWLWD 78% 45% Home ❌ @2.16 1 – 2 FT
19/09 17:00 LWWWL DWLWD 76% 40.4% Home ✅ @2.60 2 – 0 FT
19/09 20:00 LLDLW LLDWW 85% 59.5% Home ✅ @1.68 4 – 0 FT
19/09 20:00 LWLLW WLWWW 76% 41.2% Away ❌ @2.14 4 – 0 FT
20/09 17:00 LWDLL LLLWD 75% 37.3% Home ✅ @2.71 1 – 0 FT
20/09 17:00 DDLWW LLLWL 92% 77.1% Home ✅ @1.18 8 – 0 FT
20/09 20:00 WWDWL LWWWW 76% 39.6% Home ✅ @4.04 3 – 2 FT
20/09 20:00 DDLLL DWLWL 75% 39.2% Home ❌ @2.65 2 – 2 FT