Predictions → Turkey Süper Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor

Erzurumspor FK
1:0
Full Time · 20 Sep 2026
Samsunspor

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 75% 37.3% @2.71 — 36% +1.3 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 72% 72.3% @1.45 — 66.2% +6.1 pp ✅
BTTS No 86% 58.1% @1.87 — 49.5% +8.6 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 86% 57.9% @1.71 — 56.6% +1.3 pp ✅
Correct Score 1-0 71% 12.2% @7.50 — 5.6% +6.6 pp ✅
Draw (value pick) Draw 72% 32% @3.19 — 30.1% +1.9 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 76% 65.4% @1.49 — 60.4% +5 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Erzurumspor FK 1.03 – 0.83 Samsunspor · expected total 1.86

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Erzurumspor FK

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Samsunspor

Lost 5 in a row Winless 5
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
2/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Süper Lig

Erzurumspor FK

2nd worst attack (0.40 goals/game) 2nd best clean sheets (3)

Samsunspor

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 18 Süper Lig teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Erzurumspor FK at home · Samsunspor away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Erzurumspor FK (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–1L
W 2
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1

Samsunspor (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–2L
W 1
L 2
Played3
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Erzurumspor FK (home)Samsunspor (away)
W 2
L 1
W 1
L 2
Played
3
3
Goals scored (avg)
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
0.70
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Erzurumspor FK

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Alanyaspor Away 0–0 D
20/09 Samsunspor Home 1–0 W
11/09 Beşiktaş Away 0–3 L
05/09 Konyaspor Home 1–0 W
28/08 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Away 1–1 D

Samsunspor

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Trabzonspor Home 0–3 L
20/09 Erzurumspor FK Away 0–1 L
12/09 Çorum FK Home 1–5 L
06/09 Kocaelispor Away 0–1 L
30/08 Fenerbahçe Home 0–2 L

📊 Season Comparison — Süper Lig

Erzurumspor FK #14 · 8 pts —  Samsunspor #17 · 4 pts

Erzurumspor FK

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–3L
W 2
D 2
L 3
Played7
Goals scored (avg)0.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4
Yellow cards11
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.76
xG against (avg)1.44
Corners for (avg)2.90
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Samsunspor

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–5L
W 1
D 1
L 5
Played7
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards6
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.84
xG against (avg)1.39
Corners for (avg)4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1
Erzurumspor FKSamsunspor
W 2
D 2
L 3
W 1
D 1
L 5
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
0.40
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
2.10
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
4
4
Yellow cards
11
6
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
0.76
0.84
xG against (avg)
1.44
1.39
Corners for (avg)
2.90
4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Erzurumspor FK

1
0-15
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Samsunspor

5
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Erzurumspor FK

  • ❌ E. Yigit — Suspended

Samsunspor

  • ❌ J. Assoumou — Inactive
  • ❌ Y. E. Cift — Inactive
  • ❌ T. Coulibaly — Inactive
  • ❌ I. Drapinski — Inactive
  • ❌ E. Tavsan — Inactive
  • ❌ E. Watt — Suspended
  • ❌ A. Makoumbou — Inactive
  • ❌ Marius — Inactive
  • ❌ A. Sousa — Inactive
  • ❌ F. Kaya — Injury
  • ❌ O. Ohlenschlaeger — Knee Injury

More: Süper Lig predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws