Chemnitzer FC U19 have conceded 2+ goals in 10 of their last 10 matches
Germany U19 Bundesliga Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions
Preliminary • 20 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
Preliminary
Wednesday, November 04
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Goals O/U | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | DDWLW | WWWLL | 86.4% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
Saturday, November 07
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Goals O/U | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | LDDWD | WWWDL | 87.1% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | WWWLL | DLLLL | 78.8% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | LLW | WDLLW | 81.4% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | LLWLW | WDLWW | 81.3% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | WWWWD | DLDWD | 71.6% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | LLLWL | WWL | 82.1% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | LWWLW | DWLWL | 62% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | WWWWW | DWWWL | 80.6% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | LLLWW | DLWWL | 75.9% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 13:00 | WDLLW | LDLWL | 81.5% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 14:00 | LLLLL | WWW | 83.2% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 14:00 | LLLWW | DLWWL | 82% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 15:00 | WDWWW | LLLWL | 35.4% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 15:00 | WWWWW | LWWWL | 74.6% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 15:00 | DDL | LLD | 73.1% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 15:00 | LL | LWLLL | 81% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 15:00 | WLW | WW | 85.9% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 15:00 | L | LL | 54.3% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 15:00 | DWL | LW | 85% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — |
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — U19 Bundesliga for Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Over 2.5 goals in Energie Cottbus U19's last 10 matches in a row
Saarbrücken U19 have conceded 2+ goals in 10 of their last 10 matches
Nürnberg U19 scored 2+ goals in 9 of their last 10 matches
Over 2.5 goals in 9 of Ingolstadt U19's last 10 matches
Over 2.5 goals in 9 of Bochum U19's last 10 matches
Over 2.5 goals in 9 of Arminia Bielefeld U19's last 10 matches
Freiburg U19 scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 10 matches
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 61.8% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 53.8% | 50.0% | 4 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 70-79% | 75.1% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 80+% | 85.7% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 65.3% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 80+% | 81.6% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 77.4% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 59.8% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 69.3% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 82.5% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 77.3% | 100.0% | 3 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: November 1, 2026
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Goals O/U | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 13:00 | WWDLW | LLWLW | 82.6% | Over 2.5 ✅ | N/A | — | 3 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 13:00 | LWLLL | WWWWW | 80.5% | Over 2.5 ❌ | @1.191xBet | -4.2% | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 13:00 | LWLLD | WDLLW | 77.4% | Over 2.5 ❌ | N/A | — | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 14:00 | WWWLL | LLLWW | 69.3% | Over 2.5 ✅ | N/A | — | 4 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 15:00 | LLLWL | WLLLL | 59.8% | Over 2.5 ❌ | N/A | — | 0 – 2 FT |