1. FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 11:00 UTC+3 • Round 9 • Voith-Arena

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Market	Tip	Confidence	Probability	Odds	Bookmaker	Market implied	Edge
Match Result (1X2)	Home 1.72 → 1.7 ▼1%	85%	60.3%	1.70	Pinnacle	58.7%	+1.6 pp
Double Chance	1X	74%	75.8%	1.22	William Hill	77.9%	-2.1 pp
BTTS	Yes	82%	51.3%	1.36	William Hill	69.7%	-18.4 pp
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	83%	52.5%	1.33	Pinnacle	71.6%	-19.1 pp
Correct Score	2-1	64%	7.8%	8.50	William Hill	5.4%	+2.4 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.4 exp.)	Over 9.5	65%	55.8%	—	—	—	—

⚽ Model expected goals: 1. FC Heidenheim 1.81 – 1.07 Energie Cottbus · expected total 2.88

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

1. FC Heidenheim

Form (last 5)

LVfL Wolfsburg (A) 1–3 · 17/10/2026 D1. FC Kaiserslautern (H) 0–0 · 09/10/2026WWürzburger Kickers (H) 3–1 · 02/10/2026LVfB Stuttgart (A) 0–3 · 25/09/2026DArminia Bielefeld (A) 2–2 · 20/09/2026

Goals scored (season avg)1.90

Goals conceded (season avg)1.90

Win streak (best this season)3

xG for (recent avg)1.76

xG against (recent avg)0.91

Elo strength rating1395

Energie Cottbus

Form (last 5)

D1. FC Nürnberg (H) 1–1 · 16/10/2026 LSV Darmstadt 98 (A) 1–3 · 10/10/2026DLech Poznan (A) 2–2 · 03/10/2026DFC St. Pauli (H) 1–1 · 20/09/2026 WKarlsruher SC (A) 3–0 · 13/09/2026

Goals scored (season avg)2.00

Goals conceded (season avg)2.10

Win streak (best this season)1

xG for (recent avg)1.63

xG against (recent avg)1.32

Elo strength rating1367

1. FC HeidenheimEnergie Cottbus

D1. FC Nürnberg (H) 1–1 · 16/10/2026 LSV Darmstadt 98 (A) 1–3 · 10/10/2026DLech Poznan (A) 2–2 · 03/10/2026DFC St. Pauli (H) 1–1 · 20/09/2026 WKarlsruher SC (A) 3–0 · 13/09/2026

Goals scored (season avg)

1.90

2.00

Goals conceded (season avg)

1.90

2.10

Win streak (best this season)

xG for (recent avg)

1.76

1.63

xG against (recent avg)

0.91

1.32

Elo strength rating

1395

1367

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

1. FC Heidenheim

BTTS

3/6

Over 2.5

4/6

Scored

4/6

Clean sheets

2/6

Energie Cottbus

Winless 4

BTTS

5/6

Over 2.5

4/6

Scored

6/6

Clean sheets

1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim

3rd best clean sheets (3)

Energie Cottbus

2nd worst defence (2.10 conceded/game) Best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 18 2. Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

1. FC Heidenheim at home · Energie Cottbus away — the split that matters for this fixture.

1. FC Heidenheim (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–0L

W 3

D 1

Played4

Goals scored (avg)2.50

Goals conceded (avg)1.50

Clean sheets2

Failed to score1

Energie Cottbus (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L

W 1

D 1

L 2

Played4

Goals scored (avg)2.00

Goals conceded (avg)2.50

Clean sheets1

Failed to score1

1. FC Heidenheim (home)Energie Cottbus (away)

W 3

D 1

W 1

D 1

L 2

Played

Goals scored (avg)

2.50

2.00

Goals conceded (avg)

1.50

2.50

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1

7.8%

2–0

7.3%

1–0

7.2%

3–1

4.7%

3–0

4.4%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

📈 Recent Form

1. FC Heidenheim

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
17/10	VfL Wolfsburg	Away	1–3	L
09/10	1. FC Kaiserslautern	Home	0–0	D
02/10	Würzburger Kickers	Home	3–1	W
25/09	VfB Stuttgart	Away	0–3	L
20/09	Arminia Bielefeld	Away	2–2	D

Energie Cottbus

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
16/10	1. FC Nürnberg	Home	1–1	D
10/10	SV Darmstadt 98	Away	1–3	L
03/10	Lech Poznan	Away	2–2	D
20/09	FC St. Pauli	Home	1–1	D
13/09	Karlsruher SC	Away	3–0	W

📊 Season Comparison — 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim #5 · 14 pts — Energie Cottbus #9 · 9 pts

1. FC Heidenheim

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–2L

W 4

D 2

L 2

Played8

Goals scored (avg)1.90

Goals conceded (avg)1.90

Clean sheets3

Failed to score1

Yellow cards12

Red cards0

xG for (avg)1.76

xG against (avg)0.91

Corners for (avg)6.40

Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Energie Cottbus

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–3L

W 2

D 3

L 3

Played8

Goals scored (avg)2.00

Goals conceded (avg)2.10

Clean sheets1

Failed to score1

Yellow cards19

Red cards0

xG for (avg)1.63

xG against (avg)1.32

Corners for (avg)6.20

Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

1. FC HeidenheimEnergie Cottbus

W 4

D 2

L 2

W 2

D 3

L 3

Played

Goals scored (avg)

1.90

2.00

Goals conceded (avg)

1.90

2.10

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Yellow cards

Red cards

xG for (avg)

1.76

1.63

xG against (avg)

0.91

1.32

Corners for (avg)

6.40

6.20

Penalties (scored/missed)

1/0

2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

1. FC Heidenheim

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Energie Cottbus

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: 2. Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws