Germany Regionalliga West Predictions and Betting Tips

Upcoming Matches • Next 20 Days • 8 Matches • Round 13 • Updated 19 minutes ago • UTC+3

Value bets in Regionalliga West: 4 bets · 75% win · profit +$148.15 (¼-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio →

West, Round 13

Friday, October 16

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
20:00 LWDLD
SG Wattenscheid 09 SG Wattenscheid 09 vs FC Gutersloh FC Gutersloh
LWLDL 77% 37.2% Away N/A —
20:00 WWWLL
Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II vs Westfalia Rhynern Westfalia Rhynern
LLLWL 88% 67.9% Home N/A —
20:30 WLDLL
SV Rodinghausen SV Rodinghausen vs Köln II Köln II
WLLLW 77% 39.2% Home N/A —

Saturday, October 17

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
15:00 WDWDW
Bonner SC Bonner SC vs Hilden Hilden
WWLLW 89% 69% Home N/A —
15:00 LWLWW
Borussia M'gladbach II Borussia M'gladbach II vs Bergisch Gladbach Bergisch Gladbach
LLWLW 87% 65.2% Home N/A —
15:00 LLLWD
FC Bocholt FC Bocholt vs Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte
WLLLL 83% 53% Home N/A —
15:00 LLLLW
Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück vs Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II
WWWDW 83% 53.2% Away N/A —
15:00 WLWLW
Sportfreunde Siegen Sportfreunde Siegen vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen Rot-weiss Oberhausen
WWWLW 80% 46.3% Away N/A —

Predictlix Regionalliga West Insights

Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026

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Match Outcome Confidence Map

FC Gutersloh vs Wiedenbrück carries the strongest signal in this window, with the PredictLix model assigning an 81.3% probability and 92 confidence to a home win. A huge lambda split of 2.4078 against 0.7298, plus a gap between third and seventeenth, explains that edge. Rot-weiss Oberhausen vs FC Bocholt also stands out at 80.6% with a +7.5pp value edge at 1.23. Back Gutersloh home, and consider the 3.38 acca combining Oberhausen, Paderborn II and Gutersloh.

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Model Track Record in This League

Across 115 settled matches in this league, the PredictLix model's headline 1X2 hit rate sits at 44.3% correct, a modest 51 of 115. Double chance tells a stronger story at 72.2% correct, while BTTS landed 65.2% and Over/Under 2.5 reached 55.7%. Correct score remains the weakest column at just 9.6% correct. That sample is not small, yet it still deserves caution. Draw picks converted only 25.7% of the time across 35 attempts.

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Goals Landscape — Over/Under Breakdown

FC Gutersloh versus Wiedenbrück stands out as the strongest Over lean in this window, with the PredictLix model rating Over 2.5 at 58.4% and a home attack averaging 2.4 goals against a Wiedenbrück side conceding 2.4 per game. Rot-weiss Oberhausen versus FC Bocholt also points Over at 58.3%, though the short 1.23 price offers thin value. Sportfreunde Lotte versus Paderborn II leans Under at 48.6%, a cagey relegation scrap. Best takeaway: Over 2.5 in Gutersloh at 1.27, confidence 86.

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Streak & Momentum Signals

Rot-weiss Oberhausen arrive on a five-match winning run, the longest active streak among these twenty fixtures. Borussia Dortmund II have strung together four wins and a draw across five outings, while Sportfreunde Lotte sit bottom on a five-game losing sequence. At the other end, Wiedenbrück's recent form shows two straight victories after three defeats. Three contests carry incomplete data, so their streaks rest on smaller samples. The PredictLix model flags Rot-weiss Oberhausen, Borussia Dortmund II and FC Gutersloh as its highest-confidence home sides.

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Defensive Lines — Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences

Rot-weiss Oberhausen pair a miserly 0.8 conceded per game with 4 clean sheets, while Borussia Dortmund II sit on 1.2 conceded and 4 shutouts of their own. At the other end, Sportfreunde Lotte leak 2 goals per game and Wiedenbrück ship 2.4, both propping up the table. Mid-table sides like Köln II and Bocholt concede 1.8 and 2, so clean sheets stay rare across this window.

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Standings Context & Match Motivation

Rot-weiss Oberhausen sits top on 28 points with a perfect WWWWW run, chasing the Champions League spot. Wiedenbrück, 17th on 8 points and in the RELEGATION ZONE, must win, while Sportfreunde Lotte prop up the table on 3 points, also in the RELEGATION ZONE, needing points urgently. Bonner SC and Schalke 04 II occupy mid-table, so their contests carry less immediate pressure. The table is meaningful, with real stakes across West - 12, West - 13 and West - 14.

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Accumulator Builder & Value Picks

Rot-weiss Oberhausen vs FC Bocholt leads the PredictLix accumulator at 1.23, the strongest priced leg in this window. Oberhausen sit top with 28 points and a perfect WWWWW run, so the model gives them 80.6% against a 73.1% market read, a +7.5pp edge. Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II follows with the away side at 1.47, then FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Siegen at 1.87. All three legs combine to 3.38. Back this treble at 3.38 with confidence.

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Model vs Market — Value Edges

Rot-weiss Oberhausen vs FC Bocholt stands out, with the PredictLix model rating the home win at 80.6% against a bookmaker implied 73.1%, an edge of +7.5pp at odds of 1.23. FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Siegen shows the home side at 53.5% versus an implied 48.2%, a +5.3pp edge at 1.87. A positive edge signals long-term value, not a guaranteed win in this specific match. Back Rot-weiss Oberhausen at 1.23 as the anchor of a value-focused approach.

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AI Prediction Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

106 matches analysed Updated Oct 11, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
44.3% 47/106
⚽ Both Teams to Score
66.0% 70/106
📈 Over / Under 2.5
60.4% 64/106
🔢 Correct Score
9.4% 10/106
🛡️ Double Chance
73.6% 78/106
🤝 Draw Predictions
23.1% 6/26

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 63.2% 24/38
⚽ Both Teams to Score 73.7% 28/38
📈 Over / Under 2.5 73.7% 28/38
🛡️ Double Chance 81.6% 31/38

Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 46.1% 45.5% 66
Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% 74.2% 80.0% 5
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 63.2% 57.1% 7
Both Teams to Score · <60% 54.0% 66.7% 57
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 64.3% 80.0% 20
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 73.5% 100.0% 1
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 54.0% 69.6% 56
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 64.4% 57.9% 19
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 73.1% 66.7% 3
Correct Score · <60% 9.7% 10.3% 78
Double Chance · 70-79% 75.3% 73.9% 69
Double Chance · 80+% 84.9% 75.0% 8
Double Chance · 60-69% 69.6% 100.0% 1
Draw Predictions · <60% 27.5% 0.0% 8

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: West, Round 12

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
10/10 15:00 WLLLL
Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II Paderborn II
LWDLW 80% 46.9% Away ❌ N/A 1 – 0 FT
10/10 15:00 WWWLW
Rot-weiss Oberhausen Rot-weiss Oberhausen vs FC Bocholt FC Bocholt
LLLWD 89% 70.7% Home ✅ N/A 3 – 1 FT
10/10 15:00 LLWLW
Bergisch Gladbach Bergisch Gladbach vs Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II
WWWLL 79% 44.2% Home ❌ N/A 1 – 5 FT
10/10 15:00 WWWDW
Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II vs SG Wattenscheid 09 SG Wattenscheid 09
LWDLD 92% 79.9% Home ✅ N/A 3 – 2 FT
10/10 15:00 LWLDL
FC Gutersloh FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Siegen Sportfreunde Siegen
WLWLW 86% 62.4% Home ❌ N/A 0 – 5 FT
10/10 15:00 LLLWL
Westfalia Rhynern Westfalia Rhynern vs Hilden Hilden
WWLLW 85% 60% Home ❌ N/A 0 – 1 FT
11/10 15:00 WLWLL
Bochum II Bochum II vs SV Rodinghausen SV Rodinghausen
WLDLL 81% 48.7% Home ✅ N/A 6 – 5 FT
11/10 15:00 LLLLW
Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück vs Bonner SC Bonner SC
WDWDW 78% 40.1% Away ✅ N/A 2 – 5 FT
11/10 16:00 WLLLW
Köln II Köln II vs Borussia M'gladbach II Borussia M'gladbach II
LWLWW 75% 31.9% Home ❌ N/A 1 – 2 FT