VfL Wolfsburg W have won their last 7 matches in a row
Germany DFB Pokal - Women Predictions and Betting Tips
Round 16 • 1 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
Round of 16
Today - Monday, November 02
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | WWWWW | LWWWW | 71.2% | Home | Bet3651.25 | -11% | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — DFB Pokal - Women
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
PredictLix DFB Pokal - Women Facts and Insights
League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 05:15 UTC
Results and goal volume
| Metric | Current2026 · 39 matches | Previous2025/26 · 47 matches | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | 17.9% | 21.3% | -3.4 pp |
| Draws | 5.1% | 12.8% | -7.7 pp |
| Away wins | 76.9% | 66.0% | +10.9 pp |
| Total goals per match | 4.28 | 4.21 | +0.07 |
| Home goals per match | 1.15 | 0.85 | +0.30 |
| Away goals per match | 3.13 | 3.36 | -0.23 |
| First-half goals per match | 1.82 | 2.26 | -0.44 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.2% | 87.2% | 0.0 pp |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.9% | 66.0% | +10.9 pp |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53.8% | 48.9% | +4.9 pp |
Scoring and match patterns
| Metric | Current2026 · 39 matches | Previous2025/26 · 47 matches | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 goals | 43.6% | 34.0% | +9.6 pp |
| First-half Over 1.5 goals | 61.5% | 61.7% | -0.2 pp |
| First-half both teams scored | 7.7% | 17.0% | -9.3 pp |
| Both teams scored | 38.5% | 31.9% | +6.6 pp |
| BTTS and Over 2.5 | 35.9% | 21.3% | +14.6 pp |
| Goalless draws (0–0) | 2.6% | 2.1% | +0.5 pp |
| Home clean sheets | 20.5% | 10.6% | +9.9 pp |
| Away clean sheets | 43.6% | 59.6% | -16.0 pp |
| One-goal winning margins | 30.8% | 21.3% | +9.5 pp |
| Second-half Over 1.5 goals | 63.6% | 55.0% | +8.6 pp |
pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first.
Most common final scores
Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.
| Final score | Current season2026 | Previous season2025/26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1–2 | 15.4%6 of 39 | 2.1%1 of 47 | +13.3 pp |
| 0–6 | 10.3%4 of 39 | 6.4%3 of 47 | +3.9 pp |
| 0–2 | 7.7%3 of 39 | 10.6%5 of 47 | -2.9 pp |
| 0–1 | 5.1%2 of 39 | 6.4%3 of 47 | -1.3 pp |
| 0–5 | 5.1%2 of 39 | 4.3%2 of 47 | +0.9 pp |
| 1–0 | 5.1%2 of 39 | 4.3%2 of 47 | +0.9 pp |
| Final score | Current season2026 | Previous season2025/26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 5.1%2 of 39 | 2.1%1 of 47 | +3.0 pp |
| 3–0 | 5.1%2 of 39 | 2.1%1 of 47 | +3.0 pp |
| 0–10 | 5.1%2 of 39 | 0.0%0 of 47 | +5.1 pp |
| 1–4 | 5.1%2 of 39 | 0.0%0 of 47 | +5.1 pp |
| 1–6 | 5.1%2 of 39 | 0.0%0 of 47 | +5.1 pp |
| 0–3 | 2.6%1 of 39 | 10.6%5 of 47 | -8.1 pp |
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 4/4. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 4/4. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 4/4. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 4/4. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 4/4. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% | 71.8% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 62.6% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 63.5% | 0.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 70-79% | 75.9% | 0.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 70.8% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 66.6% | 33.3% | 3 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 4 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 84.9% | 75.0% | 4 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: November 1, 2026
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 16:00 | DWLLW | DWWDL | 63.9% | Away ❌ | @1.33Bet365 | -15% | 0 – 0 PEN | |
| 01/11 16:00 | WLLWW | LLDLW | 70.9% | Home ✅ | @1.20William Hill | -14.9% | 4 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:00 | LLLLW | WWWLW | 61.2% | Away ✅ | @1.42Bet365 | -13.1% | 0 – 2 AET | |
| 01/11 17:00 | WDWWW | LLDWW | 72.7% | Home ✅ | @1.27Bet365 | -7.7% | 1 – 0 FT |