SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 19:30 UTC+3 • Round 9 • Europa-Park Stadion • 🌧 9.9°C, 3 km/h, 0.6mm rain
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 1xBet1.56 | 64.4% | +0.5% |
| Double Chance | 1X | 1xBet1.16 | 84.8% | -1.6% |
| BTTS | No | William Hill2.15 | 44.8% · Yes 55.2% | -3.7% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1xBet2.42 | 41.1% · Over 58.9% | -0.5% |
| Correct Score | 2-0 | Betano8.50 | 10.2% | -13.3% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Betano1.60 | 53.8% · Over 46.2% | -13.9% |
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🧠 Match Preview
SC Freiburg · Home
SC Freiburg have scored in four of their last five matches, including 2-1 at Augsburg and 3-2 at home to Wolfsburg, though they failed to score in the 0-3 loss at Monaco. Their model expected goals of 2.05 for this fixture reflect that scoring output.
Union Berlin · Away
Union Berlin have drawn three of their last five, with 1-1 results against Köln and Augsburg plus a 0-0 with Borussia Dortmund, and they failed to score in two of those five. Their recent xG for of 1.2 sits well below Freiburg's 1.78.
Freiburg's Scoring Edge
The latest H2H is a warning: Union Berlin won 0-1 at Freiburg on 15 Mar 2026, and they also won 1-2 there in March 2025. Yet Freiburg's recent record shows two wins in five with 7 goals scored, while Union Berlin have just 3 goals in five and failed to score twice. Freiburg's recent xG for of 1.78 against Union's 1.2 supports the home side creating more. The evidence supports SC Freiburg win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: SC Freiburg 2.05 – 0.98 Union Berlin · expected total 3.02
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
SC Freiburg
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
Rank among 18 Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
SC Freiburg at home · Union Berlin away, the split that matters for this fixture.
SC Freiburg (home)
Union Berlin (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
SC Freiburg 1 win · 4 draws · Union Berlin 5 wins · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | SC Freiburg | 0–1 | Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Union Berlin | 0–0 | SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 30 Mar 2025 | SC Freiburg | 1–2 | Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 08 Nov 2024 | Union Berlin | 0–0 | SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 18 May 2024 | Union Berlin | 2–1 | SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 13 Jan 2024 | SC Freiburg | 0–0 | Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 13 May 2023 | Union Berlin | 4–2 | SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 13 Nov 2022 | SC Freiburg | 4–1 | Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 07 May 2022 | SC Freiburg | 1–4 | Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 15 Dec 2021 | Union Berlin | 0–0 | SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
📈 Recent Form
SC Freiburg
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | FC Augsburg | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 28/10 | VfL Wolfsburg | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 25/10 | Bayern München | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 22/10 | Monaco | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 18/10 | Bayer Leverkusen | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 15/10 | FK Jablonec | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 11/10 | FC Schalke 04 | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 03/10 | FC Luzern | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 19/09 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Home | 5–0 | W |
Union Berlin
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | 1. FC Köln | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 27/10 | 1. FC Köln | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 24/10 | FC Augsburg | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Borussia Dortmund | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | SV Elversberg | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 26/09 | HNK Rijeka | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 18/09 | Bayern München | Away | 0–7 | L |
| 11/09 | FC Schalke 04 | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 05/09 | Bayer Leverkusen | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 29/08 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Home | 3–3 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Bundesliga
SC Freiburg #3 · 16 pts · Union Berlin #16 · 7 pts
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
SC Freiburg
- ❌ F. Muslija: Knee Injury
- ❌ P. Osterhage: Muscle Injury
- ❌ R. Yamamoto: Injury
- ❌ B. Ogbus: Injury
- ❌ P. Treu: Ankle Injury
- ❌ Y. Engelhardt: Injury
- ❌ Y. Suzuki: Suspended (Red Card)
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): B. Yilmaz (Lacking Match Fitness).
Union Berlin
- ❌ O. Burke: Achilles Tendon Injury
- ❌ M. Friedrich: Injury
- ❌ A. Ilic: Illness
- ❌ A. Markgraf: Knee Injury
- ❌ S. Nsoki: Muscle Injury
- ❌ F. Ronnow: Muscle Injury
- ❌ K. Imeri: Thigh Injury
- ❌ J. Juranovic: Illness
- ❌ R. Skov: Injury
- ❌ F. Uduokhai: Suspended (Red Card)
More: Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws