Predictions → Turkey Süper Lig

Samsunspor vs Konyaspor

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:00 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu • ⛅ 9.9°C, 11 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw 3.65 → 3.48 ▼5% 1xBet3.4828.6% -0.5%
Double Chance 1X 1xBet1.3868.6% -5.3%
BTTS Yes William Hill1.7546.8% · No 53.2% -18.1%
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 1xBet1.9054.1% · Over 45.9% +2.8%
Correct Score 1-1 Betano6.6014.7% -3%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.4 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available50.6% · Over 49.4% —

🧠 Match Preview

Samsunspor · Home

Samsunspor have lost all five of their most recent matches, conceding 15 goals and keeping no clean sheets, including a 2-5 defeat at Başakşehir and a 0-3 home loss to Trabzonspor. Their recent xG of 1.13 sits close to a model expected goals figure of 1.11, so the attacking output has been modest rather than absent.

Konyaspor · Away

Konyaspor's latest five produced one win, two draws and two defeats, with 2-0 against Gençlerbirliği S.K. and a 0-0 with Başakşehir showing a tighter defensive shape. Their recent xG of 0.96 is below a model expected goals figure of 1.13, and they failed to score in three of those five.

H2H Draw Precedent

The latest head-to-head, on 5 Apr 2026, finished 2-2 in Samsunspor, and the two meetings before that were settled by single-goal margins. Samsunspor's five-match losing run against Konyaspor's two clean sheets in five makes a low-scoring, balanced contest plausible rather than a clear home or away edge. The correct-score pick of 1-1 fits that pattern, with Under 2.5 at 54.1% and BTTS Yes at 46.8% both pointing to a tight game. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Samsunspor 1.11 – 1.13 Konyaspor · expected total 2.24

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Samsunspor

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)2.30
Best league winning streak this season4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.13
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.53
Elo strength rating1390
Players out4

Konyaspor

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.96
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.88
Elo strength rating1472
Players out7
SamsunsporKonyaspor
Goals scored (season avg)
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.30
1.30
Best league winning streak this season
4
3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.13
0.96
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.53
0.88
Elo strength rating
1390
1472
Players out
4
7

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Samsunspor

Lost 8 in a row Winless 8
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Konyaspor

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Süper Lig

Samsunspor

2nd worst defence (2.30 conceded/game, season) Best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Konyaspor

2nd worst attack (0.60 goals/game, season) 2nd worst BTTS rate (17%, last 6) Worst Over 2.5 rate (33%, last 6) 2nd best clean sheets (4, season)

Rank among 18 Süper Lig teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Samsunspor at home · Konyaspor away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Samsunspor (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–4L
D 1
L 4
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)3.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2

Konyaspor (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–3L
D 1
L 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Samsunspor (home)Konyaspor (away)
D 1
L 4
D 1
L 3
Played
5
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded (avg)
3.00
1.50
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
2
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
14.69%
0–0
11.97%
2–2
4.19%
3–3
0.59%
4–4
<0.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Konyaspor 3 wins · 4 draws · Samsunspor 2 wins · avg 2.9 goals · BTTS in 6 of 9

3
4
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
05 Apr 2026 Samsunspor 2–2 Konyaspor Süper Lig
02 Nov 2025 Konyaspor 1–3 Samsunspor Süper Lig
16 Feb 2025 Konyaspor 0–1 Samsunspor Süper Lig
14 Sep 2024 Samsunspor 0–1 Konyaspor Süper Lig
12 May 2024 Konyaspor 3–0 Samsunspor Süper Lig
21 Dec 2023 Samsunspor 1–1 Konyaspor Süper Lig
13 Jul 2023 Konyaspor 3–2 Samsunspor Friendlies Clubs
03 Mar 2013 Samsunspor 1–1 Konyaspor 1. Lig
13 Oct 2012 Konyaspor 2–2 Samsunspor 1. Lig

📈 Recent Form

Samsunspor

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Başakşehir Away 2–5 L
24/10 Amed Home 1–2 L
18/10 Kasımpaşa Away 1–4 L
10/10 Trabzonspor Home 0–3 L
20/09 Erzurumspor FK Away 0–1 L
12/09 Çorum FK Home 1–5 L
06/09 Kocaelispor Away 0–1 L
30/08 Fenerbahçe Home 0–2 L
22/08 Rizespor Away 2–0 W
17/08 Göztepe Home 3–3 D

Konyaspor

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/10 Galatasaray Home 0–4 L
25/10 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Home 2–0 W
17/10 Amed Away 0–1 L
11/10 Başakşehir Home 0–0 D
30/09 Palestine Home 2–2 D
18/09 Kasımpaşa Away 0–0 D
12/09 Trabzonspor Home 1–0 W
05/09 Erzurumspor FK Away 0–1 L
29/08 Kocaelispor Home 1–2 L
22/08 Fenerbahçe Away 2–4 L

📊 Season Comparison: Süper Lig

Samsunspor #17 · 4 pts ·  Konyaspor #14 · 8 pts

Samsunspor

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–8L
W 1
D 1
L 8
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards13
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.13
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.53
Corners for (avg)6.10
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1

Konyaspor

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–6L
W 2
D 2
L 6
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets4
Failed to score6
Yellow cards22
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.96
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.88
Corners for (avg)3.30
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
SamsunsporKonyaspor
W 1
D 1
L 8
W 2
D 2
L 6
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded (avg)
2.30
1.30
Clean sheets
1
4
Failed to score
4
6
Yellow cards
13
22
Red cards
1
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.13
0.96
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.53
0.88
Corners for (avg)
6.10
3.30
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/1
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Samsunspor

5
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
4
31-45
3
2
46-60
5
61-75
1
2
76-90
1
scored conceded

Konyaspor

2
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Samsunspor

  • ❌ E. Watt: Suspended (Suspended)
  • ❌ F. Kaya: Injury
  • ❌ O. Ohlenschlaeger: Knee Injury
  • ❌ C. Yuksel: Injury
  • ❓ J. Mendes (doubtful): Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): J. Assoumou, Y. E. Cift, T. Coulibaly, I. Drapinski, E. Tavsan, A. Makoumbou, Marius, A. Sousa, E. Kilinc; not counted as confirmed absences.

Konyaspor

  • ❌ A. Ndao: Suspended (Suspended)
  • ❌ B. Gungordu: Injury
  • ❌ E. Bardhi: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ E. Destan: Knee Injury
  • ❌ M. Ibrahimoglu: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ A. Demirbag: Injury
  • ❌ U. Yazgili: Injury

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