Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Next match: Sun, 25 Oct 2026 • 13:00 UTC+3 • Round 9 • Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium • ⛅ 20.6°C, 5 km/h partly cloudy

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Market	Tip	Confidence	Probability	Odds	Bookmaker	Market implied	Edge
Match Result (1X2)	Home	82%	51.9%	—	—	—	—
Double Chance	1X	78%	81.7%	—	—	—	—
BTTS	No	87%	59.7%	—	—	—	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	84%	55.3%	—	—	—	—
Correct Score	1-0	80%	17.2%	—	—	—	—
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.6 exp.)	Over 9.5	61%	52.2%	—	—	—	—

⚽ Model expected goals: Konyaspor 1.20 – 0.53 Gençlerbirliği S.K. · expected total 1.73

🧠 Match Preview

Konyaspor host Gençlerbirliği at the Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium on Sunday, with both sides stuck in the wrong half of the Süper Lig table after seven matches. The hosts sit 16th on 5 points, the visitors 13th on 8, so this is a fixture where three points matter more than style.

The model leans clearly toward the home side. Konyaspor's recent form reads DDDWL, Gençlerbirliği's DLLLL, and the expected-goals split is emphatic: 1.1956 for the hosts against just 0.5332 for the away team, with recent xG at 1.29 versus 0.9. Both squads are depleted, Konyaspor missing A. Ndao, B. Gungordu, E. Bardhi, E. Destan and M. Ibrahimoglu, while Gençlerbirliği are without D. Demir, K. Rodrigues, C. Niasse, P. Pereira, A. Traore and O. Ulgun.

The headline tip is a home win at 51.9 percent with confidence 82, and the double chance 1X is rated at 81.7 percent, the safest angle on the card. Goals look scarce: Under 2.5 lands at 55.3 percent and BTTS No at 59.7 percent, both pointing to a tight, low-scoring affair. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 20.1 percent, with 2-0 at 12.69 and 2-1 at 6.77. Corners offer a secondary route, Over 9.5 at 52.2 percent against an expected 9.6.

The caveat is real: Konyaspor have drawn three of their last five and sit below their visitors, so a home win is no formality. If the bookmaker prices the 1X generously relative to 81.7 percent, that is where the value hides.

Updated 13 Oct 2026, 04:09 UTC+3 — refreshed when the underlying data changes.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Konyaspor

Form (last 5)

DBaşakşehir (H) 0–0 · 11/10/2026DPalestine (H) 2–2 · 30/09/2026DKasımpaşa (A) 0–0 · 18/09/2026 WTrabzonspor (H) 1–0 · 12/09/2026 LErzurumspor FK (A) 0–1 · 05/09/2026

Goals scored (season avg)0.60

Goals conceded (season avg)1.10

Win streak (best this season)1

xG for (recent avg)1.29

xG against (recent avg)1.01

Elo strength rating1493

Players out5

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Form (last 5)

DAmed (H) 2–2 · 10/10/2026LKeçiörengücü (H) 0–1 · 03/10/2026LBaşakşehir (A) 0–4 · 19/09/2026 LKasımpaşa (H) 1–2 · 13/09/2026 LTrabzonspor (A) 0–5 · 06/09/2026

Goals scored (season avg)1.00

Goals conceded (season avg)2.10

Win streak (best this season)2

xG for (recent avg)0.90

xG against (recent avg)2.11

Elo strength rating1347

Players out6

KonyasporGençlerbirliği S.K.

DBaşakşehir (H) 0–0 · 11/10/2026DPalestine (H) 2–2 · 30/09/2026DKasımpaşa (A) 0–0 · 18/09/2026 WTrabzonspor (H) 1–0 · 12/09/2026 LErzurumspor FK (A) 0–1 · 05/09/2026

DAmed (H) 2–2 · 10/10/2026LKeçiörengücü (H) 0–1 · 03/10/2026LBaşakşehir (A) 0–4 · 19/09/2026 LKasımpaşa (H) 1–2 · 13/09/2026 LTrabzonspor (A) 0–5 · 06/09/2026

Goals scored (season avg)

0.60

1.00

Goals conceded (season avg)

1.10

2.10

Win streak (best this season)

xG for (recent avg)

1.29

0.90

xG against (recent avg)

1.01

2.11

Elo strength rating

1493

1347

Players out

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Konyaspor

Unbeaten 4 Winless 3

BTTS

2/6

Over 2.5

2/6

Scored

3/6

Clean sheets

3/6

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Winless 6

BTTS

3/6

Over 2.5

4/6

Scored

3/6

Clean sheets

0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Süper Lig

Konyaspor

2nd best clean sheets (3)

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 18 Süper Lig teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Konyaspor at home · Gençlerbirliği S.K. away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Konyaspor (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L

W 1

D 1

L 2

Played4

Goals scored (avg)0.50

Goals conceded (avg)0.80

Clean sheets2

Failed to score2

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–2L

W 1

L 2

Played3

Goals scored (avg)0.30

Goals conceded (avg)3.00

Clean sheets1

Failed to score2

Konyaspor (home)Gençlerbirliği S.K. (away)

W 1

D 1

L 2

W 1

L 2

Played

Goals scored (avg)

0.50

0.30

Goals conceded (avg)

0.80

3.00

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0

17.2%

2–0

10.9%

2–1

5.8%

3–0

4.3%

3–1

2.3%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Gençlerbirliği S.K. 3 wins · 3 draws · Konyaspor 3 wins · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 4 of 9

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
19 Mar 2026	Konyaspor	1–0	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	Süper Lig
26 Oct 2025	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	1–2	Konyaspor	Süper Lig
05 Sep 2021	Konyaspor	0–3	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	Friendlies Clubs
03 Feb 2021	Konyaspor	0–0	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	Süper Lig
19 Sep 2020	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	0–0	Konyaspor	Süper Lig
14 Jun 2020	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	2–1	Konyaspor	Süper Lig
02 Nov 2019	Konyaspor	1–1	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	Süper Lig
26 Jan 2018	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	2–1	Konyaspor	Süper Lig
21 Aug 2017	Konyaspor	3–0	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	Süper Lig

📈 Recent Form

Konyaspor

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
11/10	Başakşehir	Home	0–0	D
30/09	Palestine	Home	2–2	D
18/09	Kasımpaşa	Away	0–0	D
12/09	Trabzonspor	Home	1–0	W
05/09	Erzurumspor FK	Away	0–1	L

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
10/10	Amed	Home	2–2	D
03/10	Keçiörengücü	Home	0–1	L
19/09	Başakşehir	Away	0–4	L
13/09	Kasımpaşa	Home	1–2	L
06/09	Trabzonspor	Away	0–5	L

📊 Season Comparison — Süper Lig

Konyaspor #16 · 5 pts — Gençlerbirliği S.K. #13 · 8 pts

Konyaspor

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–4L

W 1

D 2

L 4

Played7

Goals scored (avg)0.60

Goals conceded (avg)1.10

Clean sheets3

Failed to score4

Yellow cards16

Red cards1

xG for (avg)1.29

xG against (avg)1.01

Corners for (avg)3.00

Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–3L

W 2

D 2

L 3

Played7

Goals scored (avg)1.00

Goals conceded (avg)2.10

Clean sheets1

Failed to score2

Yellow cards14

Red cards0

xG for (avg)0.90

xG against (avg)2.11

Corners for (avg)5.60

Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

KonyasporGençlerbirliği S.K.

W 1

D 2

L 4

W 2

D 2

L 3

Played

Goals scored (avg)

0.60

1.00

Goals conceded (avg)

1.10

2.10

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Yellow cards

Red cards

xG for (avg)

1.29

0.90

xG against (avg)

1.01

2.11

Corners for (avg)

3.00

5.60

Penalties (scored/missed)

0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Konyaspor

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Konyaspor

❌ A. Ndao — Suspended
❌ B. Gungordu — Injury
❌ E. Bardhi — Red Card
❌ E. Destan — Knee Injury
❌ M. Ibrahimoglu — Muscle Injury

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

❌ D. Demir — Knee Injury
❌ K. Rodrigues — Inactive
❌ C. Niasse — Inactive
❌ P. Pereira — Inactive
❌ A. Traore — Muscle Injury
❌ O. Ulgun — Injury

More: Süper Lig predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws