Predictions → Germany 2. Bundesliga

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Next match: Sun, 25 Oct 2026 • 12:30 UTC+3 • Round 9

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
Over/Under 2.5 — Under 2.5
Model 49.4% · Market best price ≈ 42.2% · Edge +9.1 pp
Best odds 2.37 Pinnacle 2.371xBet 2.30BetVictor 2.23
Bet this pick →
¼ Kelly sizing: 3.1% of bank

Snapshotted at publish: pick + best price. Prices move constantly — confirm at the bookmaker. 18+, gamble responsibly.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 77% 38.1% 2.34 1xBet 42.5% -4.4 pp
Double Chance 1X 68% 67.6% 1.40 1xBet 68.8% -1.2 pp
BTTS No 79% 45.5% 2.50 William Hill 37.7% +7.8 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 49.4% 2.37 Pinnacle 40.3% +9.1 pp
Correct Score 1-0 66% 8.9% 11.00 William Hill 4.2% +4.7 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.5 exp.) Over 9.5 63% 54.1% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: VfL Osnabrück 1.25 – 1.06 SpVgg Greuther Fürth · expected total 2.31

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

VfL Osnabrück

Form (last 5)
LArminia Bielefeld (A) 1–2 · 18/10/2026DDynamo Dresden (H) 1–1 · 10/10/2026LDjurgardens IF (H) 0–1 · 03/10/2026LVfL Bochum (A) 1–4 · 02/10/2026WWiedenbrück (A) 3–0 · 23/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)1.61
xG against (recent avg)1.27
Elo strength rating1369

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Form (last 5)
WEintracht Braunschweig (H) 2–0 · 17/10/2026LHertha BSC (A) 1–2 · 11/10/2026LVfB Stuttgart (A) 0–5 · 01/10/2026D1. FC Magdeburg (H) 1–1 · 18/09/2026DVfL Bochum (A) 1–1 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)1.01
xG against (recent avg)1.33
Elo strength rating1364
VfL OsnabrückSpVgg Greuther Fürth
LArminia Bielefeld (A) 1–2 · 18/10/2026DDynamo Dresden (H) 1–1 · 10/10/2026LDjurgardens IF (H) 0–1 · 03/10/2026LVfL Bochum (A) 1–4 · 02/10/2026WWiedenbrück (A) 3–0 · 23/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.90
1.60
Win streak (best this season)
2
1
xG for (recent avg)
1.61
1.01
xG against (recent avg)
1.27
1.33
Elo strength rating
1369
1364

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

VfL Osnabrück

Winless 4
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

VfL Osnabrück at home · SpVgg Greuther Fürth away — the split that matters for this fixture.

VfL Osnabrück (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–1L
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
VfL Osnabrück (home)SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)
W 1
D 1
L 2
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
1.80
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
8.9%
2–1
6.6%
2–0
6.2%
3–1
2.7%
3–0
2.6%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 wins · 2 draws · VfL Osnabrück 2 wins · avg 1.8 goals · BTTS in 1 of 6

2
2
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
07 Apr 2024 VfL Osnabruck 2–0 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga
27 Oct 2023 SpVgg Greuther Furth 4–0 VfL Osnabruck 2. Bundesliga
26 Jan 2021 VfL Osnabruck 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga
20 Sep 2020 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1–1 VfL Osnabruck 2. Bundesliga
26 May 2020 SpVgg Greuther Furth 0–2 VfL Osnabruck 2. Bundesliga
27 Oct 2019 VfL Osnabruck 0–0 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga

📈 Recent Form

VfL Osnabrück

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18/10 Arminia Bielefeld Away 1–2 L
10/10 Dynamo Dresden Home 1–1 D
03/10 Djurgardens IF Home 0–1 L
02/10 VfL Bochum Away 1–4 L
23/09 Wiedenbrück Away 3–0 W

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Eintracht Braunschweig Home 2–0 W
11/10 Hertha BSC Away 1–2 L
01/10 VfB Stuttgart Away 0–5 L
18/09 1. FC Magdeburg Home 1–1 D
12/09 VfL Bochum Away 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison — 2. Bundesliga

VfL Osnabrück #12 · 8 pts —  SpVgg Greuther Fürth #10 · 9 pts

VfL Osnabrück

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–4L
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards19
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.61
xG against (avg)1.27
Corners for (avg)2.70
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–3L
W 2
D 3
L 3
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards8
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.01
xG against (avg)1.33
Corners for (avg)7.60
Penalties (scored/missed)2/1
VfL OsnabrückSpVgg Greuther Fürth
W 2
D 2
L 4
W 2
D 3
L 3
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.90
1.60
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
1
1
Yellow cards
19
8
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
1.61
1.01
xG against (avg)
1.27
1.33
Corners for (avg)
2.70
7.60
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/1
2/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

VfL Osnabrück

1
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
4
76-90
5
scored conceded

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

3
0-15
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: 2. Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws