Predictions → Turkey Süper Lig

Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 13:30 UTC+3 • Round 11 • 🌤 10.5°C, 5 km/h mostly clear

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
BTTS: No
Model probability 54.7% · Market implied at best price ≈ 47.6% · EV at shown price +14.9%
Best odds 2.10 · William Hill BetVictor 2.101xBet 2.08

Snapshotted at publish: No at 2.10 (54.7%, Model EV +14.9%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.

Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home 1xBet2.0144.4% -10.8%
Double Chance 12 William Hill1.3072.6% -5.6%
BTTS No William Hill2.1054.7% · Yes 45.3% +14.9%
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 1xBet2.0352.4% · Over 47.6% +6.4%
Correct Score 1-0 William Hill8.0010.4% -16.8%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.1 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available61.3% · Over 38.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Rizespor 44.4% · Draw 27.4% · Erzurumspor FK 28.2%. Selected outcome: Rizespor win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Rizespor 1.04, Erzurumspor FK 1.14, expected total 2.18.

Price check

The model favours Rizespor win, but the displayed price does not offer positive model EV.

Form / H2H

Rizespor: D-L-L-L-W in their last five matches.
Erzurumspor FK: L-W-W-D-W in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Erzurumspor FK 0–0 Rizespor, 17 Jul 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Rizespor

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.21
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.33
Elo strength rating1503
Players out1

Erzurumspor FK

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.06
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.14
Elo strength rating1406
Players out2
RizesporErzurumspor FK
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
3
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.21
1.06
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.33
1.14
Elo strength rating
1503
1406
Players out
1
2

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Rizespor

Winless 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Erzurumspor FK

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Süper Lig

Rizespor

2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Erzurumspor FK

2nd best clean sheets (4, season)

Rank among 18 Süper Lig teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Rizespor at home · Erzurumspor FK away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Rizespor (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–4L
L 4
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score3

Erzurumspor FK (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–2L
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Rizespor (home)Erzurumspor FK (away)
L 4
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played
4
5
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
2.50
1.60
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
3
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
10.44%
2–1
6.99%
2–0
6.15%
3–1
2.43%
3–0
2.14%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Erzurumspor FK 3 wins · 4 draws · Rizespor 3 wins · avg 2.1 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10

3
4
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
17 Jul 2026 Erzurumspor FK 0–0 Rizespor Friendlies Clubs
15 Jan 2026 Erzurumspor FK 2–0 Rizespor Türkiye Kupası
09 Apr 2023 Erzurumspor FK 1–1 Rizespor 1. Lig
04 Nov 2022 Rizespor 3–1 Erzurumspor FK 1. Lig
22 Jul 2022 Erzurumspor FK 2–3 Rizespor Friendlies Clubs
13 Nov 2021 Rizespor 1–4 Erzurumspor FK Friendlies Clubs
12 Feb 2021 Rizespor 0–2 Erzurumspor FK Süper Lig
03 Oct 2020 Erzurumspor FK 0–0 Rizespor Süper Lig
03 Feb 2019 Erzurumspor FK 0–1 Rizespor Süper Lig
24 Aug 2018 Rizespor 0–0 Erzurumspor FK Süper Lig

📈 Recent Form

Rizespor

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Kocaelispor Away 0–0 D
26/10 Trabzonspor Home 3–4 L
16/10 Çorum FK Away 1–2 L
10/10 Fenerbahçe Home 0–3 L
03/10 Boluspor Home 3–0 W
20/09 Göztepe Away 2–2 D
12/09 Eyüpspor Away 2–0 W
07/09 Alanyaspor Home 0–1 L
29/08 Gaziantep FK Away 2–1 W
22/08 Samsunspor Home 0–2 L

Erzurumspor FK

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Çorum FK Home 1–3 L
24/10 Gaziantep FK Away 3–1 W
17/10 Eyüpspor Home 2–0 W
10/10 Alanyaspor Away 0–0 D
20/09 Samsunspor Home 1–0 W
11/09 Beşiktaş Away 0–3 L
05/09 Konyaspor Home 1–0 W
28/08 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Away 1–1 D
21/08 Galatasaray Home 0–4 L
16/08 Amed Away 0–3 L

📊 Season Comparison: Süper Lig

Rizespor #13 · 11 pts ·  Erzurumspor FK #11 · 14 pts

Rizespor

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–5L
W 3
D 2
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4
Yellow cards19
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.21
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.33
Corners for (avg)4.20
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Erzurumspor FK

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–4L
W 4
D 2
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets4
Failed to score4
Yellow cards13
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.06
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.14
Corners for (avg)3.00
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
RizesporErzurumspor FK
W 3
D 2
L 5
W 4
D 2
L 4
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.50
Clean sheets
3
4
Failed to score
4
4
Yellow cards
19
13
Red cards
1
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.21
1.06
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.33
1.14
Corners for (avg)
4.20
3.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Rizespor

2
0-15
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
61-75
3
5
76-90
4
scored conceded

Erzurumspor FK

1
0-15
4
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
4
61-75
3
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Rizespor

  • ❌ K. Alikulov: Knee Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): F. Orak, M. Diakite, V. Mihaila, A. Kutucu; not counted as confirmed absences.

Erzurumspor FK

  • ❌ E. Yigit: Suspended (Suspended)
  • ❌ M. Yumlu: Injury

More: Süper Lig predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws