Germany 3. Liga Predictions and Betting Tips

Upcoming Matches • Next 20 Days • 10 Matches • Round 9 • Updated 19 minutes ago • UTC+3

Regular Season, Round 9

Tomorrow - Tuesday, October 13

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
20:00 WDWLD
Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen SV Meppen
DLLLL 88% 66.3% Home 1.69 —
20:00 DDDWW
Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln
DWLDD 89% 70.1% Home 1.52 —
20:00 DWWDL
FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken vs MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
WWWLW 75% 34% Home 2.58 —
20:00 LLLLD
Havelse Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers
LLDLW 75% 32.6% Away 2.30 —
20:00 DDDLL
Stuttgart II Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II
LWWDL 76% 36.3% Away 2.22 —

Wednesday, October 14

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
20:00 DLDWW
Preußen Münster Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf
LWWDW 74% 31.1% Home 2.87 —
20:00 LWLDD
SV Wehen SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen
WLDWL 75% 31.9% Home 2.32 —
20:00 WWWLW
FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
LDLDD 88% 68.2% Home 1.78 —
20:00 WDWWL
Verl Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg SSV Jahn Regensburg
WLDLD 80% 45% Home 2.10 —
20:00 WLWWL
Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
LLWLW 81% 47.7% Home 2.15 —

Predictlix 3. Liga Insights

Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026

🎯

Match Outcome Confidence Map

FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach stands out with a 92 confidence rating and 84.7% probability, the highest in this window according to the PredictLix model. The home side's attacking lambda of 2.4654 dwarfs the visitors' 0.6317, a huge edge for the second-placed club. Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen also carries 89 confidence and a +9pp value edge at 1.55. Back Viktoria Köln at short odds with maximum confidence.

📈

Model Track Record in This League

Across 90 settled matches in this league, the PredictLix model has delivered 37.8% correct on match winner, 52.2% on BTTS and 50% on Over/Under 2.5. Correct score sits at just 4.4%. Double chance reaches 68.9%, while draw picks land only 14.7%. The sample is small, so treat these figures with caution. High-confidence picks at 75 and above hit 49%, and medium-confidence picks between 50 and 74 manage 28.8%.

⚽

Goals Landscape — Over/Under Breakdown

MSV Duisburg versus Hoffenheim II carries the window's clearest goals lean, with the PredictLix model reading Over 2.5 at 63.7% and home and away lambdas of 2.7821 and 1.6351. At the other end, Preußen Münster against Fortuna Düsseldorf tilts Under 2.5 at 51.2%. Verl versus SSV Jahn Regensburg also leans Over at 58.9%, backed by lambdas of 1.8947 and 1.2505. Best angle: Over 2.5 in Duisburg at 1.5, medium confidence.

🔥

Streak & Momentum Signals

Havelse's collapse stands out sharply, with just 1 win across their 10 most recent matches. Fortuna Köln arrive at Rot-Weiß Essen unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent outings, a stubborn streak worth tracking. Three sides carry heavy win expectancy into this window, led by FC Viktoria Köln at 92 percent confidence. Note that early-season samples remain short, so these runs may yet shift.

🧱

Defensive Lines — Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences

MSV Duisburg arrive with the meanest defence in this window, conceding just 1.0 per game across seven outings, while FC Viktoria Köln and Hoffenheim II sit close behind on 1.1. Rot-Weiß Essen have also shipped only 1.3 per match, yet Preußen Münster, SV Wehen, Havelse and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach all leak 2.1 or more, and Würzburger Kickers concede 2.4. Clean sheets tell a similar story: Duisburg, Viktoria Köln, Regensburg and Meppen each record two or three shutouts, whereas Münster, Grossaspach, Havelse and Fortuna Köln have kept none.

🏟️

Standings Context & Match Motivation

MSV Duisburg lead the table on 18 points with a goal difference of +12, while Havelse sit bottom on 4 points, so the gap between top and bottom is stark. SSV Jahn Regensburg occupy the RELEGATION ZONE and must win, and Havelse share that urgency, meaning their Regular Season - 8 meeting carries real pressure. Würzburger Kickers are in a relegation battle needing points, and Stuttgart II face the same fight. With only seven matches played, these standings remain early and should be read with caution.

💰

Accumulator Builder & Value Picks

Hansa Rostock, Rot-Weiß Essen and SSV Jahn Regensburg carry the PredictLix acca, all three backed at home. Confidence sits at 89, 89 and 87 respectively, and the combined price for all legs is 3.96. Rostock's edge over SV Meppen reaches +9pp, while Essen's +8.4pp against Fortuna Köln is the second-strongest indicator in this window. Take the three-leg acca at 3.96 with high confidence.

⚖️

Model vs Market — Value Edges

Hansa Rostock's home clash with SV Meppen offers the standout edge, with the PredictLix model rating a home win at 69.4% against an implied 60.4%, a +9pp gap at odds of 1.55. Rot-Weiß Essen versus Fortuna Köln follows closely, showing 69.6% against 61.2% for a +8.4pp edge. A positive edge signals long-term value, not a guaranteed result in any single match. Back Hansa Rostock at 1.55.

📡

AI Prediction Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

80 matches analysed Updated Oct 11, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
37.5% 30/80
⚽ Both Teams to Score
51.3% 41/80
📈 Over / Under 2.5
55.0% 44/80
🔢 Correct Score
3.8% 3/80
🛡️ Double Chance
68.8% 55/80
📐 Corners Over/Under
41.2% 21/51
🤝 Draw Predictions
23.1% 6/26

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 45.5% 15/33
⚽ Both Teams to Score 63.6% 21/33
📈 Over / Under 2.5 69.7% 23/33
🛡️ Double Chance 69.7% 23/33

Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 45.3% 37.5% 56
Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% 76.9% 100.0% 1
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 62.1% 100.0% 3
Both Teams to Score · <60% 53.6% 53.8% 52
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 64.9% 66.7% 6
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 71.3% 50.0% 2
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 53.3% 61.2% 49
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 63.8% 62.5% 8
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 72.9% 66.7% 3
Correct Score · <60% 9.5% 3.3% 60
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.6% 72.3% 47
Double Chance · 80+% 82.9% 70.0% 10
Double Chance · 60-69% 68.6% 33.3% 3
Draw Predictions · <60% 26.7% 30.8% 13
Corners Over/Under · 80+% 90.0% 44.4% 9
Corners Over/Under · 60-69% 64.6% 27.3% 11
Corners Over/Under · 70-79% 76.7% 75.0% 4
Corners Over/Under · <60% 54.9% 40.7% 27

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 8

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
09/10 20:00 DLDWW
Preußen Münster Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen
DDDWW 77% 38.3% Home ❌ N/A 3 – 3 FT
10/10 15:00 DWLDD
Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken
DWWDL 80% 46.3% Away ❌ N/A 0 – 0 FT
10/10 15:00 LDLDD
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim
WLWWL 75% 33.7% Away ✅ N/A 1 – 5 FT
10/10 15:00 DLLLL
SV Meppen SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II Stuttgart II
DDDLL 74% 29.7% Home ❌ N/A 1 – 1 FT
10/10 15:00 WLDLD
SSV Jahn Regensburg SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse Havelse
LLLLD 86% 63% Home ✅ N/A 5 – 0 FT
10/10 15:00 LLDLW
Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock
WDWLD 76% 36.1% Home ❌ N/A 0 – 2 FT
10/10 17:30 WWWLW
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II
LWWDL 87% 64.7% Home ✅ N/A 3 – 2 FT
11/10 14:30 LLWLW
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen SV Wehen
LWLDD 79% 44.1% Home ❌ N/A 2 – 4 FT
11/10 17:30 WLDWL
Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln
WWWLW 77% 37.8% Home ❌ N/A 2 – 5 FT
11/10 20:30 LWWDW
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl Verl
WDWWL 78% 40.3% Home ❌ N/A 2 – 2 FT