Harksheide have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches
Germany Oberliga - Hamburg Draw Football Predictions
Round 15 • 1 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
🔍 More Germany League Tips
Hamburg, Round 15
Friday, November 06
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Draw | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | WLLLW | LWL | 25.5% | Draw | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Oberliga - Hamburg for Draws
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
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Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
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Match Result (1X2)
60.0%
3/5
⚽
Both Teams to Score
100.0%
5/5
📈
Over / Under 2.5
100.0%
5/5
🔢
Correct Score
20.0%
1/5
🛡️
Double Chance
80.0%
4/5
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1X2 · home/away picks
60.0%
3/5
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
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Match Result (1X2)
60.0%
3/5
⚽
Both Teams to Score
100.0%
5/5
📈
Over / Under 2.5
100.0%
5/5
🛡️
Double Chance
80.0%
4/5
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 53.0% | 60.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 67.1% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 59.6% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 70-79% | 75.5% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 80+% | 80.2% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 65.0% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 73.1% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 80+% | 83.2% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 8.4% | 20.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 77.3% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 80.9% | 66.7% | 3 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.