Predictions → Germany 3. Liga

Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Köln

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:00 UTC+3 • Round 13 • Carl-Benz Stadion • 🌤 9°C, 1 km/h mostly clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available59.1% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available83.3% —
BTTS No Current price not available48.3% · Yes 51.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available47.2% · Over 52.8% —
Correct Score 2-0 Current price not available10.9% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.9 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available54.8% · Over 45.2% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Waldhof Mannheim 59.1% · Draw 24.2% · Fortuna Köln 16.7%. Selected outcome: Waldhof Mannheim win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Waldhof Mannheim 1.89, Fortuna Köln 0.91, expected total 2.80.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Waldhof Mannheim: W-L-L-W-L in their last five matches.
Fortuna Köln: L-L-L-L-D in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Waldhof Mannheim

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)4.08
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.71
Elo strength rating1459

Fortuna Köln

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.27
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.32
Elo strength rating1328
Waldhof MannheimFortuna Köln
Goals scored (season avg)
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.20
Best league winning streak this season
3
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
4.08
1.27
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.71
1.32
Elo strength rating
1459
1328

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Waldhof Mannheim

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Fortuna Köln

Lost 4 in a row Winless 5
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: 3. Liga

Waldhof Mannheim

Best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Fortuna Köln

Worst attack (0.80 goals/game, season) Best defence (1.20 conceded/game, season)

Rank among 20 3. Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Waldhof Mannheim at home · Fortuna Köln away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Waldhof Mannheim (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–3L
W 3
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2

Fortuna Köln (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–3L
W 2
D 1
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score3
Waldhof Mannheim (home)Fortuna Köln (away)
W 3
L 3
W 2
D 1
L 3
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.30
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
2
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–0
10.9%
1–0
10.5%
2–1
9.91%
3–0
6.85%
3–1
6.23%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Waldhof Mannheim

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 FC Saarbrücken Away 1–2 L
25/10 Hoffenheim II Home 4–1 W
17/10 Würzburger Kickers Away 0–2 L
14/10 FC Ingolstadt 04 Home 0–3 L
10/10 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Away 5–1 W
03/10 FSV Mainz 05 Home 0–3 L
24/09 SV Elversberg Home 2–1 W
20/09 Preußen Münster Home 2–0 W
16/09 Rot-Weiß Essen Home 1–2 L
13/09 SV Wehen Away 1–0 W

Fortuna Köln

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Würzburger Kickers Home 1–2 L
25/10 Preußen Münster Away 0–1 L
16/10 Stuttgart II Home 0–1 L
13/10 Rot-Weiß Essen Away 0–2 L
10/10 FC Saarbrücken Home 0–0 D
25/09 Havelse Away 3–1 W
16/09 SV Wehen Home 0–2 L
13/09 Hoffenheim II Away 2–2 D
06/09 Fortuna Düsseldorf Home 0–0 D
29/08 Verl Away 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: 3. Liga

Waldhof Mannheim #8 · 16 pts ·  Fortuna Köln #19 · 10 pts

Waldhof Mannheim

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–6L
W 5
D 1
L 6
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards30
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)4.08
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.71
Corners for (avg)3.70
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Fortuna Köln

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–4D–6L
W 2
D 4
L 6
Played12
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score7
Yellow cards22
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.27
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.32
Corners for (avg)4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1
Waldhof MannheimFortuna Köln
W 5
D 1
L 6
W 2
D 4
L 6
Played
12
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.20
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
3
7
Yellow cards
30
22
Red cards
1
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
4.08
1.27
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.71
1.32
Corners for (avg)
3.70
4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Waldhof Mannheim

2
0-15
3
1
16-30
6
3
31-45
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
1
3
76-90
8
scored conceded

Fortuna Köln

2
0-15
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
4
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: 3. Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws