Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:30 UTC+3 • Round 13 • Preussenstadion • ☁️ 6.9°C, 3 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 40.2% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 77.4% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 74.7% · No 25.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 75.1% · Under 24.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Current price not available | 7.6% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.7 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 56.4% · Over 43.6% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Preußen Münster · Home
Preußen Münster have scored in all five recent matches but won only once, conceding 10 goals across that run. Their latest home league meeting with MSV Duisburg ended 3-1 in their favour, the most recent head-to-head in the data.
MSV Duisburg · Away
MSV Duisburg are unbeaten in three of five recent matches and have scored 12 goals, though they have not kept a clean sheet in any of those five. Their model expected goals of 2.01 sit just above Münster's 1.93, supporting a narrow edge.
Duisburg edge in open contest
The latest head-to-head, a 3-1 Münster home win on 23 Feb 2024, shows this pairing can produce goals, and the earlier 0-0 in 0-0 is the outlier rather than the pattern. Both teams scored in every recent match listed, matching the Over 2.5 and BTTS picks. Duisburg's 12 goals in five and Münster's 10 conceded keep the away side realistic despite Münster's home advantage. The evidence supports MSV Duisburg win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Preußen Münster 1.93 – 2.01 MSV Duisburg · expected total 3.94
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Preußen Münster
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Preußen Münster
MSV Duisburg
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: 3. Liga
Preußen Münster
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
MSV Duisburg
Rank among 20 3. Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Preußen Münster at home · MSV Duisburg away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Preußen Münster (home)
MSV Duisburg (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
MSV Duisburg 4 wins · 1 draw · Preußen Münster 2 wins · avg 3.1 goals · BTTS in 4 of 7
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2024 | Preussen Munster | 3–1 | MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| 30 Sep 2023 | MSV Duisburg | 0–0 | Preussen Munster | 3. Liga |
| 13 Jul 2021 | MSV Duisburg | 2–3 | Preussen Munster | Friendlies Clubs |
| 08 Aug 2020 | MSV Duisburg | 1–0 | Preussen Munster | Friendlies Clubs |
| 01 Feb 2020 | Preussen Munster | 1–4 | MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| 31 Jul 2019 | MSV Duisburg | 2–0 | Preussen Munster | 3. Liga |
| 12 Feb 2017 | MSV Duisburg | 3–2 | Preussen Munster | 3. Liga |
📈 Recent Form
Preußen Münster
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Alemannia Aachen | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Fortuna Köln | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 17/10 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 14/10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 09/10 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 20/09 | Waldhof Mannheim | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 16/09 | FC Saarbrücken | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 13/09 | Stuttgart II | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Havelse | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 30/08 | FC Viktoria Köln | Away | 1–4 | L |
MSV Duisburg
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Stuttgart II | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 24/10 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 18/10 | FC Viktoria Köln | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 13/10 | FC Saarbrücken | Away | 4–2 | W |
| 10/10 | Hoffenheim II | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 20/09 | SV Wehen | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 15/09 | Havelse | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 05/09 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 29/08 | Würzburger Kickers | Home | 3–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: 3. Liga
Preußen Münster #14 · 15 pts · MSV Duisburg #2 · 26 pts
Preußen Münster
MSV Duisburg
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Preußen Münster
MSV Duisburg
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: 3. Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws