Predictions → Germany U19 Bundesliga

Freiburg U19 vs Ulm U19

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 13:00 UTC+3 • Preliminary • ⛅ 7.1°C, 3 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available69.5% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available87.2% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available62.2% · No 37.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available71.6% · Under 28.4% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.3% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Freiburg U19 69.5% · Draw 17.7% · Ulm U19 12.8%. Selected outcome: Freiburg U19 win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Freiburg U19 2.66, Ulm U19 1.09, expected total 3.74.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Freiburg U19: W-W-W-W-D in their last five matches.
Ulm U19: D-L-D-W-D in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Ulm U19 1–2 Freiburg U19, 23 Aug 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Freiburg U19

Form (last 5)
WWWWD
Goals scored (season avg)2.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1416

Ulm U19

Form (last 5)
DLDWD
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)2.10
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1315
Freiburg U19Ulm U19
Goals scored (season avg)
2.40
1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
2.10
Best league winning streak this season
4
3
Elo strength rating
1416
1315

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Freiburg U19

Won 4 in a row Unbeaten 10
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Ulm U19

Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: U19 Bundesliga

Freiburg U19

3rd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Ulm U19

Worst Over 2.5 rate (33%, last 6)

Rank among 42 U19 Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Freiburg U19 at home · Ulm U19 away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Freiburg U19 (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–0L
W 4
D 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0

Ulm U19 (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–4L
D 1
L 4
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Freiburg U19 (home)Ulm U19 (away)
W 4
D 1
D 1
L 4
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
0.60
Goals conceded (avg)
0.60
2.80
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.26%
2–0
8.51%
3–1
8.2%
3–0
7.53%
1–0
5.71%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Freiburg U19 5 wins · 1 draw · Ulm U19 1 win · avg 3.1 goals · BTTS in 2 of 7

5
1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
23 Aug 2026 Ulm U19 1–2 Freiburg U19 U19 Bundesliga
01 Nov 2025 Ulm U19 2–0 Freiburg U19 U19 Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 Freiburg U19 2–2 Ulm U19 U19 Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 Ulm U19 0–1 Freiburg U19 U19 Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 Freiburg U19 5–0 Ulm U19 U19 Bundesliga
30 Apr 2022 Freiburg U19 4–0 Ulm U19 U19 Bundesliga
20 Oct 2019 Ulm U19 0–3 Freiburg U19 U19 Bundesliga

📈 Recent Form

Freiburg U19

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Karlsruher SC U19 Home 4–1 W
24/10 Sandhausen U19 Away 4–1 W
17/10 Augsburg U19 Home 2–0 W
11/10 Hoffenheim U19 Home 3–1 W
12/09 Heidenheim U19 Away 3–3 D
05/09 Stuttgarter K'rs U19 Home 1–1 D
23/08 Ulm U19 Away 2–1 W
19/08 Karlsruher SC U19 Away 2–2 D
15/08 Sandhausen U19 Home 1–0 W
08/08 Augsburg U19 Away 2–0 W

Ulm U19

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Augsburg U19 Home 1–1 D
25/10 Heidenheim U19 Away 0–7 L
17/10 Hoffenheim U19 Home 1–1 D
10/10 Sandhausen U19 Home 5–0 W
13/09 Stuttgarter K'rs U19 Away 1–1 D
05/09 Karlsruher SC U19 Away 0–1 L
23/08 Freiburg U19 Home 1–2 L
19/08 Augsburg U19 Away 1–3 L
15/08 Heidenheim U19 Home 1–3 L
08/08 Hoffenheim U19 Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: U19 Bundesliga

Freiburg U19

Played10
Goals scored (avg)2.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Ulm U19

Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Freiburg U19Ulm U19
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
2.40
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
2.10
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
0
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Freiburg U19

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Ulm U19

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: U19 Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws