Predictions → Turkey Süper Lig

Çorum FK vs Rizespor

Next match: Fri, 16 Oct 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 8 • Corum Stadyumu • ☁️ 12.4°C, 12 km/h, 0.4mm overcast

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
BTTS — No
Model 49.0% · Market best price ≈ 46.5% · Edge +5.4 pp
Best odds 2.15 BetVictor 2.15Betano 2.151xBet 2.13
Bet this pick →
¼ Kelly sizing: 1.2% of bank

Snapshotted at publish: pick + best price. Prices move constantly — confirm at the bookmaker. 18+, gamble responsibly.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 81% 47.6% 2.13 1xBet 47.1% +0.5 pp
Double Chance 1X 74% 76.1% 1.35 Betano 72.3% +3.8 pp
BTTS No 81% 49.1% 2.15 BetVictor 43.7% +5.4 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80% 47.8% 2.10 Betano 46.7% +1.1 pp
Correct Score 1-0 67% 9.7% 8.50 Bet365 6% +3.7 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.3 exp.) Under 9.5 61% 52.4% 1.75 Betano 53.3% -0.9 pp

⚽ Model expected goals: Çorum FK 1.55 – 0.91 Rizespor · expected total 2.46

Probabilities are calibrated against this season's real results. Odds are correct at publish time. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market. Odds chips show the line movement since our tip — a big drop means the value window is closing.

🧠 Match Preview

Çorum FK host Rizespor at Corum Stadyumu on Friday, with both sides mid-table and eager to climb. The visitors sit 9th on 10 points from 6, while the hosts are 11th on 7 — a win would tighten this gap considerably.

The model leans home. Çorum's recent xG of 1.46 edges Rizespor's 1.37, and the expected-goals split (1.383 versus 0.9706) points to a low-scoring, home-controlled game. Form reads LWWLL for Çorum against DWLWL for Rizespor, and the visitors carry the heavier injury list — K. Alikulov, F. Orak, M. Diakite and V. Mihaila all out, versus S. Osmanoglu and A. Kyziridis for the hosts.

The headline tip is a home win at 43%, with double chance 1X at 72% the safer route. Under 2.5 lands at 49%, BTTS No at 48.5%, and the correct-score model favours 1-0 at 9.6%, with 1-0 (11.87) topping the score grid. Corners lean Under 9.5 at 52.4% on an expected 9.3.

The caveat: no bookmaker odds are quoted, so value can't be verified — and 43% is far from dominant. Treat 1X as the anchor.

Updated 01 Oct 2026, 09:49 UTC+3 — refreshed when the underlying data changes.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Çorum FK

Form (last 5)
WGaziantep FK (A) 3–0 · 11/10/2026LAlanyaspor (H) 1–2 · 19/09/2026WSamsunspor (A) 5–1 · 12/09/2026WEyüpspor (H) 3–0 · 06/09/2026LBeşiktaş (A) 2–6 · 31/08/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)1.46
xG against (recent avg)1.26
Elo strength rating1435
Players out2

Rizespor

Form (last 5)
LFenerbahçe (H) 0–3 · 10/10/2026WBoluspor (H) 3–0 · 03/10/2026DGöztepe (A) 2–2 · 20/09/2026WEyüpspor (A) 2–0 · 12/09/2026LAlanyaspor (H) 0–1 · 07/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)1.37
xG against (recent avg)1.72
Elo strength rating1527
Players out4
Çorum FKRizespor
Goals scored (season avg)
2.30
1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.70
1.30
Win streak (best this season)
2
1
xG for (recent avg)
1.46
1.37
xG against (recent avg)
1.26
1.72
Elo strength rating
1435
1527
Players out
2
4

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Çorum FK

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Rizespor

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Süper Lig

Çorum FK

3rd best attack (2.30 goals/game) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Rizespor

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 18 Süper Lig teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Çorum FK at home · Rizespor away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Çorum FK (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–2L
W 1
L 2
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Rizespor (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–0L
W 3
D 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Çorum FK (home)Rizespor (away)
W 1
L 2
W 3
D 1
Played
3
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.80
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
9.7%
2–0
8.3%
2–1
7.5%
3–0
4.3%
3–1
3.9%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

📈 Recent Form

Çorum FK

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 Gaziantep FK Away 3–0 W
19/09 Alanyaspor Home 1–2 L
12/09 Samsunspor Away 5–1 W
06/09 Eyüpspor Home 3–0 W
31/08 Beşiktaş Away 2–6 L

Rizespor

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Fenerbahçe Home 0–3 L
03/10 Boluspor Home 3–0 W
20/09 Göztepe Away 2–2 D
12/09 Eyüpspor Away 2–0 W
07/09 Alanyaspor Home 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison — Süper Lig

Çorum FK #8 · 10 pts —  Rizespor #10 · 10 pts

Çorum FK

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–3L
W 3
D 1
L 3
Played7
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Yellow cards15
Red cards1
xG for (avg)1.46
xG against (avg)1.26
Corners for (avg)4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Rizespor

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–3L
W 3
D 1
L 3
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards12
Red cards1
xG for (avg)1.37
xG against (avg)1.72
Corners for (avg)4.10
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Çorum FKRizespor
W 3
D 1
L 3
W 3
D 1
L 3
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
1.30
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
1
3
Yellow cards
15
12
Red cards
1
1
xG for (avg)
1.46
1.37
xG against (avg)
1.26
1.72
Corners for (avg)
4.70
4.10
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Çorum FK

3
0-15
4
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
3
61-75
3
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Rizespor

2
0-15
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
2
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Çorum FK

  • ❌ S. Osmanoglu — Injury
  • ❌ A. Kyziridis — Red Card

Rizespor

  • ❌ K. Alikulov — Knee Injury
  • ❌ F. Orak — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Diakite — Inactive
  • ❌ V. Mihaila — Inactive

More: Süper Lig predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws