Germany Regionalliga Southwest Predictions and Betting Tips

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 10 Days β€’ 9 Matches β€’ Round 4 β€’ Updated 14 minutes ago β€’ UTC+3

Sudwest , Round 4

Friday, August 28

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
20:00 WWWLL
Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach vs Kaiserslautern II Kaiserslautern II
DDLWW 85% 55.8% Home N/A β€”
20:00 DLWDD
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. vs FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt
WLLDL 79% 45.5% Home N/A β€”

Saturday, August 29

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
15:00 LDLWW
FC Astoria Walldorf FC Astoria Walldorf vs SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846
DLLLL 78% 42.7% Home N/A β€”
15:00 WLWWW
Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier vs SV Sandhausen SV Sandhausen
LWDWD 77% 42.3% Home N/A β€”
15:00 WLWWW
FC 08 Homburg FC 08 Homburg vs Stuttgarter Kickers Stuttgarter Kickers
DWWLW 79% 45.3% Home N/A β€”
15:00 DDDWL
TSV Steinbach TSV Steinbach vs Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel
LWLLW 82% 50.7% Home N/A β€”
15:00 DWWLL
SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Frankfurt II Eintracht Frankfurt II
WLLWD 83% 53.3% Home N/A β€”

Sunday, August 30

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
15:00 LWLWW
FSV Mainz 05 II FSV Mainz 05 II vs VfR Aalen VfR Aalen
LDDDD 82% 50.9% Home N/A β€”
15:00 DWDWD
Freiburg II Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim VfR Mannheim
DLDLL 85% 56% Home N/A β€”

Predictlix Regionalliga Southwest Insights

Data-driven football analysis updated on: August 22, 2026

🎯

Match Outcome Confidence Map

SGV Freiberg versus Eintracht Frankfurt II carries the strongest predicted outcome signal in this Regionalliga Southwest window. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine assigns a 65.6% probability to the home win, the highest figure across all twenty fixtures. That confidence sits at a commanding 90. The attacking edge is stark, with a home expected output of 1.5846 against a meagre 0.4455 for the visitors. Freiberg also top the early standings with six points and a perfect record. Back SGV Freiberg to win at attractive odds, given this clear statistical gulf.

πŸ“ˆ

Model Track Record in This League

Across 36 settled matches in this league, PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine has hit 27.8% of its match winner calls, landing 10 of 36. Double chance selections have proven far more reliable, succeeding 72.2% of the time on 26 correct picks. The over/under 2.5 market shows a 30.6% hit rate, with just 11 correct from 36. Correct score predictions have landed only once. High-confidence picks above 75 have returned 43.2% on a sample of 118. That sample is small, so treat these numbers with caution.

⚽

Goals Landscape β€” Over/Under Breakdown

Stuttgarter Kickers versus Freiburg II stands out with the strongest Over lean at 72.6%, driven by a home expected goals figure of 2.37. VfR Mannheim hosting SGV Freiberg also points Over at 76.4%, with both sides contributing healthy attacking numbers. Conversely, Eintracht Frankfurt II versus FC Astoria Walldorf is the clearest Under at 74.9%, as both teams project below one expected goal. A pick on Over 2.5 in the VfR Mannheim clash offers the highest probability edge, though confidence remains moderate.

πŸ”₯

Streak & Momentum Signals

SGV Freiberg's perfect start stands out, with two wins from two and a goal difference of +8. Stuttgarter Kickers and Kickers Offenbach also boast maximum points, each with six and a +3 differential. VfR Aalen are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches, a solid indicator of resilience. Kaiserslautern II share that exact 9-of-10 unbeaten run. However, these streaks stem from a tiny sample. Teams have played only two rounds, so the table order is not yet meaningful and these patterns remain short-term signals.

🧱

Defensive Lines β€” Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences

SGV Freiberg have been the standout defensive unit, conceding an average of 0 goals across their two matches while recording 2 clean sheets. Eintracht Frankfurt II, by contrast, are leaking goals heavily, with a conceded average of 4 and no clean sheets to their name. VfR Aalen look solid, having shipped just 0.5 per game. Kaiserslautern II and Stuttgarter Kickers also show promise defensively. FC 08 Homburg and FSV Frankfurt are vulnerable, each conceding an average of 3 goals, while SSV Ulm 1846 have also struggled at the back.

🏟️

Standings Context & Match Motivation

SGV Freiberg top the early table with six points and a +8 goal difference, yet the standings remain provisional after just two rounds. SSV Ulm 1846 and Eintracht Frankfurt II sit bottom with zero points and are already seeking their first win. Kickers Offenbach and Stuttgarter Kickers share six points, but the table is not yet meaningful. Freiburg II and SV Sandhausen hold four points apiece. VfR Aalen and TSV Steinbach have drawn both matches. The model track record shows 27.8% correct on match winners.

πŸ’°

Accumulator Builder & Value Picks

Priced legs are scarce across this Regionalliga Southwest window, so the accumulator section cannot be filled honestly. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine flags SGV Freiberg as its standout single, rating their home win over Eintracht Frankfurt II at 90% confidence with a 65.6% model probability. That is the strongest edge available. Back SGV Freiberg to win outright as the sole recommended pick, given no reliable combined price exists for a multi-leg ticket.

πŸ“Š

Head-to-Head & Historical Edge

Stuttgarter Kickers hold a clear historical edge over Freiburg II, having won 6 of the last 8 meetings between the sides. That dominance is the standout head-to-head pattern in this window. Elsewhere, VfR Aalen arrive unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches, a strong indicator of resilience against any opponent. Those past results provide useful context, though early-season form remains a separate variable for the upcoming contests.

πŸ“‘

AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types. Updated automatically after each matchday.

26 matches analysed Updated Aug 22, 2026
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
26.9% 7/26
⚽ Both Teams to Score
57.7% 15/26
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
42.3% 11/26
πŸ”’ Correct Score
3.8% 1/26
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
61.5% 16/26
🀝 Draw Predictions
23.1% 3/13

Recent Form β€” Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 26.9% 7/26
⚽ Both Teams to Score 57.7% 15/26
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5 42.3% 11/26
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance 61.5% 16/26

Probability Calibration β€” Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% 47.4% 25.0% 8
Both Teams to Score Β· <60% 54.8% 60.0% 5
Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% 66.9% 100.0% 2
Both Teams to Score Β· 70-79% 74.4% 0.0% 1
Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% 53.8% 80.0% 5
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% 64.9% 100.0% 1
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 70-79% 74.5% 50.0% 2
Correct Score Β· <60% 10.7% 0.0% 8
Double Chance Β· 70-79% 76.6% 37.5% 8

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Sudwest , Round 3

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
22/08 15:00 LDDDD
VfR Aalen VfR Aalen vs Eintracht Frankfurt II Eintracht Frankfurt II
WLLWD 83% 52.2% Home ❌ N/A 0 – 3 FT
22/08 15:00 WLLDL
FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt vs FC Astoria Walldorf FC Astoria Walldorf
LDLWW 78% 44.2% Home βœ… N/A 3 – 0 FT
22/08 15:00 DDLWW
Kaiserslautern II Kaiserslautern II vs TSV Steinbach TSV Steinbach
DDDWL 76% 40% Away ❌ N/A 0 – 0 FT
22/08 15:00 WWWLL
Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach vs FSV Mainz 05 II FSV Mainz 05 II
LWLWW 81% 48.8% Home βœ… N/A 3 – 1 FT
22/08 15:00 LWDWD
SV Sandhausen SV Sandhausen vs FC 08 Homburg FC 08 Homburg
WLWWW 82% 51% Home ❌ N/A 1 – 3 FT
22/08 15:00 DWWLW
Stuttgarter Kickers Stuttgarter Kickers vs Freiburg II Freiburg II
DWDWD 85% 56.4% Home ❌ N/A 2 – 2 FT
22/08 15:00 DLLLL
SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846 vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
DLWDD 76% 39.9% Home ❌ N/A 2 – 2 FT
22/08 15:00 DLDLL
VfR Mannheim VfR Mannheim vs SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg
DWWLL 80% 46.7% Away ❌ N/A 0 – 0 FT