Our model gives Schöningen win a 89% confidence rating
Germany Regionalliga North Predictions and Betting Tips
Upcoming Matches • Next 10 Days • 8 Matches • Round 5 • Updated 12 minutes ago • UTC+3
North , Round 5
Sunday, August 23
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 15:00 | LWDDD |
Eintracht Norderstedt
vs
Weiche Flensburg
|
WWWDL | 78% | 44% | Home ❌ | @2.54 | 1 – 4 FT |
Wednesday, August 26
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | LDDWW |
Todesfelde
vs
VfB Oldenburg
|
WDWWL | 75% | 37.2% | Home | N/A | — |
| 19:30 | WWLLL |
Eimsbütteler TV
vs
Bremer SV
|
LDWLL | 79% | 45.1% | Home | N/A | — |
| 19:30 | WWDWW |
Schöningen
vs
St. Pauli II
|
WLLLD | 89% | 64% | Home | N/A | — |
| 20:00 | LDLDD |
VfB Lübeck
vs
Hamburger SV II
|
LLDLL | 80% | 47% | Home | N/A | — |
| 20:00 | LWLLL |
SSV Jeddeloh
vs
Hannover 96 II
|
LWWWW | 80% | 46.5% | Away | N/A | — |
| 20:30 | WLLWW |
SV Drochtersen/Assel
vs
Werder Bremen II
|
LLDLW | 84% | 54.5% | Home | N/A | — |
| 20:30 | WLWDW |
Atlas Delmenhorst
vs
Kickers Emden
|
LLWDL | 83% | 53.6% | Home | N/A | — |
Wednesday, September 02
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | WWLDD |
HSC Hannover
vs
Phönix Lübeck
|
WDWLD | 83% | 53.5% | Home | N/A | — |
Top Trends from Regionalliga North Teams
Our model gives Todesfelde win a 89% confidence rating
Our model gives VfB Oldenburg win a 88% confidence rating
Our model gives Weiche Flensburg win a 87% confidence rating
In their 10 most recent matches, St. Pauli II have achieved just 1 wins
In their 10 most recent matches, Hamburger SV II have achieved just 1 wins
SV Drochtersen/Assel are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
Predictlix Regionalliga North Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: August 22, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
VfB Oldenburg's clash with Eimsbütteler TV carries the strongest signal in this Regionalliga North window, with the PredictLix enhanced Poisson engine assigning a 66.9% probability to a home win. That confidence rating sits at 90, the highest of any fixture scanned. The home lambda of 2.9742 towers over the away figure of 1.3638, reflecting a clear attacking edge for the league leaders. Schöningen also commands attention at home against St. Pauli II, backed by 89% confidence and a 64% probability. Todesfelde's tie with SSV Jeddeloh shows 64.6% probability too. Back VfB Oldenburg to win with confidence, given the probability and home advantage.
Model Track Record in This League
The PredictLix model's settled results in Regionalliga North come from a sample of 55 matches, updated 2026-08-21. Double chance leads the way with a 76.4% success rate, hitting 42 of 55 picks. BTTS calls landed 63.6% of the time, with 35 correct from the sample. Over/Under 2.5 selections proved correct in 56.4% of cases, or 31 matches. Match winner accuracy sits at 36.4%, just 20 correct picks. Correct score predictions are the weakest area, with only 9.1% accuracy, finding 5 exact results. Draw selections and confidence tiers also offer useful context.
Goals Landscape — Over/Under Breakdown
Goals markets split clearly across this Regionalliga North window. Weiche Flensburg versus Atlas Delmenhorst stands out with an Over 2.5 lean at 79.1%, driven by a strong home attack. Schöningen hosting St. Pauli II also favours Over at 76.7%, with the visitors in poor form. Conversely, Werder Bremen II against HSC Hannover leans Under at 69.1% due to low scoring. The strongest play is Over 2.5 in Weiche Flensburg's match at 79.1% confidence.
Streak & Momentum Signals
SV Drochtersen/Assel and Atlas Delmenhorst both arrive unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 matches, marking the sturdiest runs in this window. Schöningen's strong start is underlined by a three-match winning streak, though their opponents St. Pauli II have managed just 1 win in their 10 most recent outings. These are early-season samples with only four rounds played, so treat them as short indicators. VfB Oldenburg's form reads WDWW, with the model rating their confidence highly.
Defensive Lines — Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences
Defensive contrasts define this Regionalliga North window. Schöningen, Weiche Flensburg, and Hannover 96 II all concede just 0.5 per game, with Schöningen and Weiche Flensburg each keeping three clean sheets. VfB Oldenburg and Atlas Delmenhorst are also sturdy, allowing 0.5 and 1.3 respectively. Leaky backlines plague the bottom sides. Werder Bremen II ship 3.8 per match, while Hamburger SV II and Kickers Emden concede 3.0. SSV Jeddeloh, Phönix Lübeck, and Eimsbütteler TV all average 2.5 or more conceded. Bremer SV and St. Pauli II have yet to register a clean sheet.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
With only four rounds played, the Regionalliga North table is not yet meaningful, so no team can be framed in a definitive title or relegation battle. VfB Oldenburg top the standings with 10 points and a +8 goal difference, carrying momentum into their clash with Eimsbütteler TV. Weiche Flensburg also sit on 10 points, while Hamburger SV II and Werder Bremen II languish at the bottom with just 1 point apiece, desperate for their first win. Schöningen and Hannover 96 II are unbeaten in recent form, adding context to their respective ties.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
This window lacks enough priced legs to build a traditional accumulator, as the snapshot explicitly notes that not enough high-confidence selections with real odds are available. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine still flags VfB Oldenburg's home tie as the strongest single, carrying a 90% confidence rating alongside the window's highest model probability of 66.9%. That contest also projects goals, with over 2.5 backed at 77.5%. Back VfB Oldenburg to win outright as your one play, accepting that no combined acca price can be quoted here.
AI Prediction Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 44.0% | 0.0% | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 66.7% | 100.0% | 1 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 66.8% | 100.0% | 1 |
| Correct Score · <60% | 9.3% | 0.0% | 1 |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 77.6% | 100.0% | 1 |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: North , Round 3
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 20:00 | LDLDD |
VfB Lübeck
vs
VfB Oldenburg
|
WDWWL | 67% | 22% | Draw ✅ | @4.11 | 1 – 1 FT |
| 12/08 19:00 | LDWLL |
Bremer SV
vs
Phönix Lübeck
|
WDWLD | 67% | 22.7% | Draw ✅ | @3.85 | 0 – 0 FT |
| 12/08 19:30 | WWLLL |
Eimsbütteler TV
vs
Schöningen
|
WWDWW | 77% | 42.4% | Draw ❌ | N/A | 1 – 2 FT |
| 12/08 19:30 | WWLDD |
HSC Hannover
vs
Atlas Delmenhorst
|
WLWDW | 82% | 50.8% | Home ✅ | N/A | 3 – 0 FT |
| 12/08 20:00 | LWLLL |
SSV Jeddeloh
vs
St. Pauli II
|
WLLLD | 68% | 23.8% | Draw ❌ | @3.61 | 2 – 0 FT |
| 12/08 20:00 | DDDDW |
Eintracht Norderstedt
vs
Kickers Emden
|
LLWDL | 65% | 19.8% | Draw ❌ | @4.08 | 6 – 2 FT |
| 12/08 20:30 | WLLWW |
SV Drochtersen/Assel
vs
Hannover 96 II
|
LWWWW | 76% | 40.4% | Home ❌ | @2.02 | 1 – 2 FT |
| 12/08 20:30 | LLDLL |
Hamburger SV II
vs
Todesfelde
|
LDDWW | 72% | 31.7% | Draw ✅ | N/A | 2 – 2 FT |
| 19/08 19:30 | LLDLW |
Werder Bremen II
vs
Weiche Flensburg
|
WWDLW | 67% | 22.8% | Draw ❌ | @3.58 | 1 – 2 FT |