Predictions → Turkey Süper Lig

Galatasaray vs Amed

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 19:00 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Rams Park • ☀️ 9.2°C, 7 km/h clear

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
BTTS: Yes
Model probability 75.3% · Market implied at best price ≈ 62.5% · EV at shown price +20.5%
Best odds 1.60 · Betano Marathonbet 1.591xBet 1.59

Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.62 (74.4%, Model EV +20.5%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.

Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home 1.52 → 1.45 ▼5% 1xBet1.4564.2% -6.9%
Double Chance 1X Betano1.1482.7% -5.7%
BTTS Yes Betano1.6075.3% · No 24.7% +20.5%
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Betano1.4769.1% · Under 30.9% +1.6%
Correct Score 2-1 Betano8.758.1% -29.1%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.6 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available51% · Under 49% —

🧠 Match Preview

Galatasaray · Home

Galatasaray have won four of their last five, including a 2-1 home win over Fenerbahçe and a 4-0 away win at Konyaspor, scoring 12 goals across that run. Their recent xG for of 1.82 sits below the model expected goals of 2.38 for this fixture.

Amed · Away

Amed are unbeaten in five, winning four and drawing 2-2 at Gençlerbirliği S.K., with 13 goals scored. Their recent xG for of 2.32 shows they have been creating steadily.

Amed's 2015 win stands alone

The latest head-to-head is the outlier here: Amed won 0-2 at Galatasaray in January 2015, while the previous meeting ended 1-4 to Galatasaray in December 2014. Amed's current unbeaten five-match run, including a 5-1 win over Eyüpspor and a 3-2 win over Beşiktaş, makes them a live threat rather than a passive visitor. Still, Galatasaray's four wins in five and 12 goals scored give the home side the stronger body of recent results, and the 2-1 correct score fits a home win with both teams scoring. The evidence supports Galatasaray win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Galatasaray 2.38 – 1.74 Amed · expected total 4.12

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Galatasaray

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season7
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.82
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.24
Elo strength rating1743
Players out8

Amed

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.32
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.98
Elo strength rating1495
Players out6
GalatasarayAmed
Goals scored (season avg)
2.30
2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.20
1.10
Best league winning streak this season
7
3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.82
2.32
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.24
0.98
Elo strength rating
1743
1495
Players out
8
6

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Galatasaray

Won 4 in a row Unbeaten 4
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Amed

Won 3 in a row Unbeaten 8
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Süper Lig

Galatasaray

3rd best attack (2.30 goals/game, season) Best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6) 2nd best clean sheets (4, season)

Amed

Best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 18 Süper Lig teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Galatasaray at home · Amed away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Galatasaray (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–0L
W 4
D 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Amed (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–1L
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Galatasaray (home)Amed (away)
W 4
D 1
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played
5
4
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.80
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
8.12%
3–1
6.44%
3–2
5.59%
2–0
4.68%
4–1
3.83%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Amed 1 win · 0 draws · Galatasaray 1 win · avg 3.5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
22 Jan 2015 Galatasaray 0–2 Amed Türkiye Kupası
23 Dec 2014 Amed 1–4 Galatasaray Türkiye Kupası

📈 Recent Form

Galatasaray

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/10 Konyaspor Away 4–0 W
26/10 Fenerbahçe Home 2–1 W
21/10 Lille Away 4–2 W
17/10 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Away 1–0 W
13/10 Barcelona Home 1–4 L
09/10 Kasımpaşa Home 3–1 W
02/10 Pendikspor Away 3–3 D
19/09 Trabzonspor Away 0–4 L
13/09 Kocaelispor Home 1–0 W
09/09 Sporting CP Away 1–3 L

Amed

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Eyüpspor Home 5–1 W
24/10 Samsunspor Away 2–1 W
17/10 Konyaspor Home 1–0 W
10/10 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Away 2–2 D
20/09 Beşiktaş Home 3–2 W
13/09 Başakşehir Home 5–0 W
06/09 Kasımpaşa Away 2–2 D
31/08 Trabzonspor Home 2–1 W
24/08 Kocaelispor Away 0–2 L
16/08 Erzurumspor FK Home 3–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: Süper Lig

Galatasaray #1 · 25 pts ·  Amed #2 · 23 pts

Galatasaray

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–1D–1L
W 8
D 1
L 1
Played10
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1
Yellow cards17
Red cards3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.82
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.24
Corners for (avg)8.20
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Amed

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–2D–1L
W 7
D 2
L 1
Played10
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Yellow cards30
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.32
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.98
Corners for (avg)3.30
Penalties (scored/missed)2/1
GalatasarayAmed
W 8
D 1
L 1
W 7
D 2
L 1
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
2.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.10
Clean sheets
4
3
Failed to score
1
1
Yellow cards
17
30
Red cards
3
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.82
2.32
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.24
0.98
Corners for (avg)
8.20
3.30
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
2/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Galatasaray

1
0-15
2
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
4
5
61-75
3
2
76-90
6
scored conceded

Amed

1
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
5
61-75
5
3
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Galatasaray

  • ❌ G. Guvenc: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ R. Leao: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ M. Lemina: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ V. Osimhen: Groin Injury
  • ❌ W. Singo: Thigh Injury
  • ❌ L. Ugochukwu: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ L. Torreira: Injury
  • ❌ A. Bardakci: Suspended (Red Card)

Amed

  • ❌ Y. Sor: Injury
  • ❌ D. Demir: Knee Injury
  • ❌ G. Gul: Calf Injury
  • ❌ A. Cisse: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ L. Dellova: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ M. Diagne: Suspended (Red Card)

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): M. Yildirim; not counted as confirmed absences.

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