FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:00 UTC+3 • Round 13 • Audi Sportpark • ☁️ 7°C, 1 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Pinnacle3.60 | 25.5% | -8.2% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.60 | 62.9% | +0.6% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.47 | 63.4% · No 36.6% | -6.8% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Betano2.32 | 40.3% · Over 59.7% | -6.5% |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | William Hill6.50 | 11.5% | -25.3% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.8 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 59.2% · Under 40.8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
FC Ingolstadt 04 · Home
Ingolstadt have won three of their last five, including home wins over MSV Duisburg (2-1) and Rot-Weiß Essen (1-0), and failed to score in none of those matches. Their model expected goals of 1.76 point to a home side capable of finding the net.
Fortuna Düsseldorf · Away
Fortuna Düsseldorf have drawn three of their last five, with the 0-0 against SV Meppen (0-0) and 1-1 at Hansa Rostock (1-1) showing a habit of tight, low-scoring outcomes. They failed to score only once in that run.
Düsseldorf draws point to stalemate
The latest head-to-head is a 3-0 Düsseldorf win (3-0), yet the two prior meetings were decided by a single goal, including Ingolstadt's 1-2 home loss (1-2). Düsseldorf's recent record of three draws in five, alongside Ingolstadt's 1-1 at Havelse (1-1), supports a close contest rather than a clear home or away edge. The model's 1-1 correct score at 11.5% and Under 2.5 lean fit that pattern. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: FC Ingolstadt 04 1.76 – 1.40 Fortuna Düsseldorf · expected total 3.16
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
FC Ingolstadt 04
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
FC Ingolstadt 04
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: 3. Liga
FC Ingolstadt 04
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Rank among 20 3. Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
FC Ingolstadt 04 at home · Fortuna Düsseldorf away, the split that matters for this fixture.
FC Ingolstadt 04 (home)
Fortuna Düsseldorf (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
FC Ingolstadt 04 2 wins · 3 draws · Fortuna Düsseldorf 5 wins · avg 2.1 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar 2022 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 3–0 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 25 Sep 2021 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1–2 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
| 12 Sep 2020 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 0–1 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | DFB Pokal |
| 22 Apr 2018 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 3–0 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 19 Nov 2017 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1–0 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
| 17 Apr 2015 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3–2 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
| 31 Oct 2014 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 0–0 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 28 Mar 2014 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 0–0 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 20 Oct 2013 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1–2 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
| 04 Feb 2012 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1–1 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
📈 Recent Form
FC Ingolstadt 04
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Havelse | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | MSV Duisburg | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 14/10 | Waldhof Mannheim | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 11/10 | SV Wehen | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 02/10 | 1. FC Nürnberg | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 19/09 | FC Viktoria Köln | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 16/09 | Hoffenheim II | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Saarbrücken | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 04/09 | Alemannia Aachen | Home | 0–3 | L |
Fortuna Düsseldorf
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | SV Meppen | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 24/10 | Hansa Rostock | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | FC Saarbrücken | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 14/10 | Preußen Münster | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Verl | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | Alemannia Aachen | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 15/09 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | MSV Duisburg | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 06/09 | Fortuna Köln | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 28/08 | Stuttgart II | Home | 1–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: 3. Liga
FC Ingolstadt 04 #7 · 18 pts · Fortuna Düsseldorf #10 · 16 pts
FC Ingolstadt 04
Fortuna Düsseldorf
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
FC Ingolstadt 04
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: 3. Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws