Predictions → Turkey Süper Lig

Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 18:30 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Alanya Oba Stadium • ☀️ 16.5°C, 5 km/h clear

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
BTTS: Yes
Model probability 66.5% · Market implied at best price ≈ 57.1% · EV at shown price +16.4%
Best odds 1.75 · Betano Marathonbet 1.701xBet 1.70

Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.75 (66.5%, Model EV +16.4%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.

Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away Betfair1.9149.5% -5.5%
Double Chance 12 1xBet1.2875.9% -2.8%
BTTS Yes Betano1.7566.5% · No 33.5% +16.4%
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 1xBet1.8755.7% · Under 44.3% +4.2%
Correct Score 1-2 Betfair8.008.8% -29.6%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.9 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available53.2% · Under 46.8% —

🧠 Match Preview

Alanyaspor · Home

Alanyaspor have won just once in their last five, with the 1-1 draw against Trabzonspor on 11 April 2026 the only point from the two most recent home meetings in this head-to-head. They failed to score in two of those five matches, including the 0-0 with Erzurumspor FK.

Trabzonspor · Away

Trabzonspor have won all five of their recent matches, scoring 14 goals and keeping three clean sheets, and they also won 1-0 at home against Alanyaspor on 17 December 2025. Their recent xG for of 2.39 across up to five recent matches with recorded statistics underlines that attacking output.

Trabzonspor's scoring run meets Alanyaspor's leaky home form

The clearest angle is the head-to-head trend: Alanyaspor have not beaten Trabzonspor in the latest three meetings, drawing 1-1 on 11 April 2026 and 1-1 on 8 November 2025 while losing 0-1 on 17 December 2025. Trabzonspor arrive with five wins from five and 14 goals scored, whereas Alanyaspor conceded eight across their last five. The model expected goals of 1.78 for Trabzonspor against 1.55 for Alanyaspor point to a competitive but away-leaning contest, and the 1-2 correct score is consistent with that gap. The evidence supports Trabzonspor win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Alanyaspor 1.55 – 1.78 Trabzonspor · expected total 3.33

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Alanyaspor

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.30
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.48
Elo strength rating1448
Players out2

Trabzonspor

Form (last 5)
WWWWW
Goals scored (season avg)2.40
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Best league winning streak this season6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.53
Elo strength rating1711
Players out7
AlanyasporTrabzonspor
Goals scored (season avg)
1.00
2.40
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.20
0.90
Best league winning streak this season
2
6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.30
2.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.48
1.53
Elo strength rating
1448
1711
Players out
2
7

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Alanyaspor

Lost 2 in a row Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Trabzonspor

Won 6 in a row Unbeaten 6
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
4/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Süper Lig

Alanyaspor

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Trabzonspor

2nd best attack (2.40 goals/game, season) Best defence (0.90 conceded/game, season) 2nd best clean sheets (4, season)

Rank among 18 Süper Lig teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Alanyaspor at home · Trabzonspor away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Alanyaspor (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–1L
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1

Trabzonspor (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Alanyaspor (home)Trabzonspor (away)
W 1
D 2
L 1
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played
4
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.40
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–2
8.81%
0–2
5.68%
0–1
5.39%
1–3
5.23%
2–3
4.06%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Alanyaspor 4 wins · 2 draws · Trabzonspor 4 wins · avg 3.4 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10

4
2
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
11 Apr 2026 Alanyaspor 1–1 Trabzonspor Süper Lig
17 Dec 2025 Trabzonspor 0–1 Alanyaspor Türkiye Kupası
08 Nov 2025 Trabzonspor 1–1 Alanyaspor Süper Lig
27 Apr 2025 Trabzonspor 4–3 Alanyaspor Süper Lig
08 Jan 2025 Trabzonspor 3–0 Alanyaspor Türkiye Kupası
30 Nov 2024 Alanyaspor 2–1 Trabzonspor Süper Lig
04 Mar 2024 Alanyaspor 3–1 Trabzonspor Süper Lig
23 Oct 2023 Trabzonspor 1–0 Alanyaspor Süper Lig
03 Jun 2023 Trabzonspor 5–1 Alanyaspor Süper Lig
09 Jan 2023 Alanyaspor 5–0 Trabzonspor Süper Lig

📈 Recent Form

Alanyaspor

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
23/10 Kocaelispor Home 1–2 L
17/10 Fenerbahçe Away 0–3 L
10/10 Erzurumspor FK Home 0–0 D
19/09 Çorum FK Away 2–1 W
12/09 Göztepe Home 2–2 D
07/09 Rizespor Away 1–0 W
30/08 Eyüpspor Away 1–2 L
23/08 Beşiktaş Home 1–0 W
15/08 Gaziantep FK Away 1–1 D
16/07 Tikveš Home 2–2 D

Trabzonspor

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Gaziantep FK Home 2–0 W
26/10 Rizespor Away 4–3 W
22/10 Heart Of Midlothian Home 2–0 W
19/10 Beşiktaş Home 2–0 W
15/10 KuPS Away 4–2 W
10/10 Samsunspor Away 3–0 W
01/10 Drogheda United Home 0–1 L
19/09 Galatasaray Home 4–0 W
12/09 Konyaspor Away 0–1 L
06/09 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Home 5–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: Süper Lig

Alanyaspor #12 · 12 pts ·  Trabzonspor #3 · 22 pts

Alanyaspor

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–3L
W 3
D 3
L 3
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards13
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.30
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.48
Corners for (avg)5.20
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Trabzonspor

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–1D–2L
W 7
D 1
L 2
Played10
Goals scored (avg)2.40
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1
Yellow cards19
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.53
Corners for (avg)4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
AlanyasporTrabzonspor
W 3
D 3
L 3
W 7
D 1
L 2
Played
9
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
2.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
0.90
Clean sheets
3
4
Failed to score
2
1
Yellow cards
13
19
Red cards
0
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.30
2.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.48
1.53
Corners for (avg)
5.20
4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Alanyaspor

0-15
1
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
46-60
1
4
61-75
4
3
76-90
1
scored conceded

Trabzonspor

2
0-15
5
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
5
1
46-60
5
1
61-75
1
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Alanyaspor

  • ❌ Maestro: Thigh Injury
  • ❌ P. Fernandes: Injury
  • ❓ F. Aksoy (doubtful): Injury

Trabzonspor

  • ❌ A. Batagov: Knee Injury
  • ❌ T. Jabol-Folcarelli: Knee Injury
  • ❌ E. Muci: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ N. Saviolo: Injury
  • ❌ O. Cevikkan: Tendon Injury
  • ❌ P. Onuachu: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ M. Kabasakal: Suspended (Red Card)

Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): O. Yokuslu (Lacking Match Fitness).

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): B. Bouchouari, R. Malinovskyi; not counted as confirmed absences.

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