Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:00 UTC+3 • Round 13 • Stadion an der Hafenstrasse • ⛅ 8.1°C, 7 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 55.5% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 80% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 76.3% · No 23.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 79.9% · Under 20.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 7.9% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.4 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 56.2% · Under 43.8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Rot-Weiß Essen · Home
Rot-Weiß Essen have won three of their last five, keeping clean sheets in all three victories, including a 2-0 home win over Fortuna Köln. Their model expected goals of 2.59 point to a stronger attacking output in this fixture.
Alemannia Aachen · Away
Alemannia Aachen have scored in four of their last five, with 2-1 wins over Preußen Münster and Stuttgart II. However, they conceded five at home to Viktoria Köln and three away at SV Wehen, leaving them with 10 goals against across those five games.
Aachen's leaky defence meets Essen's edge
The latest H2H, a 3-3 draw on 8 Feb 2026, shows these sides can trade goals, and Aachen's recent 2-5 home loss to Viktoria Köln underlines their defensive fragility. Essen's three clean sheets in five offer a counterweight, while Aachen's 8 goals for show they can still score. With model expected goals of 2.59 for Essen against 1.71 for Aachen, a home win is a realistic outcome. The evidence supports Rot-Weiß Essen win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Rot-Weiß Essen 2.59 – 1.71 Alemannia Aachen · expected total 4.30
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Rot-Weiß Essen
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Rot-Weiß Essen
Alemannia Aachen
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: 3. Liga
Rot-Weiß Essen
Alemannia Aachen
Rank among 20 3. Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Rot-Weiß Essen at home · Alemannia Aachen away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Rot-Weiß Essen (home)
Alemannia Aachen (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Alemannia Aachen 3 wins · 3 draws · Rot-Weiß Essen 3 wins · avg 3.3 goals · BTTS in 8 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 2026 | Alemannia Aachen | 3–3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2–3 | Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Alemannia Aachen | 2–0 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| 03 Aug 2024 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 1–2 | Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
| 16 Jul 2022 | Alemannia Aachen | 1–3 | Rot-weiss Essen | Friendlies Clubs |
| 10 Apr 2022 | Alemannia Aachen | 1–1 | Rot-weiss Essen | Regionalliga - West |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Rot-weiss Essen | 2–1 | Alemannia Aachen | Regionalliga - West |
| 15 May 2021 | Rot-weiss Essen | 2–1 | Alemannia Aachen | Regionalliga - West |
| 29 Nov 2020 | Alemannia Aachen | 1–1 | Rot-weiss Essen | Regionalliga - West |
📈 Recent Form
Rot-Weiß Essen
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 27/10 | RB Leipzig | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 23/10 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 17/10 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 13/10 | Fortuna Köln | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 09/10 | Preußen Münster | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 03/10 | Arminia Bielefeld | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 20/09 | Hansa Rostock | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 16/09 | Waldhof Mannheim | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Würzburger Kickers | Home | 6–2 | W |
Alemannia Aachen
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Preußen Münster | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Stuttgart II | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Hansa Rostock | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 14/10 | SV Wehen | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 11/10 | FC Viktoria Köln | Home | 2–5 | L |
| 01/10 | AS Eupen | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 19/09 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 15/09 | Würzburger Kickers | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 04/09 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Away | 3–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: 3. Liga
Rot-Weiß Essen #3 · 24 pts · Alemannia Aachen #5 · 20 pts
Rot-Weiß Essen
Alemannia Aachen
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Rot-Weiß Essen
Alemannia Aachen
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: 3. Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws