Çorum FK vs Fenerbahçe

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:00 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Corum Stadyumu • ☀️ 7.3°C, 8 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

Market	Tip	Odds	Probability	Model EV
Match Result (1X2)	Away	1xBet1.82	47.1%	-14.3%
Double Chance	12	1xBet1.26	75.8%	-4.5%
BTTS	Yes	William Hill1.57	55% · No 45%	-13.7%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	1xBet1.65	56.4% · Under 43.6%	-6.9%
Correct Score	1-2	Betano8.50	6.8%	-42.2%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.6 exp.)	Over 9.5	Current price not available	57.5% · Under 42.5%	—

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Çorum FK 28.7% · Draw 24.2% · Fenerbahçe 47.1%. Selected outcome: Fenerbahçe win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Çorum FK 1.56, Fenerbahçe 1.14, expected total 2.71.

Price check

The model favours Fenerbahçe win, but the displayed price does not offer positive model EV.

Form / H2H

Çorum FK: W-L-W-W-L in their last five matches.
Fenerbahçe: L-L-D-W-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

William Hill UK · #ad

Get £40 in Bet Builder free bets when you deposit & stake £10

Credited as 4 x £10 bets · New UK customers only · Promo code FB40 · T&Cs apply · 18+ · Play Safe

Get £40 in Bet Builder

Offer terms

Credited as 4 x £10 bets. 18+. Play Safe. Online only. Ends 31.12.26. New UK customers only, registering with promo code FB40. Make your first deposit of £10+, then place a £10 single bet from main balance at odds of EVS+ (2.00+) on any sports market (excluding Virtuals). Get £40 in Free Bets (4x£10) after settlement. Each £10 Free Bet is valid on any Bet Builder, expires in 7 days, non-withdrawable and must be used in full (£10 each). Deposits via PayPal, Neosurf, Paysafe, Apple Pay, NETELLER, Skrill, ecoPayz, Kalibra/Postpay and WH PLUS Card excluded. One per customer. Full T&Cs apply. #ad

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Çorum FK

Form (last 5)

W L W W L

Goals scored (season avg)2.10

Goals conceded (season avg)1.60

Best league winning streak this season2

xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.62

xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.98

Elo strength rating1467

Players out3

Fenerbahçe

Form (last 5)

L L D W L

Goals scored (season avg)2.60

Goals conceded (season avg)0.90

Best league winning streak this season5

xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.20

xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.72

Elo strength rating1678

Players out10

Çorum FKFenerbahçe

W L W W L

L L D W L

Goals scored (season avg)

2.10

2.60

Goals conceded (season avg)

1.60

0.90

Best league winning streak this season

xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)

1.62

2.20

xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)

0.98

1.72

Elo strength rating

1467

1678

Players out

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Çorum FK

BTTS

4/6

Over 2.5

5/6

Scored a goal

5/6

No goals conceded

1/6

Fenerbahçe

Lost 2 in a row Winless 3

BTTS

3/6

Over 2.5

6/6

Scored a goal

5/6

No goals conceded

2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Süper Lig

Çorum FK

Best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Fenerbahçe

Best attack (2.60 goals/game, season) Best defence (0.90 conceded/game, season) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%, last 6) Best clean sheets (5, season)

Rank among 18 Süper Lig teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Çorum FK at home · Fenerbahçe away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Çorum FK (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–2L

W 2

L 2

Played4

Goals scored (avg)1.50

Goals conceded (avg)1.00

Clean sheets1

Failed to score1

Fenerbahçe (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L

W 2

D 1

L 2

Played5

Goals scored (avg)1.40

Goals conceded (avg)0.80

Clean sheets3

Failed to score1

Çorum FK (home)Fenerbahçe (away)

W 2

L 2

W 2

D 1

L 2

Played

Goals scored (avg)

1.50

1.40

Goals conceded (avg)

1.00

0.80

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–2

6.84%

0–1

6.46%

0–2

4.38%

1–3

2.61%

2–3

2.04%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Çorum FK

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
31/10	Erzurumspor FK	Away	3–1	W
25/10	Göztepe	Away	0–2	L
16/10	Rizespor	Home	2–1	W
11/10	Gaziantep FK	Away	3–0	W
19/09	Alanyaspor	Home	1–2	L
12/09	Samsunspor	Away	5–1	W
06/09	Eyüpspor	Home	3–0	W
31/08	Beşiktaş	Away	2–6	L
22/08	Kasımpaşa	Home	0–1	L
14/08	Galatasaray	Away	2–2	D

Fenerbahçe

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
31/10	Göztepe	Home	1–2	L
26/10	Galatasaray	Away	1–2	L
20/10	Slavia Praha	Home	2–2	D
17/10	Alanyaspor	Home	3–0	W
14/10	Aston Villa	Away	0–6	L
10/10	Rizespor	Away	3–0	W
03/10	Turan	Away	2–0	W
20/09	Eyüpspor	Home	8–0	W
14/09	Gaziantep FK	Away	0–0	D
10/09	AS Roma	Home	1–1	D

📊 Season Comparison: Süper Lig

Çorum FK #7 · 16 pts · Fenerbahçe #6 · 16 pts

Çorum FK

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–4L

W 5

D 1

L 4

Played10

Goals scored (avg)2.10

Goals conceded (avg)1.60

Clean sheets2

Failed to score2

Yellow cards19

Red cards1

xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.62

xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.98

Corners for (avg)3.60

Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Fenerbahçe

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–4L

W 5

D 1

L 4

Played10

Goals scored (avg)2.60

Goals conceded (avg)0.90

Clean sheets5

Failed to score1

Yellow cards17

Red cards1

xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.20

xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.72

Corners for (avg)6.50

Penalties (scored/missed)1/2

Çorum FKFenerbahçe

W 5

D 1

L 4

W 5

D 1

L 4

Played

Goals scored (avg)

2.10

2.60

Goals conceded (avg)

1.60

0.90

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Yellow cards

Red cards

xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)

1.62

2.20

xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)

0.98

1.72

Corners for (avg)

3.60

6.50

Penalties (scored/missed)

1/0

1/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Çorum FK

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Fenerbahçe

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Çorum FK

❌ S. Osmanoglu: Injury
❌ A. Kyziridis: Suspended (Red Card)
❌ E. Gurluk: Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): S. Saatci; not counted as confirmed absences.

Fenerbahçe

❌ Ederson: Illness
❌ M. Gunok: Muscle Injury
❌ A. Musaba: Injury
❌ J. Oosterwolde: Achilles Tendon Injury
❌ C. Soyuncu: Injury
❌ K. Akturkoglu: Concussion
❌ M. Asensio: Muscle Injury
❌ M. Muldur: Knee Injury
❌ N. Ake: Muscle Injury
❌ A. Brown: Suspended (Red Card)

Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): A. Diouf (Lacking Match Fitness), D. Livakovic (Transfer negotiations).

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): Talisca; not counted as confirmed absences.

More: Süper Lig predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws

William Hill UK · #ad

Get £40 in Bet Builder free bets when you deposit & stake £10

Credited as 4 x £10 bets · New UK customers only · Promo code FB40 · T&Cs apply · 18+ · Play Safe

Get £40 in Bet Builder

Offer terms