Germany Bundesliga Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions

Upcoming Matches • Next 20 Days • 9 Matches • Round 6 • Updated 22 minutes ago • UTC+3

Value bets in Bundesliga: 5 bets · 60% win · profit +$37.17 (¼-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio →

Regular Season, Round 6

Friday, October 16

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
21:30 LWDWL LDLWW 83% 52.3% Over 2.5 1.45 —

Saturday, October 17

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
16:30 DLWDW LWWLL 81% 50% Over 2.5 1.57 —
16:30 DWDLL LWWLW 80% 47% Over 2.5 1.66 —
16:30 WWWLL WWWLL 84% 54.7% Over 2.5 1.41 —
16:30 WWLLL DWWWW 84% 54.5% Over 2.5 1.52 —
16:30 LLDLW DDLDW 81% 49.9% Over 2.5 1.47 —
19:30 DWWWD WLWLL 89% 63.6% Over 2.5 1.16 —

Sunday, October 18

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
16:30 WWWDW DWWWW 85% 56.3% Over 2.5 1.50 —
18:30 LLLLW LLLWL 85% 57.3% Over 2.5 1.42 —
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AI Prediction Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

45 matches analysed Updated Oct 11, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
53.3% 24/45
⚽ Both Teams to Score
48.9% 22/45
📈 Over / Under 2.5
48.9% 22/45
🔢 Correct Score
8.9% 4/45
🛡️ Double Chance
73.3% 33/45
📐 Corners Over/Under
63.0% 17/27
🤝 Draw Predictions
25.0% 2/8

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 60.0% 12/20
⚽ Both Teams to Score 45.0% 9/20
📈 Over / Under 2.5 70.0% 14/20
🛡️ Double Chance 75.0% 15/20

Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 62.1% 100.0% 3
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 45.9% 50.0% 36
Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% 74.1% 50.0% 4
Match Result (1X2) · 80+% 85.1% 50.0% 2
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 63.5% 50.0% 6
Both Teams to Score · <60% 52.8% 48.7% 39
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 63.6% 50.0% 12
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 53.0% 48.5% 33
Correct Score · <60% 10.3% 8.9% 45
Double Chance · 70-79% 75.0% 66.7% 36
Double Chance · 60-69% 67.7% 100.0% 4
Double Chance · 80+% 87.3% 100.0% 5
Draw Predictions · <60% 26.8% 25.0% 8
Corners Over/Under · 80+% 87.5% 60.0% 5
Corners Over/Under · 70-79% 74.6% 0.0% 1
Corners Over/Under · 60-69% 64.6% 50.0% 4
Corners Over/Under · <60% 55.0% 70.6% 17

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 5

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
09/10 21:30 DWWWW DLWDW 83% 53.4% Over 2.5 ✅ @1.39 2 – 2 FT
10/10 16:30 LLLWL WWWLL 82% 52% Over 2.5 ✅ @1.44 2 – 3 FT
10/10 16:30 DDLDW DWWWD 87% 60.8% Over 2.5 ✅ @1.15 2 – 2 FT
10/10 16:30 LWWLW WWWDW 85% 56.6% Over 2.5 ✅ @1.51 3 – 4 FT
10/10 16:30 WWLLL LLDLW 80% 47.6% Under 2.5 ✅ @2.38 1 – 0 FT
10/10 16:30 LWWLL WWWLL 80% 47.7% Under 2.5 ✅ @3.60 0 – 2 FT
10/10 19:30 WLWLL LWDWL 86% 57.9% Over 2.5 ✅ N/A 6 – 0 FT
11/10 16:30 LDLWW LLLLW 84% 55.2% Over 2.5 ✅ @1.58 2 – 1 FT
11/10 18:30 DWWWW DWDLL 84% 54.9% Over 2.5 ✅ N/A 2 – 1 FT