Our model gives Rot-weiss Oberhausen win a 92% confidence rating
Germany Regionalliga West Predictions and Betting Tips
Upcoming Matches • Next 20 Days • 8 Matches • Round 13 • Updated 19 minutes ago • UTC+3
West, Round 13
Friday, October 16
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | LWDLD |
SG Wattenscheid 09
vs
FC Gutersloh
|
LWLDL | 77% | 37.2% | Away | N/A | — |
| 20:00 | WWWLL |
Schalke 04 II
vs
Westfalia Rhynern
|
LLLWL | 88% | 67.9% | Home | N/A | — |
| 20:30 | WLDLL |
SV Rodinghausen
vs
Köln II
|
WLLLW | 77% | 39.2% | Home | N/A | — |
Saturday, October 17
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | WDWDW |
Bonner SC
vs
Hilden
|
WWLLW | 89% | 69% | Home | N/A | — |
| 15:00 | LWLWW |
Borussia M'gladbach II
vs
Bergisch Gladbach
|
LLWLW | 87% | 65.2% | Home | N/A | — |
| 15:00 | LLLWD |
FC Bocholt
vs
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
WLLLL | 83% | 53% | Home | N/A | — |
| 15:00 | LLLLW |
Wiedenbrück
vs
Borussia Dortmund II
|
WWWDW | 83% | 53.2% | Away | N/A | — |
| 15:00 | WLWLW |
Sportfreunde Siegen
vs
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
|
WWWLW | 80% | 46.3% | Away | N/A | — |
Top Trends from Regionalliga West Teams
Our model gives FC Gutersloh win a 90% confidence rating
Our model gives Bonner SC win a 89% confidence rating
Our model gives Borussia Dortmund II win a 89% confidence rating
Our model gives Schalke 04 II win a 88% confidence rating
Our model gives Borussia M'gladbach II win a 87% confidence rating
In their 10 most recent matches, Sportfreunde Lotte have achieved just 1 wins
Predictlix Regionalliga West Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
FC Gutersloh vs Wiedenbrück carries the strongest signal in this window, with the PredictLix model assigning an 81.3% probability and 92 confidence to a home win. A huge lambda split of 2.4078 against 0.7298, plus a gap between third and seventeenth, explains that edge. Rot-weiss Oberhausen vs FC Bocholt also stands out at 80.6% with a +7.5pp value edge at 1.23. Back Gutersloh home, and consider the 3.38 acca combining Oberhausen, Paderborn II and Gutersloh.
Model Track Record in This League
Across 115 settled matches in this league, the PredictLix model's headline 1X2 hit rate sits at 44.3% correct, a modest 51 of 115. Double chance tells a stronger story at 72.2% correct, while BTTS landed 65.2% and Over/Under 2.5 reached 55.7%. Correct score remains the weakest column at just 9.6% correct. That sample is not small, yet it still deserves caution. Draw picks converted only 25.7% of the time across 35 attempts.
Goals Landscape — Over/Under Breakdown
FC Gutersloh versus Wiedenbrück stands out as the strongest Over lean in this window, with the PredictLix model rating Over 2.5 at 58.4% and a home attack averaging 2.4 goals against a Wiedenbrück side conceding 2.4 per game. Rot-weiss Oberhausen versus FC Bocholt also points Over at 58.3%, though the short 1.23 price offers thin value. Sportfreunde Lotte versus Paderborn II leans Under at 48.6%, a cagey relegation scrap. Best takeaway: Over 2.5 in Gutersloh at 1.27, confidence 86.
Streak & Momentum Signals
Rot-weiss Oberhausen arrive on a five-match winning run, the longest active streak among these twenty fixtures. Borussia Dortmund II have strung together four wins and a draw across five outings, while Sportfreunde Lotte sit bottom on a five-game losing sequence. At the other end, Wiedenbrück's recent form shows two straight victories after three defeats. Three contests carry incomplete data, so their streaks rest on smaller samples. The PredictLix model flags Rot-weiss Oberhausen, Borussia Dortmund II and FC Gutersloh as its highest-confidence home sides.
Defensive Lines — Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences
Rot-weiss Oberhausen pair a miserly 0.8 conceded per game with 4 clean sheets, while Borussia Dortmund II sit on 1.2 conceded and 4 shutouts of their own. At the other end, Sportfreunde Lotte leak 2 goals per game and Wiedenbrück ship 2.4, both propping up the table. Mid-table sides like Köln II and Bocholt concede 1.8 and 2, so clean sheets stay rare across this window.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
Rot-weiss Oberhausen sits top on 28 points with a perfect WWWWW run, chasing the Champions League spot. Wiedenbrück, 17th on 8 points and in the RELEGATION ZONE, must win, while Sportfreunde Lotte prop up the table on 3 points, also in the RELEGATION ZONE, needing points urgently. Bonner SC and Schalke 04 II occupy mid-table, so their contests carry less immediate pressure. The table is meaningful, with real stakes across West - 12, West - 13 and West - 14.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
Rot-weiss Oberhausen vs FC Bocholt leads the PredictLix accumulator at 1.23, the strongest priced leg in this window. Oberhausen sit top with 28 points and a perfect WWWWW run, so the model gives them 80.6% against a 73.1% market read, a +7.5pp edge. Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II follows with the away side at 1.47, then FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Siegen at 1.87. All three legs combine to 3.38. Back this treble at 3.38 with confidence.
Model vs Market — Value Edges
Rot-weiss Oberhausen vs FC Bocholt stands out, with the PredictLix model rating the home win at 80.6% against a bookmaker implied 73.1%, an edge of +7.5pp at odds of 1.23. FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Siegen shows the home side at 53.5% versus an implied 48.2%, a +5.3pp edge at 1.87. A positive edge signals long-term value, not a guaranteed win in this specific match. Back Rot-weiss Oberhausen at 1.23 as the anchor of a value-focused approach.
AI Prediction Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 46.1% | 45.5% | 66 |
| Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% | 74.2% | 80.0% | 5 |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 63.2% | 57.1% | 7 |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 54.0% | 66.7% | 57 |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 64.3% | 80.0% | 20 |
| Both Teams to Score · 70-79% | 73.5% | 100.0% | 1 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 54.0% | 69.6% | 56 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 64.4% | 57.9% | 19 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 73.1% | 66.7% | 3 |
| Correct Score · <60% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 78 |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 75.3% | 73.9% | 69 |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 84.9% | 75.0% | 8 |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 69.6% | 100.0% | 1 |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 27.5% | 0.0% | 8 |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: West, Round 12
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 15:00 | WLLLL |
Sportfreunde Lotte
vs
Paderborn II
|
LWDLW | 80% | 46.9% | Away ❌ | N/A | 1 – 0 FT |
| 10/10 15:00 | WWWLW |
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
vs
FC Bocholt
|
LLLWD | 89% | 70.7% | Home ✅ | N/A | 3 – 1 FT |
| 10/10 15:00 | LLWLW |
Bergisch Gladbach
vs
Schalke 04 II
|
WWWLL | 79% | 44.2% | Home ❌ | N/A | 1 – 5 FT |
| 10/10 15:00 | WWWDW |
Borussia Dortmund II
vs
SG Wattenscheid 09
|
LWDLD | 92% | 79.9% | Home ✅ | N/A | 3 – 2 FT |
| 10/10 15:00 | LWLDL |
FC Gutersloh
vs
Sportfreunde Siegen
|
WLWLW | 86% | 62.4% | Home ❌ | N/A | 0 – 5 FT |
| 10/10 15:00 | LLLWL |
Westfalia Rhynern
vs
Hilden
|
WWLLW | 85% | 60% | Home ❌ | N/A | 0 – 1 FT |
| 11/10 15:00 | WLWLL |
Bochum II
vs
SV Rodinghausen
|
WLDLL | 81% | 48.7% | Home ✅ | N/A | 6 – 5 FT |
| 11/10 15:00 | LLLLW |
Wiedenbrück
vs
Bonner SC
|
WDWDW | 78% | 40.1% | Away ✅ | N/A | 2 – 5 FT |
| 11/10 16:00 | WLLLW |
Köln II
vs
Borussia M'gladbach II
|
LWLWW | 75% | 31.9% | Home ❌ | N/A | 1 – 2 FT |