Germany Regionalliga Bayern Predictions and Betting Tips

Upcoming Matches • Next 20 Days • 8 Matches • Round 14 • Updated 50 minutes ago • UTC+3

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Bayern, Round 14

Tomorrow - Tuesday, October 13

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
19:30 DLLLL
Aubstadt Aubstadt vs Illertissen Illertissen
DDLWW 86% 63% Away 1.40 —
20:00 DWLWD
TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München vs Bayreuth Bayreuth
WWWLW 87% 64% Home 1.49 —
20:00 DDDDW
SpVgg Unterhaching SpVgg Unterhaching vs Landsberg Landsberg
DLLDW 89% 71.2% Home N/A —
20:00 DDLLL
FC Schweinfurt 05 FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Ansbach Ansbach
LLWWD 79% 42.5% Home 2.33 —
20:00 LWDWW
Eichstätt Eichstätt vs Vilzing Vilzing
DLDDD 86% 63.3% Home 1.58 —
20:00 DLDWW
Buchbach Buchbach vs Augsburg II Augsburg II
LWLDL 87% 64.4% Home 1.65 —
20:00 DDWLD
Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II vs Memmingen Memmingen
WWLWD 82% 52.3% Away 1.69 —
20:00 DWLLL
Eltersdorf Eltersdorf vs Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen
DLWWD 76% 35.2% Away 2.25 —

Predictlix Regionalliga Bayern Insights

Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026

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Match Outcome Confidence Map

Buchbach's trip to Vilzing carries the strongest outcome signal in this window. The PredictLix model gives the league leaders a 65.2% probability at 1.28, with confidence rated 87, and Buchbach's scoring rate of 2.1 per game dwarfs Vilzing's winless recent run. Wacker Burghausen also stands out: a 60.4% home probability at 1.65, an edge of +5.8pp over the market. For value, back Buchbach away and Burghausen home in a 3.8 double.

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Model Track Record in This League

Across 115 settled matches in this league, updated 2026-10-03, the PredictLix model's headline numbers deserve honest scrutiny. Match winner accuracy sits at 40% (46/115), while BTTS lands at 48.7% (56/115) and Over/Under 2.5 at 47% (54/115). Correct score is brutally low at 7% (8/115). Double chance reaches 70.4% (81/115). Draw picks convert just 27.8% (10/36). High-confidence picks (75+) hit 50.4% (n=379); medium-confidence (50-74) manage 27.6% (n=232). This sample is small, so treat it cautiously.

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Goals Landscape — Over/Under Breakdown

Wacker Burghausen against Greuther Fürth II leans Over 2.5 at 61 percent, with odds of 1.24, driven by a home attack averaging 2.3 goals and a visiting defence conceding 1.6 per game. Buchbach's trip to Vilzing also points Over at 54 percent, though no O/U price is listed there. Memmingen versus Eichstätt sits Under at 48.9 percent, yet the Over price of 1.22 looks short. Back Over 2.5 in Burghausen at 1.24 with 87 percent confidence.

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Streak & Momentum Signals

Aubstadt's recent form reads LLLLL, yet the trend engine flags something broader: in their 10 most recent matches they have achieved just 1 win, the same figure attached to Landsberg. Illertissen's opponents TSV 1860 München are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches, a run that stands out across this window. Note that three fixtures carry incomplete stats, so these streaks rest on shorter samples.

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Defensive Lines — Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences

Buchbach's defensive record stands out sharply, with 7 clean sheets from 12 matches and only 0.6 goals conceded per game. At the other end, Schwaben Augsburg have kept none, shipping 1.9 per outing. Ansbach leak 2.3 goals on average, while Landsberg concede 2.2 and Schweinfurt 2.2. SpVgg Unterhaching sit at 0.9 conceded with 5 clean sheets, and TSV 1860 München match that figure. Memmingen and Eichstätt both look tidy at 0.9 and 1.1 respectively.

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Standings Context & Match Motivation

Buchbach sit top of Regionalliga Bayern on 27 points, chasing a Champions League spot, and their visit to Vilzing in round Bayern - 13 is no dead rubber. Memmingen, second on 24 points, host third-placed Eichstätt in a genuine top-three clash. At the bottom, the stakes are brutal: Ansbach, Aubstadt and Landsberg occupy the RELEGATION ZONE and must win. Landsberg, bottom on 7 points, host Aubstadt, 18th on 8 points, in a round Bayern - 13 relegation six-pointer.

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Accumulator Builder & Value Picks

Vilzing vs Buchbach anchors this treble, with Buchbach's league-leading form giving the PredictLix model 87 confidence on an away win at 1.28. Wacker Burghausen then welcome Greuther Fürth II, where a 60.4% home probability and a +5.8pp edge justify the 1.65 price. Memmingen versus Eichstätt completes it, the hosts rated 82 confidence at 1.8. Combined odds for all three legs sit at 3.8. Back this treble at 3.8, accepting the shorter prices as the trade-off for three high-confidence selections.

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Model vs Market — Value Edges

Wacker Burghausen vs Greuther Fürth II stands out: the PredictLix model rates the home win at 60.4% against a bookmaker implied 54.6%, a +5.8pp edge at odds of 1.65. Memmingen vs Eichstätt shows a marginal +0.3pp lean, too thin to call value. A positive edge signals long-term value, not a guaranteed result in any single match. The Wacker Burghausen home win at 1.65 carries the clearest edge, so back it with measured stakes.

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AI Prediction Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

102 matches analysed Updated Oct 10, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
41.2% 42/102
⚽ Both Teams to Score
50.0% 51/102
📈 Over / Under 2.5
46.1% 47/102
🔢 Correct Score
5.9% 6/102
🛡️ Double Chance
68.6% 70/102
🤝 Draw Predictions
34.8% 8/23

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 37.8% 17/45
⚽ Both Teams to Score 44.4% 20/45
📈 Over / Under 2.5 40.0% 18/45
🛡️ Double Chance 68.9% 31/45

Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 47.0% 43.3% 60
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 63.7% 50.0% 10
Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% 75.1% 25.0% 4
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 64.2% 33.3% 9
Both Teams to Score · <60% 52.9% 46.9% 64
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 75.6% 100.0% 1
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 63.1% 54.5% 11
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 52.8% 40.0% 60
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 72.2% 66.7% 3
Correct Score · <60% 9.1% 2.7% 74
Double Chance · 70-79% 75.2% 73.2% 56
Double Chance · 80+% 83.5% 73.3% 15
Double Chance · 60-69% 68.9% 66.7% 3
Draw Predictions · <60% 27.5% 22.2% 9

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Bayern, Round 13

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
09/10 20:00 DDLLL
FC Schweinfurt 05 FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Eltersdorf Eltersdorf
DWLLL 84% 57.5% Home ❌ N/A 1 – 1 FT
09/10 20:00 DWWDL
Bayern München II Bayern München II vs SpVgg Unterhaching SpVgg Unterhaching
DDDDW 81% 49% Home ❌ N/A 1 – 1 FT
10/10 15:00 LLWWD
Ansbach Ansbach vs Nürnberg II Nürnberg II
WLLWL 78% 41.4% Home ❌ N/A 0 – 1 FT
10/10 15:00 DLWWD
Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen vs Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II
DDWLD 86% 62.3% Home ❌ N/A 3 – 3 FT
10/10 15:00 DDLWW
Illertissen Illertissen vs TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München
DWLWD 78% 40.5% Home ❌ N/A 1 – 1 FT
10/10 15:00 DLLDW
Landsberg Landsberg vs Aubstadt Aubstadt
DLLLL 79% 44.7% Home ❌ N/A 2 – 2 FT
10/10 15:00 WWLWD
Memmingen Memmingen vs Eichstätt Eichstätt
LWDWW 80% 45.9% Home ✅ N/A 1 – 0 FT
10/10 15:00 WLDLL
Schwaben Augsburg Schwaben Augsburg vs Bayreuth Bayreuth
WWWLW 76% 34.3% Away ✅ N/A 0 – 3 FT
10/10 15:00 DLDDD
Vilzing Vilzing vs Buchbach Buchbach
DLDWW 78% 40.6% Home ❌ N/A 1 – 1 FT