Harksheide
Winless 9 of 10
In their 10 most recent matches, Harksheide have achieved just 1 win
Germany Oberliga - Hamburg Predictions and Betting Tips
Round 15 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
🔍 More Germany League Tips
Hamburg, Round 15
Friday, November 06
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | WLLLW | LWL | 25.5% | Draw | N/A | — | — | |
| 21:30 | LLDLD | LWDWW | 40.7% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 22:00 | LWLWD | WWWWL | 43.9% | Away | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
Saturday, November 07
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:30 | WLDWW | DWW | 56.1% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 19:00 | WLD | LWWDD | 50.6% | Home | N/A | — | — |
Sunday, November 08
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:45 | WLWLW | WLLWD | 50.3% | Away | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | WLDL | LWDWL | 51.5% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:00 | DLL | LWD | 43.8% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LLLWL | WWDWL | 45.1% | Away | N/A | — | — |
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Oberliga - Hamburg
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Harksheide
Winless 9 of 10
Altona 93
Unbeaten 9 of 10
Altona 93 are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
Paloma
Unbeaten 9 of 10
Paloma are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
Tus Dassendorf
H2H 9/9
Tus Dassendorf have won 9 of the last 9 meetings against Concordia
Norderstedt II
Winless 8 of 10
In their 10 most recent matches, Norderstedt II have achieved just 2 wins
Sasel
H2H 6/8
Sasel have won 6 of the last 8 meetings against Concordia
Victoria Hamburg
H2H 6/8
Victoria Hamburg have won 6 of the last 8 meetings against Harksheide
Pinneberg
Away wins 1/6
Pinneberg have won just 1 of their last 6 away matches
PredictLix Oberliga - Hamburg Facts and Insights
League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 05:15 UTC
Results and goal volume
| Metric | Current2026/27 · 123 matches | Previous2025/26 · 304 matches | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | 31.7% | 46.4% | -14.7 pp |
| Draws | 18.7% | 15.1% | +3.6 pp |
| Away wins | 49.6% | 38.5% | +11.1 pp |
| Total goals per match | 4.21 | 4.44 | -0.23 |
| Home goals per match | 1.93 | 2.32 | -0.39 |
| Away goals per match | 2.28 | 2.13 | +0.15 |
| First-half goals per match | 1.92 | 1.99 | -0.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.1% | 92.8% | -1.7 pp |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.9% | 79.6% | -0.7 pp |
| Over 3.5 goals | 59.3% | 61.8% | -2.5 pp |
Scoring and match patterns
| Metric | Current2026/27 · 123 matches | Previous2025/26 · 304 matches | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 goals | 40.7% | 43.1% | -2.4 pp |
| First-half Over 1.5 goals | 57.7% | 61.2% | -3.5 pp |
| First-half both teams scored | 38.2% | 32.6% | +5.6 pp |
| Both teams scored | 75.6% | 67.8% | +7.8 pp |
| BTTS and Over 2.5 | 68.3% | 61.8% | +6.5 pp |
| Goalless draws (0–0) | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.0 pp |
| Home clean sheets | 9.8% | 18.1% | -8.3 pp |
| Away clean sheets | 16.3% | 15.8% | +0.5 pp |
| One-goal winning margins | 35.8% | 28.3% | +7.5 pp |
| Second-half Over 1.5 goals | 65.9% | 67.4% | -1.5 pp |
pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first.
Most common final scores
Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.
| Final score | Current season2026/27 | Previous season2025/26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1–2 | 8.9%11 of 123 | 7.2%22 of 304 | +1.7 pp |
| 1–1 | 7.3%9 of 123 | 5.9%18 of 304 | +1.4 pp |
| 2–1 | 6.5%8 of 123 | 7.2%22 of 304 | -0.7 pp |
| 2–2 | 6.5%8 of 123 | 4.3%13 of 304 | +2.2 pp |
| 2–3 | 6.5%8 of 123 | 2.3%7 of 304 | +4.2 pp |
| 1–3 | 5.7%7 of 123 | 3.6%11 of 304 | +2.1 pp |
| Final score | Current season2026/27 | Previous season2025/26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3–1 | 4.1%5 of 123 | 4.6%14 of 304 | -0.5 pp |
| 0–3 | 4.1%5 of 123 | 2.0%6 of 304 | +2.1 pp |
| 1–0 | 4.1%5 of 123 | 2.0%6 of 304 | +2.1 pp |
| 3–2 | 3.3%4 of 123 | 3.9%12 of 304 | -0.7 pp |
| 0–1 | 3.3%4 of 123 | 3.6%11 of 304 | -0.4 pp |
| 1–4 | 3.3%4 of 123 | 3.0%9 of 304 | +0.3 pp |
Five key insights from the season data
- Home wins fell to 31.7% this season from 46.4% last season, with away wins rising to 49.6% from 38.5%. One possible explanation is that matches are opening more cautiously for hosts, and an early away goal could then force home sides into chase mode, shifting game states against them.
- Both teams scored in 75.6% of matches this season versus 67.8% last season, while goalless draws stayed at 1.6%. This pattern could reflect more open, end-to-end transitions where each side creates and concedes chances rather than one team controlling the match.
- Home goals per match dropped to 1.93 this season from 2.32 last season, even as away goals per match edged up to 2.28 from 2.13. One possible explanation is that hosts are being pinned back more in transition, reducing their attacking output while away sides exploit the space left behind.
- First-half both teams scored in 38.2% of matches this season versus 32.6% last season, a rise of 5.6 percentage points. This may point to more aggressive early pressing from both sides, producing chances at both ends before game states settle.
- One-goal winning margins rose to 35.8% this season from 28.3% last season, suggesting tighter finishes despite the higher BTTS rate. One possible explanation is that matches opening after an early goal leave both teams trading chances, keeping the final gap narrow rather than one side pulling clear.
AI-selected and written from the verified figures above · Published: November 1, 2026, 17:16 UTC
📡
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
🎯
Match Result (1X2)
60.0%
3/5
⚽
Both Teams to Score
100.0%
5/5
📈
Over / Under 2.5
100.0%
5/5
🔢
Correct Score
20.0%
1/5
🛡️
Double Chance
80.0%
4/5
📌
1X2 · home/away picks
60.0%
3/5
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
🎯
Match Result (1X2)
60.0%
3/5
⚽
Both Teams to Score
100.0%
5/5
📈
Over / Under 2.5
100.0%
5/5
🛡️
Double Chance
80.0%
4/5
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 53.0% | 60.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 67.1% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 59.6% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 70-79% | 75.5% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 80+% | 80.2% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 65.0% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 73.1% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 80+% | 83.2% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 8.4% | 20.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 77.3% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 80.9% | 66.7% | 3 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Hamburg, Round 14
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 20:30 | WLD | DLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 2 FT | |
| 24/10 20:30 | LWL | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 0 FT | |
| 24/10 20:45 | DDLDW | WWWWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 2 FT | |
| 24/10 20:45 | LWDWW | LWD | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 5 FT | |
| 25/10 14:00 | WLLWD | LWWDD | — | No data | N/A | — | 6 – 0 FT | |
| 25/10 17:30 | ----- | DWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 8 FT | |
| 26/10 12:45 | WLWLW | LLDLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 26/10 16:30 | LLLWL | WLDL | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 8 FT | |
| 28/04 20:30 | ----- | WWDWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 3 FT | |
| 30/10 21:00 | DWW | DLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 4 – 4 FT | |
| 30/10 21:30 | LWD | WLDL | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 3 FT | |
| 30/10 21:30 | LWL | WLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 4 FT | |
| 31/10 15:00 | LWDWW | WLDWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 01/11 12:45 | WWDWL | LWLWD | 53.8% | Home ✅ | N/A | — | 5 – 2 FT | |
| 01/11 15:00 | LWDWL | WLLLW | 58.3% | Home ❌ | N/A | — | 2 – 4 FT | |
| 01/11 16:00 | WWWWL | LLDLD | 59.6% | Home ✅ | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | LLLWL | WLWLW | 50.9% | Home ❌ | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 01/11 17:00 | LWWDD | WLLWD | 42.2% | Away ✅ | N/A | — | 1 – 3 FT |
