VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 20:30 UTC+3 • Round 9 • MHPArena • ⛅ 7.8°C, 0 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 1.52 → 1.57 ▲3% | Betano1.57 | 61.7% | -3.1% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.19 | 80.9% | -3.7% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.44 | 68.3% · No 31.7% | -1.6% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Betano1.34 | 70.9% · Under 29.1% | -5% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Betano9.25 | 9.2% | -14.9% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.1 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 53.4% · Over 46.6% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart · Home
Stuttgart's recent home form is the concern: they lost 2-3 to Borussia Mönchengladbach and drew 1-1 with Atletico Madrid in their last two home matches, though they did win 4-2 away at Bayer Leverkusen. Their recent_xg_for of 2.33 across up to five recent matches with recorded statistics is the stronger attacking baseline, and model_expected_goals of 2.09 supports a home edge.
Werder Bremen · Away
Bremen have scored in all five recent matches, including 2-2 draws with Paderborn and at Borussia Dortmund, and their 3-2 win at Mainz shows away scoring threat. Their recent_xg_for of 1.08 is modest, and model_expected_goals of 1.47 suggests they are less likely to outscore Stuttgart.
Stuttgart's Home H2H Edge
The latest H2H, a 1-1 draw on 26 Apr 2026, followed a 0-4 Stuttgart win in Bremen on 14 Dec 2025 and a 1-2 Bremen win in Stuttgart on 13 Apr 2025. Stuttgart's home results are uneven, yet their recent_xg_for of 2.33 and model_expected_goals of 2.09 point to a scoring advantage over Bremen's 1.08 recent_xg_for. Bremen have scored in all five recent matches, so a 2-1 correct score fits a competitive game rather than a clean home shutout. The evidence supports VfB Stuttgart win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: VfB Stuttgart 2.09 – 1.47 Werder Bremen · expected total 3.56
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
VfB Stuttgart
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Werder Bremen
Rank among 18 Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
VfB Stuttgart at home · Werder Bremen away, the split that matters for this fixture.
VfB Stuttgart (home)
Werder Bremen (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
VfB Stuttgart 4 wins · 3 draws · Werder Bremen 3 wins · avg 2.8 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | VfB Stuttgart | 1–1 | Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Werder Bremen | 0–4 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 13 Apr 2025 | VfB Stuttgart | 1–2 | Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Werder Bremen | 2–2 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Werder Bremen | 2–1 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 02 Dec 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 2–0 | Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| 05 Feb 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 0–2 | Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| 13 Aug 2022 | Werder Bremen | 2–2 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 04 Apr 2021 | VfB Stuttgart | 1–0 | Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| 06 Dec 2020 | Werder Bremen | 1–2 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
📈 Recent Form
VfB Stuttgart
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bayer Leverkusen | Away | 4–2 | W |
| 28/10 | SC Paderborn 07 | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 23/10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 20/10 | Atletico Madrid | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Hamburger SV | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 14/10 | Slovan Bratislava | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 10/10 | SC Paderborn 07 | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 01/10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 25/09 | 1. FC Heidenheim | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Borussia Dortmund | Home | 0–1 | L |
Werder Bremen
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | 1899 Hoffenheim | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 27/10 | Borussia Dortmund | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 24/10 | FSV Mainz 05 | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 17/10 | SC Paderborn 07 | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 09/10 | Borussia Dortmund | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 02/10 | Twente | Away | 0–7 | L |
| 19/09 | FC Augsburg | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 12/09 | 1. FC Köln | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 05/09 | RB Leipzig | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 30/08 | SC Freiburg | Away | 1–4 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart #11 · 9 pts · Werder Bremen #5 · 15 pts
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
VfB Stuttgart
- ❌ J. Arevalo: Back Injury
- ❌ L. Assignon: Shoulder Injury
- ❌ J. Diehl: Muscle Injury
- ❌ C. Fuhrich: Muscle Injury
- ❌ L. Jaquez: Muscle Injury
- ❌ N. Nartey: Injury
- ❌ L. Sauer: Muscle Injury
- ❌ D. Seimen: Thigh Injury
- ❌ D. Zagadou: Muscle Injury
- ❌ T. Tomas: Muscle Injury
- ❌ M. Herwerth: Injury
- ❌ A. Al Dakhil: Knee Injury
- ❌ M. Mittelstadt: Heel Injury
- ❌ A. Stiller: Groin Injury
- ❌ J. Vagnoman: Muscle Injury
Werder Bremen
- ❌ F. Agu: Calf Injury
- ❌ K. Topp: Knee Injury
- ❌ M. Weiser: Knee Injury
- ❌ O. Wojcik: Muscle Injury
- ❌ J. Njinmah: Thigh Injury
- ❌ J. Stage: Muscle Injury
- ❌ S. Lynen: Hip Injury
- ❌ M. N'Diaye: Groin Injury
- ❌ S. Alvero: Calf Injury
- ❌ S. Musah: Muscle Injury
- ❌ P. Erevbenagie: Ankle Injury
- ❌ N. Stark: Muscle Injury
More: Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws