Our model gives SpVgg Unterhaching win a 89% confidence rating
Germany Regionalliga Bayern Predictions and Betting Tips
Upcoming Matches • Next 20 Days • 8 Matches • Round 14 • Updated 50 minutes ago • UTC+3
Bayern, Round 14
Tomorrow - Tuesday, October 13
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | DLLLL |
Aubstadt
vs
Illertissen
|
DDLWW | 86% | 63% | Away | 1.40 | — |
| 20:00 | DWLWD |
TSV 1860 München
vs
Bayreuth
|
WWWLW | 87% | 64% | Home | 1.49 | — |
| 20:00 | DDDDW |
SpVgg Unterhaching
vs
Landsberg
|
DLLDW | 89% | 71.2% | Home | N/A | — |
| 20:00 | DDLLL |
FC Schweinfurt 05
vs
Ansbach
|
LLWWD | 79% | 42.5% | Home | 2.33 | — |
| 20:00 | LWDWW |
Eichstätt
vs
Vilzing
|
DLDDD | 86% | 63.3% | Home | 1.58 | — |
| 20:00 | DLDWW |
Buchbach
vs
Augsburg II
|
LWLDL | 87% | 64.4% | Home | 1.65 | — |
| 20:00 | DDWLD |
Greuther Fürth II
vs
Memmingen
|
WWLWD | 82% | 52.3% | Away | 1.69 | — |
| 20:00 | DWLLL |
Eltersdorf
vs
Wacker Burghausen
|
DLWWD | 76% | 35.2% | Away | 2.25 | — |
Top Trends from Regionalliga Bayern Teams
Our model gives TSV 1860 München win a 87% confidence rating
Our model gives Buchbach win a 87% confidence rating
Our model gives Bayreuth win a 87% confidence rating
Our model gives Illertissen win a 86% confidence rating
Our model gives Eichstätt win a 86% confidence rating
In their 10 most recent matches, Aubstadt have achieved just 1 wins
Predictlix Regionalliga Bayern Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
Buchbach's trip to Vilzing carries the strongest outcome signal in this window. The PredictLix model gives the league leaders a 65.2% probability at 1.28, with confidence rated 87, and Buchbach's scoring rate of 2.1 per game dwarfs Vilzing's winless recent run. Wacker Burghausen also stands out: a 60.4% home probability at 1.65, an edge of +5.8pp over the market. For value, back Buchbach away and Burghausen home in a 3.8 double.
Model Track Record in This League
Across 115 settled matches in this league, updated 2026-10-03, the PredictLix model's headline numbers deserve honest scrutiny. Match winner accuracy sits at 40% (46/115), while BTTS lands at 48.7% (56/115) and Over/Under 2.5 at 47% (54/115). Correct score is brutally low at 7% (8/115). Double chance reaches 70.4% (81/115). Draw picks convert just 27.8% (10/36). High-confidence picks (75+) hit 50.4% (n=379); medium-confidence (50-74) manage 27.6% (n=232). This sample is small, so treat it cautiously.
Goals Landscape — Over/Under Breakdown
Wacker Burghausen against Greuther Fürth II leans Over 2.5 at 61 percent, with odds of 1.24, driven by a home attack averaging 2.3 goals and a visiting defence conceding 1.6 per game. Buchbach's trip to Vilzing also points Over at 54 percent, though no O/U price is listed there. Memmingen versus Eichstätt sits Under at 48.9 percent, yet the Over price of 1.22 looks short. Back Over 2.5 in Burghausen at 1.24 with 87 percent confidence.
Streak & Momentum Signals
Aubstadt's recent form reads LLLLL, yet the trend engine flags something broader: in their 10 most recent matches they have achieved just 1 win, the same figure attached to Landsberg. Illertissen's opponents TSV 1860 München are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches, a run that stands out across this window. Note that three fixtures carry incomplete stats, so these streaks rest on shorter samples.
Defensive Lines — Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences
Buchbach's defensive record stands out sharply, with 7 clean sheets from 12 matches and only 0.6 goals conceded per game. At the other end, Schwaben Augsburg have kept none, shipping 1.9 per outing. Ansbach leak 2.3 goals on average, while Landsberg concede 2.2 and Schweinfurt 2.2. SpVgg Unterhaching sit at 0.9 conceded with 5 clean sheets, and TSV 1860 München match that figure. Memmingen and Eichstätt both look tidy at 0.9 and 1.1 respectively.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
Buchbach sit top of Regionalliga Bayern on 27 points, chasing a Champions League spot, and their visit to Vilzing in round Bayern - 13 is no dead rubber. Memmingen, second on 24 points, host third-placed Eichstätt in a genuine top-three clash. At the bottom, the stakes are brutal: Ansbach, Aubstadt and Landsberg occupy the RELEGATION ZONE and must win. Landsberg, bottom on 7 points, host Aubstadt, 18th on 8 points, in a round Bayern - 13 relegation six-pointer.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
Vilzing vs Buchbach anchors this treble, with Buchbach's league-leading form giving the PredictLix model 87 confidence on an away win at 1.28. Wacker Burghausen then welcome Greuther Fürth II, where a 60.4% home probability and a +5.8pp edge justify the 1.65 price. Memmingen versus Eichstätt completes it, the hosts rated 82 confidence at 1.8. Combined odds for all three legs sit at 3.8. Back this treble at 3.8, accepting the shorter prices as the trade-off for three high-confidence selections.
Model vs Market — Value Edges
Wacker Burghausen vs Greuther Fürth II stands out: the PredictLix model rates the home win at 60.4% against a bookmaker implied 54.6%, a +5.8pp edge at odds of 1.65. Memmingen vs Eichstätt shows a marginal +0.3pp lean, too thin to call value. A positive edge signals long-term value, not a guaranteed result in any single match. The Wacker Burghausen home win at 1.65 carries the clearest edge, so back it with measured stakes.
AI Prediction Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 47.0% | 43.3% | 60 |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 63.7% | 50.0% | 10 |
| Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% | 75.1% | 25.0% | 4 |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 64.2% | 33.3% | 9 |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 52.9% | 46.9% | 64 |
| Both Teams to Score · 70-79% | 75.6% | 100.0% | 1 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 63.1% | 54.5% | 11 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 52.8% | 40.0% | 60 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 72.2% | 66.7% | 3 |
| Correct Score · <60% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 74 |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 75.2% | 73.2% | 56 |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 83.5% | 73.3% | 15 |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 68.9% | 66.7% | 3 |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 27.5% | 22.2% | 9 |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Bayern, Round 13
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 20:00 | DDLLL |
FC Schweinfurt 05
vs
Eltersdorf
|
DWLLL | 84% | 57.5% | Home ❌ | N/A | 1 – 1 FT |
| 09/10 20:00 | DWWDL |
Bayern München II
vs
SpVgg Unterhaching
|
DDDDW | 81% | 49% | Home ❌ | N/A | 1 – 1 FT |
| 10/10 15:00 | LLWWD |
Ansbach
vs
Nürnberg II
|
WLLWL | 78% | 41.4% | Home ❌ | N/A | 0 – 1 FT |
| 10/10 15:00 | DLWWD |
Wacker Burghausen
vs
Greuther Fürth II
|
DDWLD | 86% | 62.3% | Home ❌ | N/A | 3 – 3 FT |
| 10/10 15:00 | DDLWW |
Illertissen
vs
TSV 1860 München
|
DWLWD | 78% | 40.5% | Home ❌ | N/A | 1 – 1 FT |
| 10/10 15:00 | DLLDW |
Landsberg
vs
Aubstadt
|
DLLLL | 79% | 44.7% | Home ❌ | N/A | 2 – 2 FT |
| 10/10 15:00 | WWLWD |
Memmingen
vs
Eichstätt
|
LWDWW | 80% | 45.9% | Home ✅ | N/A | 1 – 0 FT |
| 10/10 15:00 | WLDLL |
Schwaben Augsburg
vs
Bayreuth
|
WWWLW | 76% | 34.3% | Away ✅ | N/A | 0 – 3 FT |
| 10/10 15:00 | DLDDD |
Vilzing
vs
Buchbach
|
DLDWW | 78% | 40.6% | Home ❌ | N/A | 1 – 1 FT |