Predictions → World UEFA Europa League

Celtic vs Beşiktaş

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Thu, 05 Nov 2026 • 23:00 UTC+3 • League Stage - 4 • Celtic Park • ☁️ 8°C, 13 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw 1xBet3.8025.9% -1.6%
Double Chance X2 Betano1.4467.3% -3.1%
BTTS Yes Bet3651.5356.7% · No 43.3% -13.2%
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Betano2.3543.8% · Over 56.2% +2.9%
Correct Score 1-1 Betano7.7013.3% +2.4%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~12 exp.) Over 9.5 Betano1.5266.2% · Under 33.8% +0.6%

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Celtic 32.7% · Draw 25.9% · Beşiktaş 41.4%. Selected outcome: Draw.

Goals

Model expected goals: Celtic 1.30, Beşiktaş 1.44, expected total 2.74.

Price check

Draw is selected under the published draw rule, but the displayed price does not offer positive model EV.

Form / H2H

Celtic: D-W-L-W-L in their last five matches.
Beşiktaş: W-D-L-W-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Celtic

Form (last 5)
LDWLW
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)3.00
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.70
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.00
Elo strength rating1386
Players out9

Beşiktaş

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.90
Goals conceded (season avg)0.70
Best league winning streak this season5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.60
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.31
Elo strength rating1375
Players out6
CelticBeşiktaş
LDWLW
Goals scored (season avg)
1.00
1.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
3.00
0.70
Best league winning streak this season
1
5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.70
2.60
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.00
1.31
Elo strength rating
1386
1375
Players out
9
6

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Celtic

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Beşiktaş

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: UEFA Europa League

Celtic

Worst defence (3.00 conceded/game, season) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Beşiktaş

Best clean sheets (5, season)

Rank among 36 UEFA Europa League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Celtic at home · Beşiktaş away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Celtic (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–2L
L 2
Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Beşiktaş (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–1L
W 3
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Celtic (home)Beşiktaş (away)
L 2
W 3
L 1
Played
2
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
2.50
0.80
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
13.31%
0–0
7.67%
2–2
5.66%
3–3
1.18%
4–4
0.14%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Celtic

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Falkirk Away 0–2 L
28/10 Dundee Utd Home 2–2 D
25/10 Hibernian Away 2–1 W
22/10 Celta Vigo Home 1–2 L
18/10 Heart Of Midlothian Home 7–1 W
15/10 Benfica Away 1–4 L
11/10 Motherwell Away 2–0 W
20/09 Rangers Home 0–1 L
17/09 Ferencvarosi TC Home 1–3 L
13/09 Rangers Away 0–3 L

Beşiktaş

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Kasımpaşa Away 2–2 D
26/10 Başakşehir Home 2–0 W
22/10 Crystal Palace Home 2–2 D
19/10 Trabzonspor Away 0–2 L
15/10 1899 Hoffenheim Away 3–2 W
11/10 Kocaelispor Home 2–1 W
20/09 Amed Away 2–3 L
17/09 Marseille Home 4–1 W
11/09 Erzurumspor FK Home 3–0 W
05/09 Fenerbahçe Away 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Europa League

Celtic #35 · 0 pts ·  Beşiktaş #8 · 7 pts

Celtic

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–3L
L 3
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)3.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards5
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.70
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.00
Corners for (avg)7.50
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Beşiktaş

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–0L
W 2
D 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets5
Failed to score1
Yellow cards15
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.60
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.31
Corners for (avg)6.00
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
CelticBeşiktaş
L 3
W 2
D 1
Played
3
3
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.90
Goals conceded (avg)
3.00
0.70
Clean sheets
0
5
Failed to score
0
1
Yellow cards
5
15
Red cards
0
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.70
2.60
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.00
1.31
Corners for (avg)
7.50
6.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Celtic

1
0-15
2
16-30
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
1
76-90
scored conceded

Beşiktaş

0-15
3
1
16-30
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
5
2
61-75
3
1
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Celtic

  • ❌ L. Emenalo: Injury
  • ❌ A. Johnston: Leg Injury
  • ❌ Jota: Knee Injury
  • ❌ S. Mheuka: Off the roster
  • ❌ C. Osmand: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ A. Oxlade-Chamberlain: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ J. van den Berg: Off the roster
  • ❌ C. Carter-Vickers: Health problems
  • ❌ Yang Hyun-Jun: Hamstring Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): A. Trusty; not counted as confirmed absences.

Beşiktaş

  • ❌ C. Keles: Off the roster
  • ❌ M. Rashica: Off the roster
  • ❌ L. Trossard: Heel Injury
  • ❌ V. Cerny: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ D. Vlahovic: Illness
  • ❌ O. Kokcu: Foot Injury

More: UEFA Europa League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws