Our model gives Hansa Rostock win a 87% confidence rating
Germany 3. Liga Predictions and Betting Tips
Upcoming Matches • Next 10 Days • 10 Matches • Round 3 • Updated 12 minutes ago • UTC+3
Regular Season , Round 3
Friday, August 28
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | LLWLW |
Fortuna Düsseldorf
vs
Stuttgart II
|
LWLWW | 76% | 38.9% | Away | N/A | — |
Saturday, August 29
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | WWDDL |
MSV Duisburg
vs
Würzburger Kickers
|
WDWWL | 85% | 57.2% | Home | N/A | — |
| 15:00 | LWLDW |
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
vs
FC Ingolstadt 04
|
DDLLW | 78% | 44.4% | Home | N/A | — |
| 15:00 | LLLWL |
SV Wehen
vs
Rot-Weiß Essen
|
WLLLL | 78% | 42.9% | Home | N/A | — |
| 15:00 | DWLWD |
Alemannia Aachen
vs
SV Meppen
|
WLWWW | 85% | 57.2% | Home | N/A | — |
| 15:00 | LLLWL |
Verl
vs
Fortuna Köln
|
DLWWW | 80% | 46.4% | Home | N/A | — |
| 17:30 | WLLLL |
Hoffenheim II
vs
SSV Jahn Regensburg
|
LWWWL | 76% | 39.8% | Away | N/A | — |
Sunday, August 30
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | WWDDD |
FC Saarbrücken
vs
Hansa Rostock
|
DWWLL | 82% | 51.5% | Home | N/A | — |
| 17:30 | LLDLD |
Havelse
vs
Waldhof Mannheim
|
DWLWW | 78% | 43.1% | Away | N/A | — |
| 20:30 | WLLWW |
FC Viktoria Köln
vs
Preußen Münster
|
DWLWW | 78% | 44% | Home | N/A | — |
Top Trends from 3. Liga Teams
Alemannia Aachen are unbeaten in their last 10 matches
Würzburger Kickers are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
SV Meppen are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
MSV Duisburg are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
Havelse have won just 1 of their last 7 away matches
SV Wehen are unbeaten at home in 5 of their last 6 home games
Predictlix 3. Liga Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: August 22, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
Hansa Rostock versus SV Wehen stands out with the strongest signal in this window. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine assigns a 60.4% probability to the home win, the highest figure across all twenty fixtures. Confidence sits at 87, supported by an attacking lambda of 1.9724 against a modest 0.9649 for the visitors. SV Wehen have lost both opening matches and sit bottom. Waldhof Mannheim also look solid at 56.9%, while Preußen Münster carry 53.1% against Havelse. Back Hansa Rostock to win, with strong confidence given the probability edge.
Model Track Record in This League
Transparency matters here, so let's look at the raw numbers from the settled 3. Liga matches. The PredictLix model has correctly called the match winner in 30% of its 40 recorded fixtures. Double chance picks have proven far more reliable, landing correctly 65% of the time (26/40). Both teams to score selections hit at a 52.5% rate. Over/Under 2.5 calls have struggled, with just 37.5% correct. The sample size of 40 is under 50, so treat these figures with caution.
Goals Landscape — Over/Under Breakdown
FC Viktoria Köln versus Preußen Münster stands out as the clearest Over 2.5 lean, with the PredictLix enhanced Poisson engine projecting a 76.8% probability. Both sides carry healthy attacking lambdas of 2.141 and 1.9739, while the BTTS pick sits at 75.1%. Havelse against Waldhof Mannheim also leans Over at 73.8%, driven by a strong away attack. Conversely, SV Meppen versus FC Saarbrücken leans Under 2.5 at 63.6%, with low expected goals for both teams. The strongest single play is Over 2.5 in FC Viktoria Köln versus Preußen Münster at 76.8% confidence.
Streak & Momentum Signals
Alemannia Aachen carry the standout unbeaten run, having avoided defeat in their last 10 matches across all competitions. MSV Duisburg and SV Meppen have also impressed, each going unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent outings. Havelse, by contrast, have won just 1 of their last 7 away games. SV Wehen remain solid at home, unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 there. These are early-season samples, however, so treat them cautiously.
Defensive Lines — Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences
Defensive solidity varies sharply across this early-season 3. Liga window. MSV Duisburg, FC Saarbrücken, and Würzburger Kickers each concede an average of 1 goal per game while recording one clean sheet. Hansa Rostock and Rot-Weiß Essen also allow just 1.0 conceded per match. At the other end, Fortuna Düsseldorf ship 4 goals per game, while SV Wehen and Verl both concede 3.5 and 2 on average respectively. Havelse and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have leakier back lines.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
With only two rounds played, the 3. Liga table is not yet meaningful, so no team is officially in a relegation or promotion battle. Hansa Rostock, sitting sixth, host bottom side SV Wehen, who have yet to earn a point. MSV Duisburg lead the early standings and face third-placed Würzburger Kickers. Havelse have lost both matches and welcome seventh-placed Waldhof Mannheim.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
Saarbrücken's trip to Hansa Rostock is the standout, with PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine awarding the hosts an 87% confidence rating and a 60.4% win probability, the highest in the window. However, the accumulator suggestion is clear: there are not enough priced high-confidence legs available for a multi-bet. No combined odds can be quoted. The actionable takeaway is to back Hansa Rostock to win as a single, given the strong model edge.
AI Prediction Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Regular Season , Round 2
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 20:00 | WDWWL |
Würzburger Kickers
vs
SV Wehen
|
LLLWL | 81% | 49.8% | Home ✅ | @2.52 | 4 – 0 FT |
| 15/08 15:00 | LLWLW |
Fortuna Düsseldorf
vs
Hoffenheim II
|
WLLLL | 90% | 66.5% | Draw ❌ | @4.39 | 0 – 2 FT |
| 15/08 15:00 | DLWWW |
Fortuna Köln
vs
Alemannia Aachen
|
DWLWD | 72% | 32.3% | Draw ✅ | @3.82 | 1 – 1 FT |
| 15/08 15:00 | WLWWW |
SV Meppen
vs
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
|
LWLDW | 69% | 27.4% | Draw ❌ | @3.38 | 2 – 0 FT |
| 15/08 15:00 | DWLWW |
Preußen Münster
vs
FC Ingolstadt 04
|
DDLLW | 81% | 49.6% | Home ❌ | @2.36 | 1 – 1 FT |
| 15/08 15:00 | WLLLL |
Rot-Weiß Essen
vs
Havelse
|
LLDLD | 78% | 42.7% | Home ✅ | @1.32 | 1 – 0 FT |
| 15/08 17:30 | LLLWL |
Verl
vs
MSV Duisburg
|
WWDDL | 68% | 25.1% | Draw ❌ | @3.68 | 2 – 4 FT |
| 16/08 14:30 | DWWLL |
Hansa Rostock
vs
Waldhof Mannheim
|
DWLWW | 79% | 45.1% | Home ❌ | @1.69 | 3 – 3 FT |
| 16/08 17:30 | LWWWL |
SSV Jahn Regensburg
vs
FC Saarbrücken
|
WWDDD | 68% | 24.5% | Draw ❌ | @3.76 | 0 – 1 FT |
| 16/08 20:30 | LWLWW |
Stuttgart II
vs
FC Viktoria Köln
|
WLLWW | 79% | 46.2% | Home ❌ | @2.29 | 1 – 3 FT |