Göztepe vs Başakşehir
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 19:00 UTC+3 • Round 11 • ☁️ 12.2°C, 9 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 2.41 → 2.09 ▼13% | 1xBet2.09 | 50.5% | +5.5% |
| Double Chance | 12 | 1xBet1.30 | 75.7% | -1.6% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.55 | 62.3% · No 37.7% | -3.4% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 1xBet1.67 | 60.1% · Under 39.9% | +0.4% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Betano9.00 | 9.8% | -11.8% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.2 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 52.6% · Over 47.4% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Göztepe · Home
Göztepe arrive unbeaten across their last five with 12 goals scored and only 4 conceded, including a 4-0 away win at Eyüpspor and a 2-1 win at Fenerbahçe. Their recent xG for of 2.51 over up to five recorded matches sits close to a model expected goals figure of 2.09 here.
Başakşehir · Away
Başakşehir have scored 11 in their last five but failed to score in two of those matches, including the 0-2 loss at Beşiktaş and the 0-0 draw at Konyaspor. Their recent xG for of 1.41 over the same recorded window is well below Göztepe's, and the model expected goals of 1.21 reflects that gap.
Göztepe's Home H2H Edge
The latest head-to-head, a 2-1 Başakşehir win on 7 Mar 2026, came with Göztepe as the away side. At home Göztepe won the two prior meetings 1-0 and 4-1, scoring five across them. Göztepe's five-match run of 12 goals for and 4 against, with no failed-to-score game, gives the home pick a realistic base. The evidence supports Göztepe win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Göztepe 2.09 – 1.21 Başakşehir · expected total 3.30
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Göztepe
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Göztepe
Başakşehir
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Süper Lig
Göztepe
Başakşehir
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 18 Süper Lig teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Göztepe at home · Başakşehir away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Göztepe (home)
Başakşehir (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Başakşehir 3 wins · 2 draws · Göztepe 5 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 7 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 2026 | Başakşehir | 2–1 | Göztepe | Süper Lig |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Göztepe | 1–0 | Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| 28 Apr 2025 | Göztepe | 4–1 | Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Başakşehir | 4–1 | Göztepe | Süper Lig |
| 25 Feb 2023 | Göztepe | 0–0 | Başakşehir | Friendlies Clubs |
| 20 Dec 2022 | Başakşehir | 3–1 | Göztepe | Türkiye Kupası |
| 22 Jan 2022 | Başakşehir | 1–2 | Göztepe | Süper Lig |
| 12 Sep 2021 | Göztepe | 2–1 | Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| 14 Feb 2021 | Göztepe | 2–1 | Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| 03 Oct 2020 | Başakşehir | 0–0 | Göztepe | Süper Lig |
📈 Recent Form
Göztepe
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Fenerbahçe | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Çorum FK | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Kocaelispor | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 12/10 | Eyüpspor | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Rizespor | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Alanyaspor | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 07/09 | Gaziantep FK | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 29/08 | Galatasaray | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 23/08 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 17/08 | Samsunspor | Away | 3–3 | D |
Başakşehir
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Samsunspor | Home | 5–2 | W |
| 26/10 | Beşiktaş | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Gaziantep FK | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Konyaspor | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 19/09 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 13/09 | Amed | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 04/09 | Galatasaray | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 30/08 | Kasımpaşa | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 23/08 | Trabzonspor | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 16/08 | Kocaelispor | Home | 2–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Süper Lig
Göztepe #9 · 15 pts · Başakşehir #10 · 14 pts
Göztepe
Başakşehir
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Göztepe
Başakşehir
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Göztepe
- ❌ Allan Godoi: Injury
- ❌ I. Sabra: Ankle Injury
- ❌ O. Bayrak: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ L. Gugeshashvili: Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): N. Sonko Sundberg, A. Antunes, F. Bayir, G. Bayrakdar, N. Miroshi; not counted as confirmed absences.
Başakşehir
- ❌ U. Bozok: Suspended (Red Card)
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): E. Visca, C. Operi, J. Opoku; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Süper Lig predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws