Predictions → Germany Oberliga - Hamburg

Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Fri, 20 Nov 2026 • 21:30 UTC+3 • Hamburg - 17

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away Current price not available41.8% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available78.1% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available76.8% · No 23.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available77.8% · Under 22.2% —
Correct Score 1-2 Current price not available7.4% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Harksheide 36.3% · Draw 21.9% · Victoria Hamburg 41.8%. Selected outcome: Victoria Hamburg win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Harksheide 1.99, Victoria Hamburg 2.14, expected total 4.13.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Harksheide: L-D-L-D-D in their last five matches.
Victoria Hamburg: L in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Harksheide 1–2 Victoria Hamburg, 06 Mar 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Harksheide

Form (last 5)
LLDLD
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)2.10
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1313

Victoria Hamburg

Form (last 5)
LWD
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season7
Elo strength rating1362
HarksheideVictoria Hamburg
Goals scored (season avg)
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.10
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
4
7
Elo strength rating
1313
1362

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Harksheide

Lost 2 in a row Winless 6
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Victoria Hamburg

BTTS
2/3
Over 2.5
3/3
Scored a goal
3/3
No goals conceded
1/3

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Oberliga - Hamburg

Harksheide

Worst attack (1.20 goals/game, season)

Victoria Hamburg

2nd best defence (1.50 conceded/game, season) Best clean sheets (3, season)

Rank among 18 Oberliga - Hamburg teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Harksheide at home · Victoria Hamburg away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Harksheide (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–3D–4L
D 3
L 4
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)2.40
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2

Victoria Hamburg (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–0L
W 4
D 3
Played7
Goals scored (avg)2.40
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Harksheide (home)Victoria Hamburg (away)
D 3
L 4
W 4
D 3
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
2.40
Goals conceded (avg)
2.40
0.90
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
2
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–2
7.4%
1–3
5.28%
2–3
5.26%
0–2
3.71%
1–4
2.82%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Harksheide 2 wins · 0 draws · Victoria Hamburg 6 wins · avg 4.5 goals · BTTS in 6 of 8

2
6
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
06 Mar 2026 Harksheide 1–2 Victoria Hamburg Oberliga - Hamburg
18 Sep 2025 Victoria Hamburg 5–0 Harksheide Oberliga - Hamburg
28 Feb 2025 Victoria Hamburg 5–1 Harksheide Oberliga - Hamburg
17 Sep 2024 Harksheide 2–4 Victoria Hamburg Oberliga - Hamburg
15 Mar 2024 Victoria Hamburg 5–2 Harksheide Oberliga - Hamburg
22 Sep 2023 Harksheide 3–0 Victoria Hamburg Oberliga - Hamburg
17 Mar 2023 Victoria Hamburg 1–2 Harksheide Oberliga - Hamburg
30 Sep 2022 Harksheide 1–2 Victoria Hamburg Oberliga - Hamburg

📈 Recent Form

Harksheide

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Niendorfer TSV Away 1–2 L
23/10 Paloma Home 0–2 L
09/10 Norderstedt II Home 3–3 D
02/10 HEBC Home 0–3 L
26/09 Altona 93 Away 1–1 D
18/09 Buchholz Home 2–2 D
11/09 ETSV Hamburg Away 3–2 W
04/09 Concordia Home 1–3 L
30/08 Teutonia Ottensen Away 0–0 D
21/08 Tus Dassendorf Home 1–3 L

Victoria Hamburg

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/10 ETSV Hamburg Home 2–3 L
23/10 Concordia Away 3–0 W
16/10 Teutonia Ottensen Home 2–2 D

📊 Season Comparison: Oberliga - Hamburg

Harksheide

Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Victoria Hamburg

Played14
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
HarksheideVictoria Hamburg
Played
12
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded (avg)
2.10
1.50
Clean sheets
1
3
Failed to score
3
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Harksheide

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Victoria Hamburg

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Oberliga - Hamburg predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws