Freiburg U19 are unbeaten in their last 10 matches
Germany U19 Bundesliga Predictions and Betting Tips
Preliminary • 20 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
Preliminary
Wednesday, November 04
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | DDWLW | WWWLL | 43.9% | Home | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
Saturday, November 07
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | LDDWD | WWWDL | 40.8% | Away | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | WWWLL | DLLLL | 53.1% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | LLW | WDLLW | 50.7% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | LLWLW | WDLWW | 47.7% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | WWWWD | DLDWD | 69.5% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | LLLWL | WWL | 46.3% | Away | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | LWWLW | DWLWL | 54.7% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | WWWWW | DWWWL | 58% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | LLLWW | DLWWL | 43.9% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | WDLLW | LDLWL | 49.8% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 14:00 | LLLLL | WWW | 58.2% | Away | N/A | — | — | |
| 14:00 | LLLWW | DLWWL | 43.7% | Away | N/A | — | — | |
| 15:00 | WDWWW | LLLWL | 71.6% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 15:00 | WWWWW | LWWWL | 54.1% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 15:00 | DDL | LLD | 56.2% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 15:00 | LL | LWLLL | 44.2% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 15:00 | WLW | WW | 48.4% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 15:00 | L | LL | 29.5% | Draw | N/A | — | — | |
| 15:00 | DWL | LW | 49.9% | Home | N/A | — | — |
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — U19 Bundesliga
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Saarbrücken U19 have failed to win in their last 10 matches
Chemnitzer FC U19 have failed to win in their last 9 matches
Werder Bremen U19 are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
Borussia Dortmund U19 are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
Karlsruher SC U19 are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
MSV Duisburg U19 are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
In their 10 most recent matches, Elversberg U19 have achieved just 2 wins
PredictLix U19 Bundesliga Facts and Insights
League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 05:15 UTC
Results and goal volume
| Metric | Current2026 · 283 matches | Previous2025/26 · 878 matches | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | 47.7% | 46.5% | +1.2 pp |
| Draws | 15.9% | 15.1% | +0.8 pp |
| Away wins | 36.4% | 38.4% | -2.0 pp |
| Total goals per match | 4.14 | 4.04 | +0.10 |
| Home goals per match | 2.22 | 2.20 | +0.02 |
| Away goals per match | 1.92 | 1.84 | +0.08 |
| First-half goals per match | 1.89 | 1.84 | +0.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.9% | 91.7% | +0.2 pp |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.0% | 75.7% | +0.3 pp |
| Over 3.5 goals | 59.4% | 55.6% | +3.8 pp |
Scoring and match patterns
| Metric | Current2026 · 283 matches | Previous2025/26 · 878 matches | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 goals | 39.2% | 36.4% | +2.8 pp |
| First-half Over 1.5 goals | 56.5% | 53.1% | +3.4 pp |
| First-half both teams scored | 30.0% | 28.9% | +1.1 pp |
| Both teams scored | 68.2% | 66.2% | +2.0 pp |
| BTTS and Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 60.7% | -1.0 pp |
| Goalless draws (0–0) | 2.5% | 2.2% | +0.3 pp |
| Home clean sheets | 17.7% | 19.6% | -1.9 pp |
| Away clean sheets | 16.6% | 16.4% | +0.2 pp |
| One-goal winning margins | 25.8% | 32.0% | -6.2 pp |
| Second-half Over 1.5 goals | 65.0% | 64.7% | +0.3 pp |
pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first.
Most common final scores
Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.
| Final score | Current season2026 | Previous season2025/26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 8.5%24 of 283 | 5.5%48 of 878 | +3.0 pp |
| 3–1 | 7.4%21 of 283 | 5.5%48 of 878 | +2.0 pp |
| 2–1 | 6.7%19 of 283 | 8.1%71 of 878 | -1.4 pp |
| 1–3 | 5.3%15 of 283 | 4.6%40 of 878 | +0.7 pp |
| 1–2 | 4.2%12 of 283 | 6.6%58 of 878 | -2.4 pp |
| 0–2 | 4.2%12 of 283 | 4.9%43 of 878 | -0.7 pp |
| Final score | Current season2026 | Previous season2025/26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3–2 | 4.2%12 of 283 | 3.9%34 of 878 | +0.4 pp |
| 1–0 | 3.9%11 of 283 | 2.5%22 of 878 | +1.4 pp |
| 0–3 | 3.5%10 of 283 | 2.3%20 of 878 | +1.3 pp |
| 4–1 | 3.5%10 of 283 | 2.1%18 of 878 | +1.5 pp |
| 2–4 | 3.5%10 of 283 | 1.7%15 of 878 | +1.8 pp |
| 2–0 | 3.2%9 of 283 | 5.6%49 of 878 | -2.4 pp |
Five key insights from the season data
- This season Over 3.5 goals has risen to 59.4% from 55.6% last season, meaning matches are more frequently reaching four or more goals. One possible explanation is that more open game states after early goals could be stretching contests and increasing total scoring.
- Both teams scored in 68.2% of matches this season versus 66.2% last season, so clean sheets for either side are less common. This pattern could reflect more end-to-end transitions or a greater willingness to commit numbers forward once a goal is conceded.
- One-goal winning margins have dropped to 25.8% this season from 32.0% last season, indicating fewer close finishes. A possible mechanism is that matches are opening up more after the first goal, allowing leads to be extended rather than held narrowly.
- First-half Over 1.5 goals is at 56.5% this season compared with 53.1% last season, showing more early multi-goal halves. This could stem from cautious opening approaches giving way quickly once an early goal arrives, triggering more first-half scoring.
- Home clean sheets have fallen to 17.7% this season from 19.6% last season, meaning home sides are less often shutting out opponents. One possible explanation is that home teams are adopting more aggressive transition tactics, which may leave them more exposed at the back.
AI-selected and written from the verified figures above · Published: November 1, 2026, 15:16 UTC
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 61.8% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 53.8% | 50.0% | 4 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 70-79% | 75.1% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 80+% | 85.7% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 65.3% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 80+% | 81.6% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 77.4% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 59.8% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 69.3% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 82.5% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 77.3% | 100.0% | 3 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: November 1, 2026
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 13:00 | WWDLW | LLWLW | 61.8% | Home ✅ | N/A | — | 3 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 13:00 | LWLLL | WWWWW | 59.3% | Away ✅ | @1.371xBet | -18.8% | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 13:00 | LWLLD | WDLLW | 57.4% | Home ❌ | N/A | — | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 14:00 | WWWLL | LLLWW | 51.6% | Home ✅ | N/A | — | 4 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 15:00 | LLLWL | WLLLL | 46.7% | Home ❌ | N/A | — | 0 – 2 FT |