Our model gives SV Drochtersen/Assel win a 92% confidence rating
Germany Regionalliga North Predictions and Betting Tips
Upcoming Matches • Next 20 Days • 1 Matches • Round 13 • Updated 19 minutes ago • UTC+3
North, Round 13
Friday, October 09
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 20:00 | LWWLL |
Werder Bremen II
vs
Atlas Delmenhorst
|
WDLLW | 80% | 46.9% | Home ❌ | N/A | 0 – 0 FT |
Saturday, October 10
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 15:00 | DWDLL |
Eimsbütteler TV
vs
Hannover 96 II
|
WWWDL | 77% | 37.2% | Away ✅ | N/A | 0 – 2 FT |
| 10/10 15:00 | LDLWW |
Schöningen
vs
Hamburger SV II
|
LWLLW | 86% | 62.7% | Home ❌ | N/A | 1 – 3 FT |
Sunday, October 11
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 15:00 | LWWWW |
Phönix Lübeck
vs
Eintracht Norderstedt
|
WLDLD | 92% | 78% | Home ✅ | N/A | 4 – 1 FT |
| 11/10 15:00 | LLWWL |
St. Pauli II
vs
HSC Hannover
|
WLLDD | 85% | 59.8% | Home ❌ | N/A | 3 – 4 FT |
| 11/10 15:00 | WLLLL |
Todesfelde
vs
Weiche Flensburg
|
WWLLW | 82% | 50.7% | Away ✅ | N/A | 0 – 4 FT |
| 11/10 16:00 | LLLWL |
Bremer SV
vs
SV Drochtersen/Assel
|
WDWWW | 92% | 77.8% | Away ✅ | @1.32 | 0 – 3 FT |
| 11/10 16:00 | LLWWL |
VfB Oldenburg
vs
Kickers Emden
|
LWWLW | 85% | 60.3% | Home ✅ | @1.69 | 4 – 0 FT |
Today - Monday, October 12
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | LLWWL |
SSV Jeddeloh
vs
VfB Lübeck
|
DWWDD | 82% | 52% | Home | 1.81 | — |
Top Trends from Regionalliga North Teams
Our model gives Phönix Lübeck win a 92% confidence rating
Our model gives VfB Oldenburg win a 91% confidence rating
Our model gives Hannover 96 II win a 90% confidence rating
Our model gives Atlas Delmenhorst win a 88% confidence rating
In their 10 most recent matches, VfB Lübeck have achieved just 2 wins
In their 10 most recent matches, Bremer SV have achieved just 2 wins
Predictlix Regionalliga North Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
Bremer SV versus SV Drochtersen/Assel carries the strongest signal in this window, with the PredictLix model rating the away win at 82.3% and a confidence score of 92. That contest pits bottom side Bremer SV against second-placed Drochtersen/Assel, and the away lambda of 2.1225 dwarfs the home figure of 1.0235. Schöningen against Hamburger SV II also stands out, a 92 confidence home pick at 77.2% and odds of 1.26. Back Drochtersen/Assel at 1.17.
Model Track Record in This League
PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine has settled 123 matches in this league, updated 2026-10-06, and the numbers deserve an honest look. Match winner accuracy sits at 43.1% correct (53/123), while BTTS and Over/Under 2.5 both land at 60.2% correct (74/123). Correct score remains the hardest call at 8.9% correct (11/123). Double chance performed strongest at 76.4% correct (94/123). Draw picks managed 31.4% correct (11/35). High-confidence picks (75+) hit 58.1% correct (n=408), medium-confidence (50-74) just 33.1% correct (n=242).
Goals Landscape — Over/Under Breakdown
Eimsbütteler TV versus SSV Jeddeloh leans Over 2.5 at 55.5%, with the hosts' 2.0056 home lambda dwarfing Jeddeloh's 0.9823. Hamburger SV II against VfB Oldenburg is the clear Under 2.5 pick at 48.7%, and BTTS No at 52.3%, because the hosts' 0.7481 lambda signals a blunt attack. Phönix Lübeck versus Eintracht Norderstedt also leans Over 2.5 at 59.3%, with Phönix's 2.6373 lambda against a 1.0202 away figure. Best takeaway: back Over 2.5 in Eimsbütteler TV vs SSV Jeddeloh, where the PredictLix model's 55.5% Over lean reflects genuine attacking imbalance.
Streak & Momentum Signals
SV Drochtersen/Assel arrive on a five-match unbeaten sequence, with four wins and a draw across their last five outings. Weiche Flensburg sit top on 28 points yet their form reads WWLLW, a wobble worth tracking. Phönix Lübeck have won four of five, while Hannover 96 II opened with three straight victories before fading. At the other end, Todesfelde's WLLLL run and Bremer SV's LLLWL reflect genuine relegation pressure. Note that HSC Hannover vs Todesfelde carries partial data, so its streaks rest on a shorter sample.
Defensive Lines — Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences
Weiche Flensburg's backline stands tallest with 0.8 conceded per game and six clean sheets, while SV Drochtersen/Assel pairs 1.2 conceded with three shutouts. VfB Lübeck concedes 1.3 per outing and Hannover 96 II just 1.4, both recording three clean sheets. At the other end, Todesfelde leaks 3.2 goals per game with only one shutout, and Hamburger SV II ships 2.8 with two. Eintracht Norderstedt, Atlas Delmenhorst and Werder Bremen II all concede heavily, underlining how wide the defensive gap runs across this window.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
Weiche Flensburg leads on 28 points with a Champions League spot, hosting SV Drochtersen/Assel, second on 25 points and also chasing a Champions League spot, in North - 14. Down at the bottom, Hamburger SV II sits in the RELEGATION ZONE and must win, while SSV Jeddeloh, also in the RELEGATION ZONE, faces Werder Bremen II, who are in a relegation battle and need points. Todesfelde, likewise fighting relegation, travel to HSC Hannover in North - 14.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
Schöningen anchor the PredictLix acca at 1.26 after a 92 confidence read against Hamburger SV II. Next comes SV Drochtersen/Assel away at Bremer SV, priced 1.17, also rated 92. Phönix Lübeck complete the three-leg ticket at 1.45, a 90 confidence home call over Eintracht Norderstedt. Combined odds stand at 2.14. Back this treble with the staked plan, since all three legs carry the strongest confidence ratings in the window.
Model vs Market — Value Edges
Phönix Lübeck's home tie with Eintracht Norderstedt carries the standout edge at +10.9pp, with the PredictLix model rating the home win at 73% against a bookmaker implied 62.1% at odds of 1.45. Schöningen over Hamburger SV II shows +5.7pp (model 77.2% versus implied 71.5% at 1.26), while Bremer SV versus SV Drochtersen/Assel offers +5.5pp on the away side (82.3% against 76.8% at 1.17). A positive edge simply means the price undervalues the outcome over many bets, not that this specific match must land. Back Phönix Lübeck at 1.45 with confidence.
AI Prediction Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 47.9% | 44.3% | 61 |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 62.5% | 71.4% | 7 |
| Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% | 77.5% | 100.0% | 5 |
| Match Result (1X2) · 80+% | 85.0% | 33.3% | 3 |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 65.1% | 54.5% | 22 |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 54.2% | 54.0% | 50 |
| Both Teams to Score · 70-79% | 71.4% | 75.0% | 4 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 64.4% | 84.0% | 25 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 74.0% | 57.1% | 7 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 54.2% | 54.5% | 44 |
| Correct Score · <60% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 76 |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 76.0% | 75.0% | 60 |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 85.8% | 80.0% | 15 |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 69.7% | 0.0% | 1 |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 28.4% | 50.0% | 6 |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: North, Round 11
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 20:30 | LWWWD |
Schöningen
vs
SV Drochtersen/Assel
|
WWWWW | 80% | 48.4% | Away ❌ | @1.64 | 3 – 3 FT |
| 25/09 20:30 | DWWDD |
VfB Lübeck
vs
Todesfelde
|
LLLLW | 88% | 66.5% | Home ✅ | N/A | 3 – 2 FT |
| 26/09 15:00 | DLLLL |
Eimsbütteler TV
vs
HSC Hannover
|
LDDLL | 78% | 43.8% | Home ✅ | N/A | 2 – 1 FT |
| 26/09 15:00 | WLLWL |
Hamburger SV II
vs
Atlas Delmenhorst
|
DLLWL | 80% | 49% | Home ❌ | N/A | 0 – 3 FT |
| 26/09 15:00 | LWWLD |
St. Pauli II
vs
Kickers Emden
|
WLWWD | 76% | 41.1% | Home ❌ | @2.93 | 0 – 2 FT |
| 26/09 16:00 | LLWWL |
SSV Jeddeloh
vs
Eintracht Norderstedt
|
LDLDW | 85% | 59% | Home ❌ | @1.72 | 0 – 4 FT |
| 27/09 16:00 | LLWLD |
Bremer SV
vs
Weiche Flensburg
|
LLWWW | 83% | 56.5% | Away ✅ | @1.71 | 0 – 3 FT |
| 06/10 15:00 | WWLLD |
Werder Bremen II
vs
Hannover 96 II
|
WWDLW | 78% | 41% | Away ✅ | N/A | 0 – 2 FT |