Predictions → Germany Oberliga - Hamburg

Concordia vs Süderelbe

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 • 21:00 UTC+3 • Hamburg - 15 • ☁️ 6.2°C, 10 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available25.5% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available63.2% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available64.8% · No 35.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available37.9% · Over 62.1% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available11.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Concordia 37.7% · Draw 25.5% · Süderelbe 36.8%. Selected outcome: Draw.

Goals

Model expected goals: Concordia 1.62, Süderelbe 1.59, expected total 3.21.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Concordia: L-L-L-W-L in their last five matches.
Süderelbe: L in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Süderelbe 3–3 Concordia, 07 Feb 2025.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Concordia

Form (last 5)
WLLLW
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)2.70
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1326

Süderelbe

Form (last 5)
LWL
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1333
ConcordiaSüderelbe
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.70
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
2
3
Elo strength rating
1326
1333

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Concordia

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Süderelbe

BTTS
3/3
Over 2.5
3/3
Scored a goal
3/3
No goals conceded
0/3

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Oberliga - Hamburg

Concordia

Best Over 2.5 rate (100%, last 6)

Süderelbe

2nd best defence (1.50 conceded/game, season) Best clean sheets (3, season)

Rank among 18 Oberliga - Hamburg teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Concordia at home · Süderelbe away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Concordia (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–6L
W 1
L 6
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)3.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score3

Süderelbe (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–2L
W 3
D 2
L 2
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Concordia (home)Süderelbe (away)
W 1
L 6
W 3
D 2
L 2
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
3.30
0.90
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
3
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
11.47%
2–2
6.71%
0–0
5.09%
3–3
1.92%
4–4
0.31%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Concordia 2 wins · 1 draw · Süderelbe 3 wins · avg 3.2 goals · BTTS in 3 of 6

2
1
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
07 Feb 2025 Süderelbe 3–3 Concordia Oberliga - Hamburg
30 Aug 2024 Concordia 0–1 Süderelbe Oberliga - Hamburg
23 Feb 2024 Süderelbe 2–3 Concordia Oberliga - Hamburg
12 Sep 2023 Concordia 1–2 Süderelbe Oberliga - Hamburg
17 Feb 2023 Süderelbe 2–0 Concordia Oberliga - Hamburg
13 Sep 2022 Concordia 2–0 Süderelbe Oberliga - Hamburg

📈 Recent Form

Concordia

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Pinneberg Away 4–2 W
23/10 Victoria Hamburg Home 0–3 L
16/10 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 Away 2–5 L
09/10 HT16 Home 0–5 L
02/10 Niendorfer TSV Away 2–1 W
27/09 Paloma Home 2–3 L
20/09 Nikola Tesla Away 2–2 D
11/09 Norderstedt II Home 4–2 W
04/09 Harksheide Away 3–1 W
28/08 Altona 93 Home 3–4 L

Süderelbe

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/10 Teutonia Ottensen Home 3–4 L
24/10 Tus Dassendorf Away 2–1 W
16/10 Sasel Home 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Oberliga - Hamburg

Concordia

Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.70
Clean sheets0
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Süderelbe

Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
ConcordiaSüderelbe
Played
13
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
2.70
1.50
Clean sheets
0
3
Failed to score
4
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Concordia

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Süderelbe

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Oberliga - Hamburg predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws