Kaiserslautern II are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
Germany Regionalliga Southwest Predictions and Betting Tips
Upcoming Matches β’ Next 10 Days β’ 9 Matches β’ Round 4 β’ Updated 14 minutes ago β’ UTC+3
Sudwest , Round 4
Friday, August 28
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | WWWLL |
Kickers Offenbach
vs
Kaiserslautern II
|
DDLWW | 85% | 55.8% | Home | N/A | β |
| 20:00 | DLWDD |
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
vs
FSV Frankfurt
|
WLLDL | 79% | 45.5% | Home | N/A | β |
Saturday, August 29
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | LDLWW |
FC Astoria Walldorf
vs
SSV Ulm 1846
|
DLLLL | 78% | 42.7% | Home | N/A | β |
| 15:00 | WLWWW |
Eintracht Trier
vs
SV Sandhausen
|
LWDWD | 77% | 42.3% | Home | N/A | β |
| 15:00 | WLWWW |
FC 08 Homburg
vs
Stuttgarter Kickers
|
DWWLW | 79% | 45.3% | Home | N/A | β |
| 15:00 | DDDWL |
TSV Steinbach
vs
Hessen Kassel
|
LWLLW | 82% | 50.7% | Home | N/A | β |
| 15:00 | DWWLL |
SGV Freiberg
vs
Eintracht Frankfurt II
|
WLLWD | 83% | 53.3% | Home | N/A | β |
Sunday, August 30
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | LWLWW |
FSV Mainz 05 II
vs
VfR Aalen
|
LDDDD | 82% | 50.9% | Home | N/A | β |
| 15:00 | DWDWD |
Freiburg II
vs
VfR Mannheim
|
DLDLL | 85% | 56% | Home | N/A | β |
Top Trends from Regionalliga Southwest Teams
Stuttgarter Kickers are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
TSV Steinbach are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
VfR Aalen are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
Kickers Offenbach have won 8 of the last 10 meetings against FSV Frankfurt
SSV Ulm 1846 have failed to win in their last 5 matches
Freiburg II are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
Predictlix Regionalliga Southwest Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: August 22, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
SGV Freiberg versus Eintracht Frankfurt II carries the strongest predicted outcome signal in this Regionalliga Southwest window. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine assigns a 65.6% probability to the home win, the highest figure across all twenty fixtures. That confidence sits at a commanding 90. The attacking edge is stark, with a home expected output of 1.5846 against a meagre 0.4455 for the visitors. Freiberg also top the early standings with six points and a perfect record. Back SGV Freiberg to win at attractive odds, given this clear statistical gulf.
Model Track Record in This League
Across 36 settled matches in this league, PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine has hit 27.8% of its match winner calls, landing 10 of 36. Double chance selections have proven far more reliable, succeeding 72.2% of the time on 26 correct picks. The over/under 2.5 market shows a 30.6% hit rate, with just 11 correct from 36. Correct score predictions have landed only once. High-confidence picks above 75 have returned 43.2% on a sample of 118. That sample is small, so treat these numbers with caution.
Goals Landscape β Over/Under Breakdown
Stuttgarter Kickers versus Freiburg II stands out with the strongest Over lean at 72.6%, driven by a home expected goals figure of 2.37. VfR Mannheim hosting SGV Freiberg also points Over at 76.4%, with both sides contributing healthy attacking numbers. Conversely, Eintracht Frankfurt II versus FC Astoria Walldorf is the clearest Under at 74.9%, as both teams project below one expected goal. A pick on Over 2.5 in the VfR Mannheim clash offers the highest probability edge, though confidence remains moderate.
Streak & Momentum Signals
SGV Freiberg's perfect start stands out, with two wins from two and a goal difference of +8. Stuttgarter Kickers and Kickers Offenbach also boast maximum points, each with six and a +3 differential. VfR Aalen are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches, a solid indicator of resilience. Kaiserslautern II share that exact 9-of-10 unbeaten run. However, these streaks stem from a tiny sample. Teams have played only two rounds, so the table order is not yet meaningful and these patterns remain short-term signals.
Defensive Lines β Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences
SGV Freiberg have been the standout defensive unit, conceding an average of 0 goals across their two matches while recording 2 clean sheets. Eintracht Frankfurt II, by contrast, are leaking goals heavily, with a conceded average of 4 and no clean sheets to their name. VfR Aalen look solid, having shipped just 0.5 per game. Kaiserslautern II and Stuttgarter Kickers also show promise defensively. FC 08 Homburg and FSV Frankfurt are vulnerable, each conceding an average of 3 goals, while SSV Ulm 1846 have also struggled at the back.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
SGV Freiberg top the early table with six points and a +8 goal difference, yet the standings remain provisional after just two rounds. SSV Ulm 1846 and Eintracht Frankfurt II sit bottom with zero points and are already seeking their first win. Kickers Offenbach and Stuttgarter Kickers share six points, but the table is not yet meaningful. Freiburg II and SV Sandhausen hold four points apiece. VfR Aalen and TSV Steinbach have drawn both matches. The model track record shows 27.8% correct on match winners.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
Priced legs are scarce across this Regionalliga Southwest window, so the accumulator section cannot be filled honestly. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine flags SGV Freiberg as its standout single, rating their home win over Eintracht Frankfurt II at 90% confidence with a 65.6% model probability. That is the strongest edge available. Back SGV Freiberg to win outright as the sole recommended pick, given no reliable combined price exists for a multi-leg ticket.
Head-to-Head & Historical Edge
Stuttgarter Kickers hold a clear historical edge over Freiburg II, having won 6 of the last 8 meetings between the sides. That dominance is the standout head-to-head pattern in this window. Elsewhere, VfR Aalen arrive unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches, a strong indicator of resilience against any opponent. Those past results provide useful context, though early-season form remains a separate variable for the upcoming contests.
AI Prediction Accuracy β Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form β Last 30 Days
Probability Calibration β Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% | 47.4% | 25.0% | 8 |
| Both Teams to Score Β· <60% | 54.8% | 60.0% | 5 |
| Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% | 66.9% | 100.0% | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score Β· 70-79% | 74.4% | 0.0% | 1 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% | 53.8% | 80.0% | 5 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% | 64.9% | 100.0% | 1 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· 70-79% | 74.5% | 50.0% | 2 |
| Correct Score Β· <60% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 8 |
| Double Chance Β· 70-79% | 76.6% | 37.5% | 8 |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Sudwest , Round 3
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 15:00 | LDDDD |
VfR Aalen
vs
Eintracht Frankfurt II
|
WLLWD | 83% | 52.2% | Home β | N/A | 0 β 3 FT |
| 22/08 15:00 | WLLDL |
FSV Frankfurt
vs
FC Astoria Walldorf
|
LDLWW | 78% | 44.2% | Home β | N/A | 3 β 0 FT |
| 22/08 15:00 | DDLWW |
Kaiserslautern II
vs
TSV Steinbach
|
DDDWL | 76% | 40% | Away β | N/A | 0 β 0 FT |
| 22/08 15:00 | WWWLL |
Kickers Offenbach
vs
FSV Mainz 05 II
|
LWLWW | 81% | 48.8% | Home β | N/A | 3 β 1 FT |
| 22/08 15:00 | LWDWD |
SV Sandhausen
vs
FC 08 Homburg
|
WLWWW | 82% | 51% | Home β | N/A | 1 β 3 FT |
| 22/08 15:00 | DWWLW |
Stuttgarter Kickers
vs
Freiburg II
|
DWDWD | 85% | 56.4% | Home β | N/A | 2 β 2 FT |
| 22/08 15:00 | DLLLL |
SSV Ulm 1846
vs
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
|
DLWDD | 76% | 39.9% | Home β | N/A | 2 β 2 FT |
| 22/08 15:00 | DLDLL |
VfR Mannheim
vs
SGV Freiberg
|
DWWLL | 80% | 46.7% | Away β | N/A | 0 β 0 FT |