Predictions → Turkey Süper Lig

Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 21:00 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Tupras Stadium • ☀️ 9.8°C, 2 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Betano1.3475.1% +0.6%
Double Chance 1X Betano1.0991.4% -0.4%
BTTS No 1xBet1.8755% · Yes 45% +2.9%
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 1xBet2.4840.4% · Over 59.6% +0.2%
Correct Score 2-0 Betano7.4013.6% +0.6%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.9 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available59.5% · Under 40.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Beşiktaş · Home

Beşiktaş have scored 9 goals across their last five matches, including 2-0 against Başakşehir and 3-2 at Hoffenheim. Their recent weighted xG of 2.6 sits close to a model expectation of 2.26 for this fixture.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. · Away

Gençlerbirliği have failed to score in four of their last five, managing only 2 goals in total. Their recent weighted xG of 0.71 is well below Beşiktaş's output.

Gençlerbirliği's Scoring Drought

Gençlerbirliği's 2-2 draw with Amed is the only match in their last five in which they scored, and they have failed to score in the other four. The latest H2H, on 15 Mar 2026, ended 0-2 to Beşiktaş, though the earlier meeting finished 1-2. Beşiktaş's 9 goals in five matches contrast sharply with Gençlerbirliği's 2, and the model's 2-0 correct score aligns with that gap. The evidence supports Beşiktaş win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Beşiktaş 2.26 – 0.68 Gençlerbirliği S.K. · expected total 2.94

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Beşiktaş

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.60
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.31
Elo strength rating1649
Players out5

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Best league winning streak this season4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.71
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.32
Elo strength rating1331
Players out5
BeşiktaşGençlerbirliği S.K.
Goals scored (season avg)
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.10
2.00
Best league winning streak this season
3
4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.60
0.71
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.31
2.32
Elo strength rating
1649
1331
Players out
5
5

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Beşiktaş

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Lost 2 in a row Winless 8
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Süper Lig

Beşiktaş

Best BTTS rate (67%, last 6)

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 18 Süper Lig teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Beşiktaş at home · Gençlerbirliği S.K. away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Beşiktaş (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–0D–0L
W 5
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–3L
W 1
L 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Beşiktaş (home)Gençlerbirliği S.K. (away)
W 5
W 1
L 3
Played
5
4
Goals scored (avg)
2.80
0.30
Goals conceded (avg)
0.60
2.80
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
0
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–0
13.61%
1–0
11.24%
3–0
10.24%
2–1
9.27%
3–1
6.97%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Beşiktaş 8 wins · 0 draws · Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2 wins · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 3 of 10

8
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
15 Mar 2026 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–2 Beşiktaş Süper Lig
18 Oct 2025 Beşiktaş 1–2 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Süper Lig
27 Jul 2024 Beşiktaş 2–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Friendlies Clubs
15 Feb 2021 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–3 Beşiktaş Süper Lig
04 Oct 2020 Beşiktaş 0–1 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Süper Lig
25 Jul 2020 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–3 Beşiktaş Süper Lig
27 Dec 2019 Beşiktaş 4–1 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Süper Lig
10 Mar 2018 Beşiktaş 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Süper Lig
06 Feb 2018 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–1 Beşiktaş Türkiye Kupası
30 Jan 2018 Beşiktaş 3–1 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Türkiye Kupası

📈 Recent Form

Beşiktaş

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Kasımpaşa Away 2–2 D
26/10 Başakşehir Home 2–0 W
22/10 Crystal Palace Home 2–2 D
19/10 Trabzonspor Away 0–2 L
15/10 1899 Hoffenheim Away 3–2 W
11/10 Kocaelispor Home 2–1 W
20/09 Amed Away 2–3 L
17/09 Marseille Home 4–1 W
11/09 Erzurumspor FK Home 3–0 W
05/09 Fenerbahçe Away 2–1 W

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25/10 Konyaspor Away 0–2 L
17/10 Galatasaray Home 0–1 L
10/10 Amed Home 2–2 D
03/10 Keçiörengücü Home 0–1 L
19/09 Başakşehir Away 0–4 L
13/09 Kasımpaşa Home 1–2 L
06/09 Trabzonspor Away 0–5 L
28/08 Erzurumspor FK Home 1–1 D
23/08 Göztepe Away 1–0 W
15/08 Fenerbahçe Home 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: Süper Lig

Beşiktaş #4 · 19 pts ·  Gençlerbirliği S.K. #16 · 8 pts

Beşiktaş

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–1D–3L
W 6
D 1
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards21
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.60
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.31
Corners for (avg)6.00
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–5L
W 2
D 2
L 5
Played9
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards17
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.71
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.32
Corners for (avg)6.20
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
BeşiktaşGençlerbirliği S.K.
W 6
D 1
L 3
W 2
D 2
L 5
Played
10
9
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
2.00
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
2
4
Yellow cards
21
17
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.60
0.71
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.31
2.32
Corners for (avg)
6.00
6.20
Penalties (scored/missed)
3/0
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Beşiktaş

1
0-15
1
4
16-30
4
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

4
0-15
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
3
2
61-75
1
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Beşiktaş

  • ❌ E. Ricardo: Off the roster
  • ❌ D. Vlahovic: Suspended (Suspended)
  • ❌ M. Rashica: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ O. Kokcu: Foot Injury
  • ❌ F. Miretti: Injury
  • ❓ L. Trossard (doubtful): Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): R. Yilmaz, U. Akdag; not counted as confirmed absences.

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

  • ❌ D. Demir: Knee Injury
  • ❌ P. Pereira: Injury
  • ❌ A. Traore: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ O. Ulgun: Injury
  • ❌ O. Diabate: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❓ D. Goutas (doubtful): Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): K. Rodrigues, C. Niasse, P. Etebo; not counted as confirmed absences.

More: Süper Lig predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws