Eyüpspor vs Göztepe
Next match: Mon, 12 Oct 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 7 • 🌤 19.5°C, 9 km/h mostly clear
Snapshotted at publish: pick + best price. Prices move constantly — confirm at the bookmaker. 18+, gamble responsibly.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
| Market | Tip | Confidence | Probability | Odds | Bookmaker | Market implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away 1.98 → 1.95 ▼2% | 80% | 46.8% | 1.95 | Betano | 52.9% | -6.1 pp |
| Double Chance | X2 | 71% | 71.3% | 1.29 | Betano | 77.6% | -6.3 pp |
| BTTS | No | 84% | 54% | 2.15 | Betfair | 43.7% | +10.3 pp |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 85% | 56.9% | 2.13 | 1xBet | 46.8% | +10.1 pp |
| Correct Score | 0-1 | 75% | 14.3% | 8.50 | Bet365 | 6% | +8.3 pp |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.6 exp.) | Over 9.5 | 61% | 52.2% | 2.08 | Pinnacle | 45.7% | +6.5 pp |
⚽ Model expected goals: Eyüpspor 0.69 – 0.86 Göztepe · expected total 1.55
Probabilities are calibrated against this season's real results. Odds are correct at publish time. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market. Odds chips show the line movement since our tip — a big drop means the value window is closing.
🧠 Match Preview
The model leans away. Göztepe are priced at 1.95 for the win with a 46.8 percent probability and 80 percent confidence, while the double chance X2 lands at 71.3 percent. The form lines explain the gap: Eyüpspor arrive on LLLWL, Göztepe on DDLLL, and the recent expected goals read 0.98 for the hosts against 2.2 for the visitors. Season-long attacking numbers are modest on both sides, with 0.6908 expected for Eyüpspor and 0.8641 for Göztepe, which is why Under 2.5 is favoured at 56.9 percent and 2.13, and BTTS No at 54 percent and 2.15. The correct-score model points to 0-1 at 14.3 percent, with 0-2 next at 7.89. Corners offer a separate angle: Over 9.5 at 52.2 percent against an expected 9.6.
The value question is whether 1.95 on an away side with one winless run of its own is generous. Göztepe's injury list is long, including N. Sonko Sundberg, Allan Godoi and A. Antunes, while Eyüpspor miss D. Costa, A. Sabiri and I. Taskin. The honest caveat: the last five head-to-heads produced 0-0, 0-0, 1-1, 1-0 and 0-3, a low-scoring pattern that supports the unders but warns against expecting a clean away performance.
Updated 12 Oct 2026, 16:09 UTC+3 — refreshed when the underlying data changes.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks — Süper Lig
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Rank among 18 Süper Lig teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Eyüpspor at home · Göztepe away — the split that matters for this fixture.
Eyüpspor (home)
Göztepe (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scorelines
The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Eyüpspor 2 wins · 3 draws · Göztepe 3 wins · avg 1.8 goals · BTTS in 2 of 8
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Göztepe | 0–0 | Eyüpspor | Süper Lig |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Eyüpspor | 0–0 | Göztepe | Süper Lig |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Göztepe | 1–1 | Eyüpspor | Süper Lig |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Eyüpspor | 1–0 | Göztepe | Süper Lig |
| 04 May 2024 | Eyüpspor | 0–3 | Göztepe | 1. Lig |
| 20 Dec 2023 | Göztepe | 5–1 | Eyüpspor | 1. Lig |
| 16 Apr 2023 | Göztepe | 1–0 | Eyüpspor | 1. Lig |
| 20 Nov 2022 | Eyüpspor | 1–0 | Göztepe | 1. Lig |
📈 Recent Form
Eyüpspor
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Fenerbahçe | Away | 0–8 | L |
| 12/09 | Rizespor | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 06/09 | Çorum FK | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 30/08 | Alanyaspor | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 23/08 | Gaziantep FK | Home | 0–1 | L |
Göztepe
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Rizespor | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Alanyaspor | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 07/09 | Gaziantep FK | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 29/08 | Galatasaray | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 23/08 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Home | 0–1 | L |
📊 Season Comparison — Süper Lig
Eyüpspor #18 · 3 pts — Göztepe #17 · 3 pts
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Eyüpspor
- ❌ D. Costa — Red Card
- ❌ A. Sabiri — Muscle Injury
- ❌ I. Taskin — Injury
- ❓ A. Abdullahi (doubtful) — Injury
Göztepe
- ❌ N. Sonko Sundberg — Inactive
- ❌ Allan Godoi — Injury
- ❌ A. Antunes — Inactive
- ❌ F. Bayir — Inactive
- ❌ I. Sabra — Ankle Injury
- ❌ G. Bayrakdar — Inactive
- ❌ O. Bayrak — Red Card
- ❌ L. Gugeshashvili — Injury
- ❌ N. Miroshi — Inactive
More: Süper Lig predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws
Referee: A. Karaoglan