FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Saarbrücken
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 • 21:00 UTC+3 • Round 13 • Sportpark Hohenberg • 🌤 5.6°C, 2 km/h mostly clear
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.44 (77.7%, Model EV +11.9%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Betano1.80 | 54.8% | -1.4% |
| Double Chance | 12 | Betano1.24 | 78.9% | -2.2% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.44 | 77.7% · No 22.3% | +11.9% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Betano1.44 | 70.4% · Under 29.6% | +1.4% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | William Hill8.00 | 7.6% | -39.2% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.1 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 54.2% · Under 45.8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
FC Viktoria Köln · Home
FC Viktoria Köln are unbeaten across their last five with 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring 12 and conceding 6, and they failed to score in none of those matches. Their latest meeting with Saarbrücken ended 2-0 in their favour.
FC Saarbrücken · Away
FC Saarbrücken have alternated results, winning 2 and losing 2 of their last five while scoring 9 and conceding 9, and they failed to score once. Their recent xG for over up to five matches with recorded statistics is 1.32.
Köln's edge in the H2H
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Köln won 2-0 at home, yet Saarbrücken had won the two prior meetings 2-1 and 1-2. Köln's current five-match run of 12 goals for and 6 against supports a home edge, while Saarbrücken's 9 for and 9 against shows they can score but also concede. The model gives Köln a 2.64 expected-goals figure against Saarbrücken's 1.78, consistent with a home result rather than a repeat of those earlier away wins. The evidence supports FC Viktoria Köln win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: FC Viktoria Köln 2.64 – 1.78 FC Saarbrücken · expected total 4.42
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
FC Viktoria Köln
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
FC Viktoria Köln
FC Saarbrücken
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: 3. Liga
FC Viktoria Köln
FC Saarbrücken
Rank among 20 3. Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
FC Viktoria Köln at home · FC Saarbrücken away, the split that matters for this fixture.
FC Viktoria Köln (home)
FC Saarbrücken (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
FC Saarbrücken 6 wins · 1 draw · FC Viktoria Köln 3 wins · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln | 2–0 | FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
| 09 Aug 2025 | FC Saarbrücken | 2–1 | FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| 28 Feb 2025 | FC Viktoria Köln | 1–2 | FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
| 25 Sep 2024 | FC Saarbrücken | 1–0 | FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| 21 Feb 2024 | FC Viktoria Koln | 2–5 | FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
| 19 Aug 2023 | FC Saarbrücken | 1–2 | FC Viktoria Koln | 3. Liga |
| 27 May 2023 | FC Saarbrucken | 2–1 | FC Viktoria Koln | 3. Liga |
| 20 Jan 2023 | FC Viktoria Koln | 0–2 | FC Saarbrucken | 3. Liga |
| 19 Feb 2022 | FC Saarbrucken | 0–1 | FC Viktoria Koln | 3. Liga |
| 11 Sep 2021 | FC Viktoria Koln | 0–0 | FC Saarbrucken | 3. Liga |
📈 Recent Form
FC Viktoria Köln
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Hoffenheim II | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Verl | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 18/10 | MSV Duisburg | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 14/10 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 11/10 | Alemannia Aachen | Away | 5–2 | W |
| 03/10 | 1. FC Köln | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 15/09 | SV Meppen | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 11/09 | Hansa Rostock | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 05/09 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Away | 0–1 | L |
FC Saarbrücken
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Waldhof Mannheim | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Havelse | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 13/10 | MSV Duisburg | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 10/10 | Fortuna Köln | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 02/10 | Nancy | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 16/09 | Preußen Münster | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 12/09 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | SV Meppen | Away | 6–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: 3. Liga
FC Viktoria Köln #1 · 26 pts · FC Saarbrücken #4 · 20 pts
FC Viktoria Köln
FC Saarbrücken
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
FC Viktoria Köln
FC Saarbrücken
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: 3. Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws