Amed vs Konyaspor
Next match: Sat, 17 Oct 2026 • 13:00 UTC+3 • Round 8 • Diyarbakir Stadium • ⛅ 22.7°C, 5 km/h partly cloudy
Snapshotted at publish: pick + best price. Prices move constantly — confirm at the bookmaker. 18+, gamble responsibly.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
| Market | Tip | Confidence | Probability | Odds | Bookmaker | Market implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 2.06 → 1.98 ▼4% | 84% | 57% | 1.98 | 1xBet | 51.4% | +5.6 pp |
| Double Chance | 1X | 80% | 84.3% | 1.28 | 1xBet | 76.9% | +7.4 pp |
| BTTS | No | 82% | 50.9% | 2.00 | William Hill | 47.4% | +3.5 pp |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 80% | 47.1% | 1.94 | 1xBet | 50.1% | -3 pp |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | 69% | 11% | 7.50 | William Hill | 6.7% | +4.3 pp |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.3 exp.) | Under 9.5 | 64% | 54.9% | — | — | — | — |
⚽ Model expected goals: Amed 1.83 – 0.71 Konyaspor · expected total 2.54
Probabilities are calibrated against this season's real results. Odds are correct at publish time. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market. Odds chips show the line movement since our tip — a big drop means the value window is closing.
🧠 Match Preview
The model leans heavily on current form. Amed arrive on a DWWDW run, with recent expected goals of 2.16, and their attacking output is projected at 1.8324 goals. Konyaspor's DDWLL sequence is weaker, and although their recent expected goals of 1.29 suggest they create something, their projected output drops to 0.7094 — a clear sign the model expects them to struggle for clear chances in this away fixture. Both squads carry five injury absences, so depth is tested on each side.
The headline tip is a home win at 57% with confidence 84, priced at 1.98 — a workable edge if you trust the form and table gap. The double chance 1X sits at 84.3%, the safer route for cautious bettors. Both teams to score is tipped No at 50.9% (odds 2), and Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 47.1% (odds 1.94), consistent with a low-scoring home-controlled game. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 11%, with 2-0 close behind, and corners are expected to stay under 9.5 at 8.3 expected, 54.9%.
The honest caveat: none of these probabilities are overwhelming. Under 2.5 at 47.1% and BTTS No at 50.9% are near coin-flips, and with no head-to-head history to lean on, the 1.98 home price is where the real value sits — but only at stakes that respect the thin margins elsewhere.
Updated 12 Oct 2026, 16:09 UTC+3 — refreshed when the underlying data changes.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Amed
Konyaspor
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Amed
Konyaspor
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks — Süper Lig
Amed
Konyaspor
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 18 Süper Lig teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Amed at home · Konyaspor away — the split that matters for this fixture.
Amed (home)
Konyaspor (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scorelines
The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.
📈 Recent Form
Amed
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 20/09 | Beşiktaş | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 13/09 | Başakşehir | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Kasımpaşa | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 31/08 | Trabzonspor | Home | 2–1 | W |
Konyaspor
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Palestine | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 18/09 | Kasımpaşa | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | Trabzonspor | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 05/09 | Erzurumspor FK | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 29/08 | Kocaelispor | Home | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison — Süper Lig
Amed #3 · 14 pts — Konyaspor #15 · 5 pts
Amed
Konyaspor
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Amed
Konyaspor
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Amed
- ❌ M. Yildirim — Inactive
- ❌ Y. Sor — Injury
- ❌ A. Cisse — Red Card
- ❌ G. Gul — Calf Injury
- ❌ D. Demir — Knee Injury
Konyaspor
- ❌ A. Ndao — Suspended
- ❌ B. Gungordu — Injury
- ❌ E. Bardhi — Red Card
- ❌ E. Destan — Knee Injury
- ❌ M. Ibrahimoglu — Muscle Injury
More: Süper Lig predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws