Germany Oberliga - Hamburg Draw Football Predictions

Round 15 • 1 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

Hamburg, Round 15

Friday, November 06

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
21:00 WLLLW LWL 25.5% Draw N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

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Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

5 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
60.0% 3/5
⚽ Both Teams to Score
100.0% 5/5
📈 Over / Under 2.5
100.0% 5/5
🔢 Correct Score
20.0% 1/5
🛡️ Double Chance
80.0% 4/5
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
60.0% 3/5

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 60.0% 3/5
⚽ Both Teams to Score 100.0% 5/5
📈 Over / Under 2.5 100.0% 5/5
🛡️ Double Chance 80.0% 4/5
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 53.0% 60.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 67.1% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 59.6% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 75.5% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 80+% 80.2% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 65.0% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 73.1% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 80+% 83.2% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 8.4% 20.0% 5 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 77.3% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 80.9% 66.7% 3 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.