Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:00 UTC+3 • Round 13 • Ostseestadion • ⛅ 7°C, 4 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 51.8% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 82.5% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 62.3% · Yes 37.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 66.9% · Over 33.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 16.6% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.3 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 55.5% · Under 44.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Hansa Rostock · Home
Hansa Rostock's recent record is modest: 1 win in five, with two matches where they failed to score. Their historical weighted xG over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics is 3.11, while the model expects 1.35 goals here.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · Away
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have conceded 16 goals across their last five, including the 1-7 loss at SV Wehen. Their historical weighted xG over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics is just 0.71, against a model expectation of 0.68.
Rostock's H2H edge
The latest head-to-head fits a low-scoring home win: Hansa Rostock won 0-1 away at Grossaspach on 15 Feb 2020. The two prior meetings also stayed tight, ending 0-1 and 0-0, so this matchup has produced few goals. Grossaspach's 16 goals conceded in five matches still points to home pressure, and the 1-0 correct-score pick is realistic given that H2H pattern. The evidence supports Hansa Rostock win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Hansa Rostock 1.35 – 0.68 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · expected total 2.03
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Hansa Rostock
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Hansa Rostock
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: 3. Liga
Hansa Rostock
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Rank among 20 3. Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Hansa Rostock at home · SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Hansa Rostock (home)
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Hansa Rostock 2 wins · 6 draws · SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2 wins · avg 0.9 goals · BTTS in 2 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2020 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 0–1 | Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| 17 Aug 2019 | Hansa Rostock | 0–1 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| 09 Mar 2019 | Hansa Rostock | 0–0 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| 22 Sep 2018 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 0–0 | Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| 20 Mar 2018 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 0–0 | Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| 29 Jul 2017 | Hansa Rostock | 0–0 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| 11 Feb 2017 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 1–1 | Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| 10 Aug 2016 | Hansa Rostock | 0–0 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| 08 Apr 2016 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 0–1 | Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| 24 Oct 2015 | Hansa Rostock | 1–3 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
📈 Recent Form
Hansa Rostock
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Alemannia Aachen | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 13/10 | SV Meppen | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Würzburger Kickers | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 16/09 | Stuttgart II | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 11/09 | FC Viktoria Köln | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 05/09 | SV Wehen | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 30/08 | FC Saarbrücken | Away | 4–2 | W |
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 27/10 | FC Augsburg | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 24/10 | SV Wehen | Away | 1–7 | L |
| 17/10 | Preußen Münster | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 14/10 | FC Viktoria Köln | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 10/10 | Waldhof Mannheim | Home | 1–5 | L |
| 02/10 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | FC Saarbrücken | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 15/09 | Verl | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Havelse | Away | 2–2 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: 3. Liga
Hansa Rostock #11 · 16 pts · SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach #18 · 12 pts
Hansa Rostock
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Hansa Rostock
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: 3. Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws